2022 FIFA World Cup Betting Odds for the Teams to Most Likely Win and to Upset

2022 FIFA World Cup Betting Odds for the Teams to Most Likely Win and to Upset

Written by on June 10, 2022

The 2022 Qatar World Cup kicks off in November and runs from November through December. It’s early, but it’s not too early to think about which two FIFA World Cup Betting favorites can lift the Cup and which two underdogs stand the best chance of pulling off a World Cup victory.

FIFA World Cup Most Likely to Win and Most Likely to Upset | Soccer Betting Odds

2022 Qatar World Cup

  • When: Nov. 21 – Dec. 18

Most Likely to Win: Brazil +480

On paper, few teams can match Brazil’s international experience and depth at every level. The Brazilians boast two of the very best goalies in the world in Chelsea start Ederson and Liverpool keeper Allisson. 

Thiago Silva is a Brazilian defender. Silva plays midfield for Liverpool. Militao throws down for Real and Marquinhos plays for PSG.

The midfield is rock solid with Liverpool player Fabinho, Man United player Fred, and Casemiro, who also plays for Real, starting. The forwards are almost second to none. 

Everyone knows about Neymar and Gabriel Jesus, but Richarlison and Vinicius Junior are quickly becoming star strikers. Because of their incredible depth and talent, Brazil is an overlay at +480.

No team compares. So if you want to make an early World Cup pick on a chalk team, go with Brazil.  

Second Most Likely to Win: France +590 

The one knock against Brazil is that their top strikers don’t match up with France’s top strikers. Neymar and Gabriel Jesus are good. 

Benzema and Mbappe are great. France, the defending World Cup titlist, doesn’t have the depth that Brazil has, but they’re younger in key positions.

Also, no defense can stop Mbappe and Benzema. So if you want to back chalk, but don’t want to put your money on the outright favorite, consider France the best alternative. 

Most Likely to Upset: Spain +850

Pay attention to how Spain performs in the current Nations League tournament. Spain is putting an emphasis on possession and defense, which means El Rojo should return to the style of play that led to their first and only World Cup victory in 2010.

Versus Switzerland, the Spanish played a 4-3-3. Spain protected goalie Unai Simon. Once Pablo Sarabia scored an early goal, El Rojo coasted to a 1-0 win.

The style should serve Spain well in the World Cup. The good news is that if Mikel Oyarzabal and Ferran Torres are at the top of their games in November, Spain can count on an aggressive offense should they require it. 

The Spanish have a better chance than +850 to win the World Cup. Spain doesn’t have the experience yet, but it looks like the Nations League will solve that problem.  

Second Most Likely to Upset: Argentina +960

Messi is no longer the player that Argentina leans on to win international games. Argentina has learned that it’s best not to rely too much on the Great One. 

Not surprisingly, because he’s always been more of a team player than many believe, Lionel is all for it. Messi loved the way Argentina beat Brazil in the Copa America Final last year. 

He barely touched the ball and when he did, he passed it to players like Lautaro Martinez and Paulo Dybala. 

It must be nice to know you can call on Messi if you require him take over. But if you don’t, you can push the offense through Dybala, Martinez, Correa, or rising star Nicolas Gonzalez. 

Argentina isn’t as deep or talented as Brazil. But with Messi and Angel Di Maria in more of a leadership role than they were in 2018, who knows? Maybe, Argentina’s young players come into their own and lead Argentina to a World Cup trophy.


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