Run for the Roses: Unveiling Kentucky Derby Odds and Analyzing Top Contenders

Run for the Roses: Unveiling Kentucky Derby Odds and Analyzing Top Contenders

The draw for the 150th Kentucky Derby happened on Saturday, April 27. Fierceness drew post 17 and will go off the 5-2 morning line chalk. Top rival Sierra Leone is 3-1 and will break from post 2. Other contenders include Forever Young and Just a Touch.

Check out Kentucky Derby odds and information for every horse that will break from the gate in this Saturday’s Kentucky Derby.


2024 Kentucky Derby Odds: Information for Every Participant | MyBookie Horse Racing Betting Preview

2024 Kentucky Derby | 150th Running of the Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve
Grade I stakes race | 1+1⁄4 mi (10 furlongs; 2,012 m)
Saturday, May 4, 2024
Churchill Downs | Louisville, Kentucky, United States


2024 Kentucky Derby Predicted Entry List and Morning Line Odds

Dornoch 20-1
Trained by Danny Gargan, the Good Magic sired runner finished fourth in the Grade 1 Bluegrass.

Sierra Leone 3-1
The word is out that Chad Brown has his best shot of winning the Derby with this Gun Runner sired Bluegrass Stakes winner.

Mystik Dan 20-1
The Southwest winner bounced in the Arkansas Derby. A bounce back in the Kentucky Derby could lead to a top four finish.

Catching Freedom 8-1
Will the Louisiana Derby winner’s closing kick translate to a Derby top three finish? We’ll find out on Saturday.

Catalytic 30-1
The second place in the Florida Derby was decent considering it was against Fierceness. Too bad Catalytic finished 13 lengths behind the Derby chalk.

Just Steel 20-1
The D. Wayne Lukas trained equine has raced 11 times already in his career. Tough? Yes. Fast? Not really.

Honor Marie 20-1
The second in the Louisiana Derby was nice. However, the field, save for Catching Freedom, was nothing special.

Just a Touch 10-1
That was a fantastic Bluegrass try. Finishing second behind Sierra Leone after running 6 furlongs in around 1:10 proves how talented this colt is. 

Encino 20-1
The Godolphin runner trained by Brad Cox is on a 3-race winning streak. Too bad not a single one of those races comes close to Fierceness’s performances.

T O Password 30-1
If this one finished in the top ten, it will be an accomplishment. Why? Two lower level handicap races in Japan doesn’t often, well, never, translates to Kentucky Derby success.

Forever Young 10-1
The UAE Derby winner has the pedigree to run 2 miles, much less less 1 ¼. This guy has the right profile to upset Fierceness and Sierra Leone.

Track Phantom 20-1
The Steve Asmussen runner will try to press Fierceness early. It’s doubtful Phantom can pull it off. 

West Saratoga 50-1
The longest shot on the board would have to pull off a Mine That Bird, meaning West Saratoga would have to take a massive forward leap in the Kentucky Derby. That’s happened three to four times in one-hundred and forty nine years.

Endlessly 30-1
Endlessly has won 5-of-6. But those races aren’t close to what Endlessly will face on Saturday.

Domestic Product 30-1
Chad Brown trains, which is why DP is at 30-to-1. If Brown didn’t train, Domestic Product would be 60-to-1.

Grand Mo the First 50-1
The Uncle Mo bred horse would have to improve to the moon to catch Fierceness, which beat Grand Mo the First by 16 lengths in the Florida Derby.

Fierceness 5-2
The morning line chalk is by far, and we mean by far, the fastest horse in the race. If there isn’t top pace pressure early, and Fierceness’s mind is right, the Pletcher runner should win going away.

Stronghold 20-1
Ghostzapper’s son is trending the right direction. Stronghold may not be fast enough. But if you’re looking for a legit longshot ala Rich Strike, consider.

Resilience 20-1
The post isn’t ideal. Still, the Bill Mott trained horse won the Wood Memorial with a decent Brisnet speed rating. This one could, for sure, finish in the top three. So use in exotics and if you’re feeling lucky, put a few bucks on Resilience to win.

Society Man 50-1
Here’s another must use from the Wood Memorial. Society Man ran a bang up race to finish second behind Resilience. Give a much better shot to finish in the top four than the morning line oddsmaker.

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2024 Kentucky Derby Field: Post Positions, Betting Odds, Jockeys, Trainers

Program Numbers Horse Qualifying Points Trainer Jockey Line Odds
1 Dornoch 75 Danny Gargan Luis Saez 20–1
2 Sierra Leone 155 Chad C. Brown Tyler Gaffalione 3–1
3 Mystik Dan 46 Kenneth G. McPeek Brian Hernandez Jr. 20–1
4 Catching Freedom 125 Brad H. Cox Flavien Prat 8–1
5 Catalytic 50 Saffie Joseph Jr. José Ortiz 30–1
6 Just Steel 65 D. Wayne Lukas Keith Asmussen 20–1
7 Honor Marie 65 Whitworth D. Beckman Ben Curtis 20–1
8 Just a Touch 75 Brad H. Cox Florent Geroux 10–1
9 Encino 40 Brad H. Cox Axel Concepcion 20–1
10 T O Password (JPN) 40 Daisuke Takayanagi Kazushi Kimura 30–1
11 Forever Young (JPN) 100 Yoshito Yahagi Ryusei Sakai 10–1
12 Track Phantom 70 Steven M. Asmussen Joel Rosario 20–1
13 West Saratoga 67 Larry Demeritte Jesús Castañón 50–1
14 Endlessly 100 Michael McCarthy Umberto Rispoli 30–1
15 Domestic Product 60 Chad C. Brown Irad Ortiz Jr. 30–1
16 Grand Mo the First 40 Victor Barboza Jr. Emisael Jaramillo 50–1
17 Fierceness 136 Todd A. Pletcher John R. Velazquez 5–2
18 Stronghold 125 Philip D’Amato Antonio Fresu 20–1
19 Resilience 110 William I. Mott Junior Alvarado 20–1
20 Society Man 50 Danny Gargan Frankie Dettori 50–1
Also eligible
21 Epic Ride 35 John Ennis Adam Beschizza 50–1
22 Mugatu 14 Jeff Engler Joseph Talamo 50–1

Updated Odds to Win 2024 Kentucky Derby

Horses Odds
Top Tier
Sierra Leone +250
Fierceness +250
Forever Young +800
Catching Freedom +1000
Just A Touch +1000
Stronghold +1400
Endlessly +2000
Honor Marie +1400
Resilience +2000
Domestic Product +2000
Dornoch +2500

Kentucky Derby Future Odds

Horses Odds
Bottom Tier
Epic Ride +2500
Just Steel +2000
Mystik Dan +2500
Society Man +2000
T O Password +2500
Track Phantom +2500
Epic Ride +2500
Catalytic +4000
West Saratoga +5000
Grand Mo the First +6600
Mugatu +6600
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