Maryland vs. NC State

Duke’s Mayo Bowl: Maryland vs. NC State Predictions, Bets & Preview

Written by on December 21, 2022

It’s a matchup of former ACC rivals on Friday, Dec. 30, in the first of four bowl games that day as Maryland, now of the Big Ten, takes on NC State – which will not have star quarterback Devin Leary. Thus, the Terps are short favorites on the NCAAF odds.

How to Bet Maryland vs. NC State NCAA Football Odds & TV Info

  • When: Friday, noon ET
  • Where: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte
  • TV: ESPN
  • Stream: ESPN+
  • Radio: Tunein.com
  • Opening NCAAF Lines: Maryland -1.5

Series History

The Terrapins and the Wolfpack played each other every year between 1956 and 2013 and then Maryland left for the Big Ten. The two sides haven’t met since. The record for each team is 33-33-4 in this matchup.

Why Bet on Maryland?

Maryland ended a three-game losing streak in the regular-season finale, a 37-0 rout of Rutgers. The Terps recorded their first Big Ten shutout and first shutout of a conference opponent since blanking ACC foe Wake Forest in 2008.  Rutgers was forced into 10 total punts and no drive went longer than 22 yards as they totaled just seven first downs. Maryland held Rutgers to 1-for-13 on third down, with the first conversion coming with under two minutes left.

Prior to that game, the fewest yards allowed by Maryland in a Big Ten game was holding Rutgers to 179 yards in 2018. Overall, it was the fewest yards allowed by Maryland since holding Howard to 68 on Aug. 31, 2019. Against FBS opponents, this is the fewest yards Maryland has allowed since holding Eastern Michigan to 124 in 2001.

Quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa became Maryland’s all-time leader in career touchdown passes as he completed 25-of-37 for 342 yards and a score. He now has 50 career TD passes, breaking the record of 49 previously held by Scott Milanovich.

A Second Team All-Big Ten selection, Tagovailoa ranks second in the Big Ten in completions and completion percentage (68.6), and third in passing yards. Tagovailoa has rewritten Maryland’s record books, as he’s now the program leader in career touchdown passes, career passing yards (7,658), total offense (7,843) and 300-yard passing games (12).

Running back Roman Hemby recorded 924 rushing yards in his redshirt freshman season and led all Big Ten freshmen with 1,200 yards from scrimmage. The running back scored 10 touchdowns on the ground, the most for a Terrapin since 2015. Maryland ranks third in the Big Ten in passing offense (259.3 yards per game) and fourth in the league in scoring offense (29.2 points per game).

Maryland will be making its 29th bowl appearance and second in a row after defeating Virginia Tech, 54-10, in the 2021 Pinstripe Bowl. The Terrapins won’t have receivers Jacob Copeland, Dontay Demus or Rakim Jarrett as well as cornerback Deonte Banks as they all declared for the draft. Linebacker Ahmad McCullough (45 tackles) entered the portal.

Why Bet on NC State?

Starting quarterback Devin Leary, the preseason ACC Player of the Year, suffered a season-ending injury on Oct. 8 and opted to transfer at the end of the regular season. While leading the Wolfpack to a 9-3 record in 2021, Leary threw for 3,433 yards with 35 touchdowns and just five interceptions. He had 1,265 yards with 11 TD passes and four interceptions in six games this year prior to getting hurt. Leary will play next year at Kentucky.

After Leary’s injury, the Wolfpack started three different quarterbacks, including freshman MJ Morris. Coach Dave Doeren said both Morris and Ben Finley, who started and won the Wolfpack’s regular-season finale against North Carolina, are practicing for the bowl.

Indeed, NCSU upset North Carolina in the regular-season finale 30-27 in double OT. Christopher Dunn connected on a 21-yard field goal to open the second overtime before North Carolina kicker Noah Burnette missed a 35-yarder to seal the NC State victory. In his first career start, Finley completed 27-of-40 passes for 271 yards and two touchdowns with no interceptions. Finley connected with 10 different receivers in the victory.

NC State finished the regular season as one of just three teams to allow 30 points or less in each game this season. In the playoff era, the only four ACC teams to do it in all 12 regular-season games are 2015 Florida State, 2019 Clemson and 2021 Clemson.

The Wolfpack’s 14 straight games without allowing more than 30 points also ranks first in the nation. Since 2010, only Clemson (4x) and Miami (2016-17) have longer streaks. NC State’s streak of 14 straight games without allowing more than 30 points is its longest streak since an 18-game streak stretching from a 16-13 win at Clemson on Oct. 27, 1979, to a 31-10 win over East Carolina on Sept. 19, 1981.

Starting center Grant Gibson is out due to injury. Receiver Devin Carter (25 catches and 16.2 yards per catch) won’t play, either. Offensive coordinator Tim Beck left to be the head coach at Coastal Carolina. Kurt Roper will call plays.

Game Trends

  • Terrapins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
  • Terrapins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Terrapins are 13-32 ATS in their last 45 games following a straight up win.
  • Wolfpack are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 bowl games.
  • Wolfpack are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

Expert Prediction

  • NC State 26, Maryland 23
 
 

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