Warriors vs Magic NBA Betting Lines & Pick for Week 11

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The Golden State Warriors remain without defensive stalwart Draymond Green on Tuesday due to suspension as they look to snap a three-game losing streak when they host the vastly improved Orlando Magic, who are 4-point underdogs on the NBA odds. 2024 NBA Expert Analysis Orlando vs. Golden State | MyBookie Sportsbook NBA Week 11

How to Bet Magic at Warriors NBA Odds & TV Info

When: Tuesday, 10 PM ET
Where: Chase Center
TV: NBA TV
Stream: NBA.com, NBA TV app
Radio: Tunein.com
NBA Odds: Warriors -3.5 (232)  

Series History

First of two meetings this season. Orlando is 36-32 all-time vs. Golden State (22-11 at home, 14-21 on the road) during the regular season, including 2-0 last year. Orlando has won three straight and six of the last nine meetings with Golden State. The Magic had lost 11 straight meetings with the Warriors from Dec. 31, 2013-Nov. 26, 2018… Orlando has won its last five meetings at home with the Warriors, but lost nine of the last 10 trips to Golden State.

Why Bet on Orlando Magic?

Orlando started this trip through the Western Conference with a 112-107 loss in Phoenix on Sunday. It was only the fourth time this season that the Suns’ star trio of Kevin Durant, Bradley Beal and Devin Booker played together.

The Magic trailed for a big chunk of the game but rallied to cut it to 89-87 heading into the fourth. Paolo Banchero led the Magic with 12 points in the third on 5-of-7 shooting. Gary Harris hit a long 3-pointer early in the fourth to give Orlando a 96-95 lead — its first since early in the first quarter. The Suns would recover, using a 17-6 run to build a 10-point lead and regain control.

Banchero, the former No. 1 overall pick, finished with 28 points, nine rebound and seven assists and averaged 25.0 points, 7.9 rebounds and 4.8 assists per game in December. Franz Wagner racked up 27 points, seven rebounds and six assists. Jonathan Isaac (right hamstring strain) and Markelle Fultz (left knee tendinitis) both sat and are iffy for Tuesday. While Isaac has only missed Orlando’s last three games, Fultz has not played since November 9.

The Magic are 19-13 through the first 32. They did not record their 19th victory last season until Jan. 25 – in their 48th game. Orlando is 5-3 this season in games decided by five points-or-less. Last season, the Magic were 9-13 in games decided by five points-or-less.

Orlando is averaging 112.8 ppg this season. The Magic have scored 100+ points 29 times (18-11 record), 110+ points 19 times (15-4 record), 120+ points nine times (9-0 record) and 130+ points three times, including a season-high 139 points on Nov. 29 vs. Washington.

The Magic shoot from deep poorly, though, as they are last in the league in 3-point percentage. They take and make the fewest 3s in the league, and are the only team that averages fewer than 10 made 3s a game. Orlando doesn’t win with offensive pyrotechnics; it wins with defense, and with using its considerable length to good advantage at the other end to score at the elbows and in the paint. Part of Orlando’s defense success comes from its ability to draw fouls on offense; the Magic lead the league in free throw attempts per game, at 27.5 – which allows the Magic to get set at the other end.

Why Bet on Golden State Warriors?

The Warriors were beaten 132-122 at home by Dallas on Saturday, their third straight loss. Stephen Curry led Golden State with 25 points and seven assists. Curry is slumping a bit though as he has converted only 30.8 percent of his shots from downtown over the last four games and averaged only 20.8 points per game over that span. Chris Paul had a season-high 24 points and became the 37th player in NBA history to surpass 22,000 career points.

“We haven’t found that grit that every good team needs where you pull together and you just play for the group,” Golden State coach Steve Kerr said. “We’re not there yet. And that’s a problem. We’ve got great guys. I love every one of them. But until this team really connect in a way that is solely dedicated to winning each and every game, then we’re going to be stuck in this place.”

Guard Gary Payton II had two points and one block over nine minutes. Making his return from a 13-game absence due to a right calf strain, Payton took back a spot in the rotation from Moses Moody, who didn’t leave the bench in a coach’s decision. While Golden State values his defensive versatility, Payton may not have a path to more minutes now that he’s healthy again, especially while rookie guard Brandin Podziemski has played his way into a larger role in recent weeks.

Podziemski is averaging 10.8 points (43.9 FG%, 35.5 3P%, 87.5 FT%), 6.4 rebounds, 4.6 assists, 1.9 steals in 29.9 minutes per game in his eight starts this season (Warriors 5-3). This season, he’s appeared in 26 games (eight starts), averaging 9.1 points (46.9 FG%, 41.7 3P%, 70.4 FT%), 5.5 rebounds, 3.2 assists in 23.2 minutes per game.

Golden State has played 25 “clutch games” this year — games decided in the final five minutes of the fourth quarter or overtime when the score is within five points. The Warriors lead the NBA with 25 of these games (12-13 record). Prior to December 22 vs. Washington, the Warriors had played 14 consecutive clutch games, the longest streak since the Miami Heat had a streak of 17 such games in 2017-18.

The Warriors are tied with Boston for first in the NBA averaging 47.3 boards a game despite being the shortest team (averaging 77.5 inches or 6-foot-5). Golden State is also ranked first in offensive rebounding (13.3). The Warriors have outrebounded their opponent in 20 games this season. In 26 games the Warriors reserves have outscored the opponent’s. Golden State’s bench is outscoring the opponent’s, 1,399 to 998, a difference of 401. The Warriors’ 43.7 points per game ranks second in the NBA, trailing only Indiana (47.9 ppg).

The Dubs have a 37-41 overall record, including 28-16 at home, in the first game of the calendar year as this will be for them. Golden State has won eight of the last 11 such games.

Warriors vs Magic Expert Prediction

Warriors 117, Magic 114

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