Yankees vs Red Sox ALDS Game 1 Odds & Prediction

Yankees vs Red Sox ALDS Game 1 Odds & Prediction

Written by on October 5, 2018

The 2004 ALCS was one of the most memorable playoff series ever as the Boston Red Sox rallied from a 3-0 series deficit to beat the New York Yankees. The Red Sox went on to win the World Series and end their 86-year title curse. On Friday in Game 1 of the ALDS, the Yankees and Red Sox play postseason baseball against one another for the first time since then. Boston is an MLB odds favorite at Fenway Park.  

Yankees vs Red Sox ALDS Game 1 Odds & Prediction


Braves vs Dodgers NLDS Game 2 Lines & Prediction


Weather Forecast

  • Clear: 12°C/54°F
  • Humidity: 55%
  • Precipitation: 1%
  • Cloud Cover: 11%
  • Wind: 9 mph NE
  • Stadium Type: Open

Season Series

The Red Sox went 10-9 against the Yankees during the regular season and outscored them 116-102. These rivals played some lopsided games this season. Of their 19 games, seven of them were decided by at least seven runs. Only four were decided by no more than two runs.

Why Bet on NY Yankees?

Tuesday’s wild-card game vs. Oakland wasn’t much ever in doubt for the Bombers, who won 7-2, after Aaron Judge hit a two-run homer in the bottom of the first. The ball had an exit velocity of 116.1 mph, which stood as the hardest-hit postseason home run ever tracked by Statcast until Giancarlo Stanton belted a mammoth solo homer with a 117.4 mph exit velocity in the bottom of the eighth. Judge also doubled and scored in the Yankees’ four-run sixth inning and drew a walk in the bottom of the seventh, finishing 2-for-3 with two RBI and two runs scored. He’s the only player to homer in multiple Wild Card Games. Stanton also drew a walk in the victory and scored two runs.
Luke Voit roped a two-run triple in the game. What’s going on with that dude? In a minor trade in July, the Yankees got him from St. Louis and Voit have become a fan-favorite and masher. The former 22nd-round pick batted .351/.426/.763 with 14 home runs and 31 RBI over his final 32 regular-season games.
The Yankees were the first team in Major League history to have 12 players hit at least 10 HR in the same season. Five teams have had 11 players reach double-digit home runs: Detroit in 2004, Houston in 2015 and 2017, Minnesota in 2016 and Toronto in 2018.
Aroldis Chapman recorded the final three outs of Wednesday’s win. The lefty hit triple-digits with his fastball multiple times, which is a great sign after Chapman missed much of August and September with tendinitis in his left knee.
J.A. Happ has been named the Yankees’ starter for Game 1 of the ALDS. The left-hander has been one of the Yankees’ best pitchers of late, going 7-0 in the 11 starts he made after being traded from Toronto on July 26. Happ won the first five games he appeared in with the Yankees after the trade. Happ finished the regular season with a 17-6 overall record and a 3.65 ERA. He went 1-1 with a 1.99 ERA in four starts against the Red Sox this season. He will be making his 11th playoff appearance, and first since 2016 when he was with the Blue Jays.

Team Stats

  • Runs: 5.26
  • Hits: 8.47
  • Walks: 3.86
  • Strike Outs: 8.75
  • Runs: 4.12
  • Hits: 8.07
  • Walks: 3.06
  • Strike Outs: 10.10

Why Bet on Boston?

The Red Sox had a historic season, going 108-54 and winning the most games in franchise history. They won the AL East and finished with the best record in baseball, so they will have home-field advantage in the ALDS as well as throughout the postseason. The Red Sox won seven of 10 games at Fenway vs. the Yankees this year and outscored them 76-48.
The 2018 Sox are 1 of 12 teams since 1900 to win 108+ games in a season (last: 2001 Mariners). Each of the previous 3 teams to win exactly 108 games won the World Series (1970 BAL, 1975 CIN, 1986 NYM). The Red Sox are 91-83-1 all-time in postseason play. They are 19-15 in 34 postseason series, having gone 6-6 in 12 trips to the ALDS (20-24 in DS play), 5-5 in the ALCS (26-31), and 8-4 in the World Series (45-28-1).
The Red Sox led MLB in runs scored (876), runs per game (5.4), AVG (.268), OBP (.339), SLG (.453), OPS (.792), doubles (355), and XBH (594). They also owned MLB’s 3rd-lowest strikeout rate (19.9%).
  Yankees vs Red Sox is going to be a fight!  
Ace lefty Chris Sale (12-4, 2.11) gets the start in Game 1. Sale threw his second bullpen session in as many days Wednesday. Sale was limited to an abbreviated side session in an indoor batting cage on Tuesday due to nasty weather in Boston, and when he arrived back at Fenway Park for Wednesday’s team workout, he told manager Alex Cora that he wanted to throw again. Sale is trying to correct some mechanical flaws that came about upon his return from a late-season shoulder injury.
Sale fell only 4.0 innings shy of qualifying for the 2018 ERA title (158.0 IP). Among pitchers with 150.0+ IP, he led MLB in SO/9.0 IP (13.50) and WHIP (0.86), ranked 2nd in opponent AVG & OPS (.181/.532), and was 3rd in ERA (2.11). In 2 starts vs. NYY this season, Sale went 2-0 with a 0.69 ERA (1 ER/13.0 IP), 19 SO, and 1 BB. He owns a 1.61 career ERA (18 ER/100.2 IP) against the Yankees, the lowest mark in the Live Ball Era (min. 10 starts).

Team Stats

  • Runs: 5.41
  • Hits: 9.30
  • Walks: 3.51
  • Strike Outs: 7.73
  • Runs: 3.99
  • Hits: 8.06
  • Walks: 3.16
  • Strike Outs: 9.62

Rockies at Brewers NLDS Game 2 Odds & Preview


Yankees vs Red Sox ALDS Game 1 Betting Trends

  • Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Boston
  • Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings
  • Yankees are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in Boston
  • Yankees are 7-0 in their last 7 games following an off day
  • NY is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees’ last 5 games
  • Boston is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston’s last 5 games at home

Expert MLB Betting Prediction for Yankees vs Red Sox

Yankees for a Game 1 upset.