On Sunday, Feb. 12, the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles throw down for the right to lift the Lombardi Trophy. League MVP Patrick Mahomes hopes to lead the Chiefs to a second Super Bowl win since 2020. Jalen Hurts leads the -1.5 favored Eagles onto the field. Which team is the pick against the spread?
Check out Super Bowl odds to win the game, betting analysis, and a free ATS pick to win the Big Game.
Super Bowl 57: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs | Betting Predictions
When: Sunday, February 12th, 2023 at 3:30 pm ET
Where: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
ATS Odds: Philadelphia -1.5
TV: FOX
Why Bet on Philadelphia ATS Versus Kansas City?
Most money continues to flow to Philadelphia to cover. It makes sense. The Eagles were the best team during the regular season and absolutely trounced their two playoff competitors.
In their NFC Divisional matchup, Philly beat NFC East rival NYG 38-7. Then in the NFC Championship, the Philadelphia Eagles knocked out SF starting quarterback Brock Purdy and blasted the Niners 31-7. Covering a -1.5 spread should be easy for Philadelphia.
Philadelphia Eagles Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 389.1
- Passing Yards: 241.5
- Rushing Yards: 147.6
- Points Scored: 28.1
- Turnovers: 19
Philadelphia Eagles Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 301.5
- Passing Yards: 179.8
- Rushing Yards: 121.6
- Points Scored: 20.2
- Takeaways: 27
Why Bet on Kansas City ATS Versus Philadelphia?
Mahomes won a second NFL MVP award earlier in the week. That alone should boost the Chiefs’ confidence heading this game.
Not only that, but Andy Reid has had enough time to create a strategy on offense that frees up the best tight-end in NFL history, Travis Kelce. Also, Isaiah Pacheco runs a 4.3, 40-yard dash and the Eagles allow close to 122 rushing yards per game.
Kansas City Chiefs: Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 413.6
- Passing Yards: 297.8
- Rushing Yards: 115.9
- Points Scored: 29.2
- Turnovers: 23
Kansas City Chiefs: Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 328.2
- Passing Yards: 220.9
- Rushing Yards: 107.2
- Points Scored: 21.7
- Takeaways: 19
Chiefs vs. Eagles: Relevant ATS Trends
Chiefs are 1-5 ATS versus a team with a winning record
Kansas City is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win
Chiefs are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games
Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 playoff games
Eagles is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win
Eagles is 7-2 ATS versus team with a winning record
Super Bowl 57 Final ATS Betting Prediction
The trends suggest a Philadelphia Eagles victory against the spread. The Kansas City Chiefs don’t often cover versus winning teams.
But before jumping all over Philly, it’s important to note that KC was the chalk in 17-of-19 games. Not only that, but of those 18 games, the Chiefs faced double-digit spreads in 7 of those 17 games where the Chiefs were the chalk.
Kansas City is an underdog on Sunday. Also, the Chiefs are fully healthy. The only player that showed up on Friday’s injury report is La’Jarius Sneed. Take the points on KC. If the Chiefs end up the chalk, then lay the points.
Super Bowl 57 ATS Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs +1.5
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