The Kentucky Derby field is set. Oddsmakers have made Todd Pletcher trained Forte the top choice. Second choice on the morning line is Todd’s second runner, Tapit Trice. Practical Move and Angel of Empire also qualify as favorites.
Check updated Kentucky Derby betting lines and analysis for the favorites, contenders, and long shots.
Kentucky Derby Update Contenders, Long Shots, & Favorites | MyBookie Horse Racing Betting Preview
149th Kentucky Derby | Grade I stakes race
When: Saturday, May 6, 2023
Where: Churchill Downs, Louisville, KY
Distance & Surface: 1 ¼ miles on dirt
2023 Kentucky Derby Updated Favorites
Favorites:
Forte +300 | Tapit Trice +500 | Angel of Empire +800
Forte can win the Derby but the odds make the Pletcher runner an underlay. Not only that, but Forte may have peaked in the Florida Derby. Also, this is by far the toughest field he’s ever faced.
Tapit Trice can also win the Derby. However, the son of Tapit offers low odds. Not only that, but there’s a chance Tapit Trice goes off the chalk on Derby Day.
No doubt, the top play among the three favorites is Angel of Empire. The Brad Cox trained runner shows ascending speed ratings, has a wicked turn of foot, and shouldn’t be lower than +600 when they break from the gate.
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2023 Kentucky Derby Updated Contenders
Contenders:
Derma Sotogake +1000 | Practical Move +1000 | Kingsbarns +1200 | Verifying +1500 | Two Phil’s +1500
If Derma Sotogake is as good as advertised, the Japanese runner can lead these gate to wire. But Derma can also rate behind Kingsbarns.
Kingsbarns would have to take a massive leap forward to lead these gate to wire. The Pletcher trained runner could, but it’s not likely. Horses prepping in the Louisiana Derby usually don’t show their best on the First Saturday in May.
Practical Move may struggle to get the distance. The Santa Anita Derby winner should get a decent trip behind the speed, but Move struggled home the final eighth in the SA Derby. He’s got to go another eighth on Saturday.
Verifying will run up front and should get toasted. Two Phil’s will run behind. So if you don’t like Derma Sotogake and want a different contender offering excellent odds, Two Phil’s is the play.
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2023 Kentucky Derby Updated Long Shots
Long Shots:
Skinner +2000 | Hit Show +3000 | Lord Miles +3000
All three listed longshots have a chance. The top pick among the three is Hit Show. The Brad Cox trained runner has 3 firsts and a second from 5 races.
The second came by a nose to Lord Miles in the Grade 2 Wood Memorial Derby. Hit Show appeared to have the win in the bag. If Manuel Franco can make a decent trip from post-position 1, for sure, Hit Show has a chance. Candy Ride on top and a Tapit broodmare suggests this one will get better with distance.
Consider Skinner and Lord Miles only if you don’t like Hit Show. Lord Miles breaks from post-position 19 and will have a lot of work to do to win the Kentucky Derby. Skinner shouldn’t be good enough. If you want to back a high-priced dog, Hit Show is the play.
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2023 Kentucky Derby Field: Post Positions, Betting Odds, Jockeys, Trainers
| # | Post Position | Qualifying Points | Trainer | Jockey | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Hit Show | 60 | Brad Cox | Manny Franco | 30-1 |
| 2. | Verifying | 54 | Brad Cox | Tyler Gaffalione | 15-1 |
| 3. | Two Phil’s | 123 | Larry Rivelli | Jareth Loveberry | 12-1 |
| 4. | Confidence Game | 57 | Keith Desormeaux | James Graham | 20-1 |
| 5. | Tapit Trice | 150 | Todd Pletcher | Luis Saez | 5-1 |
| 6. | Kingsbarns | 100 | Todd Pletcher | Jose Ortiz | 8-1 |
| 7. | Reincarnate | 45 | Tim Yakteen | John Velazquez | 50-1 |
| 8. | Mage | 50 | Gustavo Delgado | Javier Castellano | 15-1 |
| 9. | Skinner | 45 | John Shirreffs | Juan Hernandez | 20-1 |
| 10. | Practical Move | 160 | Tim Yakteen | Ramon Vazquez | 10-1 |
| 11. | Disarm | 46 | Steve Asmussen | Joel Rosario | 30-1 |
| 12. | Jace’s Road | 45 | Brad Cox | Florent Geroux | 50-1 |
| 13. | Sun Thunder | 54 | Ken McPeek | Brian Hernandez Jr. | 50-1 |
| 14. | Angel of Empire | 154 | Brad Cox | Flavien Prat | 8-1 |
| 15. | Forte | 190 | Todd Pletcher | Irad Ortiz Jr. | 3-1 |
| 16. | Raise Cain | 64 | Ben Colebrook | Gerardo Corrales | 50-1 |
| 17. | Derma Sotogake (JPN) | 100 | Hidetaka Otonashi | Christophe Lemaire | 10-1 |
| 18. | Rocket Can | 60 | Bill Mott | Junior Alvarado | 30-1 |
| 19. | Lord Miles | 104 | Saffie Joseph, Jr. | Paco Lopez | 30-1 |
| 20. | Continuar (JPN) | 30 | Yoshito Yahagi | Ryusei Sakai | 50-1 |
| AE 21 | Cyclone Mischief | 45 | Dale Romans | Joel Rosario | 30-1 |
| AE 22 | Mandarin Hero (JPN) | 40 | Terunobu Fujita | Kazushi Kimura | 20-1 |
| AE 23 | King Russell | 40 | Ron Moquett | Rafael Bejarano | 50-1 |
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