The Kentucky Derby celebrates its 150th anniversary this year. On Saturday, May 4, the top three year olds in the world not trained by Bob Baffert, who is once against suspended from running horses for the roses, will step into the starting gate at Churchill Downs in Louisville for a chance at winning the most popular horse race of the year.
Which three year olds have what it takes as we head into April?
See below for this year’s favorites, contenders and longshots so you can place your bets against the Kentucky Derby Vegas odds.
2024 Current Kentucky Derby Odds: Favorites, Contenders & Long Shots | MyBookie Horse Racing Preview: Build up that Exacta for the Races
2024 Kentucky Derby | 150th edition of Kentucky Derby
Favorites To Win
Sierra Leone +600
Dornoch +900
Chad Brown trained Sierra Leone won the Risen Star, which is one of the reasons to like the Brown trainee heading into the Bluegrass at Keeneland on April 6. But although Sierra Leone appears to have the talent to win the Derby, Brown isn’t known as a Kentucky Derby trainee. Not only that, but the speed ratings are light.
So at +600, Sierra is a pass. Dornoch is also a pass. Sure, +900 are decent odds, but the Danny Gargan charge changes leads in the stretch late, which is a bad sign. Timing is everything in horse racing and if the equine doesn’t figure out how to change leads on time, it won’t matter what else happens in the race.
Favorites
Betting Pick: None | Current Kentucky Derby Odds
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Race
Contenders Worth Your Time
Forever Young +1200
Timberlake +1200
Fierceness +1400
Track Phantom +1400
Trainer Yoshito Yahagi will take the UAE Derby route with runner Forever Young. Breeding, Sunday Silence on top and A.P. Indy on the bottom, suggests Forever Young will relish longer distances. The UAE Derby is two turns, which means this one for sure could be a force if he puts in a big time run at Meydan on March 30.
Timberlake won the Grade 2 Rebel at Oaklawn in the last. Trainer Brad Cox is pointing Timberlake to the March 30 Arkansas Derby. For sure, Timberlake is a solid Kentucky Derby contender.
Fierceness bombed in the Holy Bull. But if the Todd Pletcher runner wins the Florida Derby, watch out. Pletcher is terrific at getting horses ready to peak on Derby Day. So Fierceness must be taken seriously.
Track Phantom is a throw out. The Steve Asmussen runner finished fourth in Saturday’s Risen Star. When updated odds land later this week, Track Phantom will jump from +1400 to at least +2500.
Of the other contenders on this list, Timberlake deserves the longest look. Cox knows how to win Kentucky Derbies and the Into Mischief sired colt is trending in the right direction with ascending speed ratings.
Contenders
Betting Pick: Timberlake | Current Kentucky Derby Odds
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Race
Remeber the Longshots Win
Conquest Warrior +2000
Deterministic +2000
Hades +2000
Mystik Dan +2000
Catching Freedom +2500
Encino +2500
Stronghold +2500
Catching Freedom won the Louisiana Derby by going from eleventh to first. The Brad Cox trainee is sired to be a champion. Tapit is the grandsire, Constitution is the sire, and the bottom Pioneerof the Nile and Empire Maker. If you can still get 25-to-1, consider for sure.
Of the other longshots, backing Mystik Dan makes sense. The Kenny McPeek trainee was aided by a rail bias in the Southwest, which is part of the reason for the lofty Beyer figure, but we shouldn’t hold that against. The breeding is there, McPeek is one of the best trainers in the U.S., and Dan did beat the field while striding out and looked like he wanted to run further. Consider at the odds.
Longshots
Betting Pick: Catching Freedom and Mystik Dan | Current Kentucky Derby Odds
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Race
Stay tuned for current Kentucky Derby odds for the horses in this year’s race.
Updated Odds to Win 2025 Kentucky Derby
Horses | Odds |
---|---|
Top Tier | |
Journalism | +280 |
Sovereignty | +550 |
Sandman | +850 |
Luxor Cafe | +900 |
Burnham Square | +1000 |
Rodriguez | +1350 |
Baeza | +1600 |
American Promise | +1600 |
Final Gambit | +2000 |
Citizen Bull | +2000 |
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