Yankees vs Orioles Betting Picks, Predictions and Matchup Breakdown

Yankees vs Orioles Betting Picks, Predictions and Matchup Breakdown

Very good matchup from the top of the AL East on Monday as the New York Yankees visit the Baltimore Orioles in their first meeting of the season.

Check out below everything you need to know for this great from Oriole Park at Camden Yards with the O’s favored on the MLB odds behind pitcher Grayson Rodriguez.

MLB Lines Orioles -130, Yankees +120 (total 8.5)
What´s the Score? Orioles 5, Yankees 4

New York Yankees Odds +120

The Yankees remain without infielder and usual leadoff hitter DJ LeMahieu due to a non-displaced fracture of his right foot. He recently had a setback in his rehab and is considered week-to-week again. Fellow infielder Jon Berti was placed on the injured list on April 13 after he sustained an adductor injury running to first base against the Marlins on April 10. It’s possible Berti is activated for this series.

Manager Aaron Boone made a change to his lineup over the weekend looking for a spark as he moved Alex Verdugo to cleanup and Verdugo promptly went yard on Saturday. New York’s 15 runs in Saturday’s victory in Milwaukee marked the Yanks’ most in a game since July 6, 2022, a 16-0 win at Pittsburgh. Their 19 hits were the club’s most since Aug. 25, 2022, at Oakland (20).

Yankees batters lead the majors with a 4.11 pitches per plate appearance ratio and rank second in walks. The Yanks are 18-3 when scoring at least three runs, the second-best such record in the majors. Eight of New York’s wins this year are of the comeback variety. New York pitchers rank fifth in the majors in opponents’ SLG (.348) and opponents’ OPS (.648), and sixth in opponents’ BA (.219).

It’s righty Clarke Schmidt (2-0) on the hill Monday. Schmidt (2-0) picked up the win in last Wednesday’s 7-3 victory over the A’s, allowing three runs on four hits and two walks over 5.1 innings. He struck out six. Schmidt cruised through five innings before serving up a three-run shot to Brent Rooker in the sixth and getting the hook after 92 pitches (58 strikes), but the Yanks supported Schmidt with three long balls of their own. He’s still looking for his first quality start of the season, but Schmidt has lasted five or more innings in four of his five outings, and he hasn’t given up more than three runs in any of them. He’ll take a 3.55 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 29:10 K:BB through 25.1 innings into Monday.

Schmidt has had real trouble in the sixth inning this year. He entered that last outing with a 54.00 ERA in the sixth inning, and that only got worse as he allowed three runs while recording just a single out.

He still notched a 30th consecutive start in which he allowed three runs or fewer, tying Blake Snell for the second-most in MLB since the start of last season and moving within two of Sonny Gray.

Last year, Schmidt was 2-1 with a 5.47 ERA in four starts against the Orioles.


Baltimore Orioles Odds -130

Good looking young second baseman Jordan Westburg didn’t start Sunday’s finale vs. Oakland for the Orioles but it was simply a day of rest and he should be back in there Monday. Westburg had started 16 straight games and posted a 1.057 OPS during that stretch, but he was in a 4-for-20 slump.

The Orioles are one of two MLB teams (also Los Angeles-NL) with four players who’ve hit at least five home runs: Gunnar Henderson (9), Colton Cowser and Cedric Mullins (6) and Westburg (5). The O’s lead the AL and are second in MLB with a 90.4 mph average exit velocity, per Statcast. Henderson ranks second among all hitters with a 95.6 mph average exit velo.

The Orioles remain without two injured starting pitchers in John Means and Kyle Bradish but both are close to making their 2024 debuts in the majors. Means made his sixth and expected final rehab appearance on Sunday and likely will join the team later this week in Cincinnati. When Means reported to Spring Training on Feb. 14, he was about a month behind other pitchers in his throwing program. Bradish is expected to debut as early as May 2 against the Yankees. Bradish began the season on the injured list due to a right UCL sprain he sustained in January at the start of his offseason throwing program. He underwent imaging and received a platelet-rich plasma injection, then restarted his progression on Feb. 16.

Baltimore has now gone 100 consecutive regular-season series of at least two decisions (no ties) without being swept. That’s the fourth-longest regular-season streak in MLB history, trailing the 1942-44 St. Louis Cardinals (124), 1906-09 Chicago Cubs (115), and 1903-05 New York Giants (105). Baltimore’s current streak is the longest in O’s history, ahead of 46 such series from 1971-72. The Birds have not been swept in a regular-season series of at least two games since May 13- 15, 2022 at Detroit (0-3), and not at home in a series of at least two games since August 27-29, 2021 vs. Tampa Bay (0-3). The Orioles were swept by the Rangers in three games in the 2023 ALDS.

It’s right hander Grayson Rodriguez (3-1, 4.45 ERA) on the hill Monday. Rodriguez took the loss last Tuesday against the Angels after allowing seven runs on 11 hits and a walk while striking out seven over 4.1 innings. The 11 hits allowed were a career high and the 4.1 innings pitched were a season low. He still was able to rack up seven strikeouts, which were his most since April 5. The Angels scored at least a run in each of the first four innings and 10 of the 14 balls put in play against Rodriguez were hard hit.

It was the first time Rodriguez had allowed five earned runs in a regular season start since May 26, 2023, which happened to be Rodriguez’s final outing before he was demoted and subsequently spent the next six weeks in the minors.

Rodriguez did not factor into the decision of his lone start against the Yankees on July 28, 2023; he allowed three hits and two walks with four strikeouts across 6.1 scoreless innings.


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Yankees at Orioles TV Info

When: Monday, 6:35 PM ET
Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Pitchers (away/home): Clarke Schmidt/Grayson Rodriguez
TV: MLB Extra Innings


Injuries to Consider

New York Yankees

Apr 27Jon Berti3B10-Day-IL
Apr 26Jasson DominguezCF60-Day-IL
Apr 24DJ LeMahieu3B10-Day-IL

Baltimore Orioles

Apr 29Jordan Westburg3BDay-To-Day
Apr 30Craig KimbrelRPDay-To-Day
Apr 27Kyle BradishSP15-Day-IL
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