Few bowls this season should be as competitive as the 2022 Fenway Bowl. Cincinnati takes on Louisville at the Boston Red Sox home with a new coach on the horizon and as a close to 3-point underdog. But the AC C Cardinals ended their regular season playing great football. Will the Bearcats put a stamp on the Luke Fickell era with a bowl victory? Or will Louisville get the win and cover?
Check out 2022 Fenway Bowl odds, analysis, and a free pick for Cincinnati versus Louisville.
NCAAF 2022 Fenway Bowl: Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Louisville Cardinals
- When: Saturday, Dec. 17 at 11:00 am ET
- Where: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
- TV / Streaming: ESPN / ESPN+
- ATS Odds: Louisville -2.5
- Money line Odds: Cincinnati +111 / Louisville -134
- Over/Under Odds: 45 | Bet to Win College Football
Why Bet on Cincinnati versus Louisville?
No doubt, the Bearcats will miss coach Fickell. It’s not that Fickell wanted to leave Cincinnati, but it’s that Wisconsin, another midwestern team, gave him an offer he couldn’t refuse.
Fickell did such a great job developing Cincinnati’s program that the Bearcats already have a new head coach in Scott Satterfield. Surprise! Satterfield is the Louisville Cardinals new coach.
No doubt, the Bearcats will want to impress Satterfield by beating Scott’s old team.
Cincinnati Bearcats Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 392.8
- Passing Yards: 256.0
- Rushing Yards: 136.8
- Points Scored: 31.1
- Turnovers: 4
Cincinnati Bearcats Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 328.5
- Passing Yards: 186.4
- Rushing Yards: 142.1
- Points Scored: 20.3
- Takeaways: 9
Why Bet on Louisville versus Cincinnati?
If losing your head coach to the team you’re playing against in a bowl doesn’t fire you up, nothing will. Satterfield couldn’t wait until after the bowl game to head to Cincinnati.
So he won’t be on the sidelines on Saturday. Even without Satterfield, the Cardinals should have no trouble moving the football. Louisville beat Pittsburgh, Wake Forest, and North Carolina State this season. The Cardinals will be okay even though Satterfield has moved to Cincinnati.
Louisville Cardinals Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 405.0
- Passing Yards: 211.2
- Rushing Yards: 193.8
- Points Scored: 27.2
- Turnovers: 9
Louisville Cardinals Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 347.6
- Passing Yards: 206.6
- Rushing Yards: 141.0
- Points Scored: 20.2
- Takeaways: 15
Bearcats vs. Cardinals Relevant Trends
- Bearcats are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games
- Cincinnati is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games at a neutral site
Under is 4-1 in the Bearcats’ last 5 bowl games
- Cardinals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games
- Louisville is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games at a neutral site
- Under is 5-2 in the Cardinals’ last 7 bowl games
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Louisville Cardinals Final Betting Prediction
Louisville has an edge at quarterback with Malik Cunningham. The dual-threat signal-caller leads the Cardinals in touchdowns with 12.
But although Cunningham has been ultra-effective using his legs, he has thrown just 8 TDs. More importantly, Malik has tossed 5 interceptions. The TD to INT ratio makes it difficult to back Louisville in this spot.
The Bearcats lost a ton on defense from last season’s CFP squad but Cincinnati still rank in the top 25 in most defensive statistical categories, including total yards allowed at 328.5, where the Bearcats rank twenty-three, and 186.4 passing yards, where the Bearcats rank seventeenth.
Because Louisville will have trouble moving the ball through the air, Cincinnati will put an eighth man in the box to counter Louisville’s rushing attack.
The Cardinals field a decent defense but Cincinnati averages over 31 per game. The Bearcats look strong to win this one straight up.
NCAAF Fenway Bowl Pick: Cincinnati Bearcats +111 Bet College Football Today