American Athletic Conference champion Southern Methodist hopes to stamp their season with a big bowl victory when the Mustangs head to Massachusetts to take on Boston College. The Eagles are the huge +10 underdog.
Will SMU get it done as the chalk? Or will Boston College’s home field advantage lead to a win?
The Boston College Eagles are the favorites in the college football lines in this game. The Mustangs are listed at -10. The total for this affair is set at 49.5 points.
2023 Wasabi Fenway Bowl Odds: SMU vs Boston College | MyBookie Bowl Game Preview
SMU Mustangs vs Boston College Eagles
ATS Odds: SMU -10
Money line Odds: SMU Line -425 / Boston College Line -315
Over/Under Odds: 49.5
Thursday, December 28th, 2023 at 11:00 pm ET | ESPN / ESPN+
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
SMU Mustangs Analysis
After starting the season going 2-2 straight up, SMU rolled to 9 straight victories. Some of the victories made SMU look like a College Football Playoff squad.
The Mustangs beat Memphis 38-34 on the road and Navy 59-14. The 26-14 victory over Tulane impressed because it happened on Tulane’s field and SMU’s starting quarterback was hurt. If the Mustangs can repeat the performance against BC, SMU will cover.
SMU Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 466.7
- Passing Yards: 285.6
- Rushing Yards: 181.1
- Points Scored: 40.6
- Turnovers: 5
SMU Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 299.5
- Passing Yards: 188.4
- Rushing Yards: 11.2
- Points Scored: 17.4
- Takeaways: 11
Boston College Eagles Analysis
Although Boston College finished their season losing 3 straight, there were moments during the season when BC looked like an ACC contender.
The Eagles hung with Florida State in a 31-29 loss. If Boston College had secured the win, FSU’s griping about missing out on the College Football Playoff would be meaningless.
Boston College also beat Syracuse and Georgia Tech, a couple of bowl teams. In addition, Boston College played against better teams in the regular season than the SMU Mustangs.
Boston College Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 382.2
- Passing Yards: 191.0
- Rushing Yards: 191.2
- Points Scored: 25.0
- Turnovers: 5
Boston College Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 391.0
- Passing Yards: 197.4
- Rushing Yards: 193.6
- Points Scored: 29.5
- Takeaways: 8
Final Betting Prediction: 24 SMU Mustangs vs Boston College Eagles
On paper, SMU is the mut better team, but this happens at Fenway Park, which makes it a Boston College home game. So with their fans behind them, can Boston College step it up enough to keep this close?
It’s not likely. For sure, BC had moments during the regular season where they looked like a solid team. But those moments were far and few in between.
Not only that, but BC ended their season losing 48-22 to Virginia Tech, 24-16 to Pittsburgh, and 45-20 against Miami. Southern Methodist would beat all three of those teams this season. The Mustangs take on the Eagles in Boston College’s backyard, but it doesn’t matter. SMU covers.
NCAAF Fenway Bowl: ATS SMU Mustangs -10 | Bet SMU vs Boston College Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game
SMU Mustangs Last 5
| Date | OPP | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 12/2/23 | @ TULN | W26-14 |
| 11/25/23 | vs NAVY | W59-14 |
| 11/18/23 | @ MEM | W38-34 |
| 11/10/23 | vs UNT | W45-21 |
| 11/4/23 | @ RICE | W36-31 |
Boston College Eagles Last 5
| Date | OPP | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 11/24/23 | vs MIA | L45-20 |
| 11/16/23 | @ PITT | L24-16 |
| 11/11/23 | vs VT | L48-22 |
| 11/3/23 | @ SYR | W17-10 |
| 10/28/23 | vs CONN | W21-14 |
Boston College Eagles vs SMU Mustangs Trends
- Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5
- Boston College is 4-8 ATS this season
- Over is 5-3 in the Eagles’ last 8
- Over is 9-3 in Boston College games this season
- Mustangs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7
- SMU is 8-5 ATS this season
- Over is 4-2 in SMU’s last 6
- Under is 7-6 in SMU games this season
MyBookie offers College Football futures to win the 2023 NCAA Division I FBS football season.
2023 NCAA College Football National Championship Odds to Win
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines | -200 |
| Washington Huskies | +170 |
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