2022 Texas Bowl Game Prediction Ole Miss Is Favorite, Can It Beat Texas Tech

2022 Texas Bowl Game Prediction : Ole Miss Is Favorite, Can It Beat Texas Tech?

Written by on December 27, 2022

Four bowl games on Wednesday and the finale of them features Texas Tech of the Big 12 facing Ole Miss of the SEC in the Texas Bowl from Houston – so the Red Raiders should have a sizable fan advantage. The Rebs, though, are short favorites on the NCAAF odds.

How to Bet Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss NCAA Football Odds & TV Info

  • When: Wednesday, 9 PM ET
  • Where: NRG Stadium, Houston
  • TV: ESPN
  • Stream: ESPN app
  • Radio: ESPN radio
  • Opening NCAAF Lines: Ole Miss -3.5 (total 71.5)

Series History

These two programs have met six times before, with Ole Miss most recently earning a 47-27 victory against Texas Tech on Sept. 1, 2018, at the Texas Kickoff in Houston. It will be Ole Miss’ first time in the Texas Bowl and Texas Tech’s third.

Why Bet on Texas Tech?

The Red Raiders (7-5) closed the regular season with a 51-48 OT win over Oklahoma. Trailing by 18 points, Texas Tech rallied to win, marking its largest come-from-behind victory all-time in the series against Oklahoma. It marked the largest come-from-behind win overall for the Red Raiders since fighting back from a 20-point deficit to defeat Kansas, 45-34, on Oct. 1, 2011, in Lawrence.

Trey Wolff made a 35-yard field goal in overtime after a tying kick in the final seconds of regulation. The Red Raiders ended a 10-game losing streak against OU and beat the Sooners and Texas in the same season for the first time in coach Joey McGuire’s first season.  Texas Tech (5-4 Big 12) secured a winning conference record for the first time since 2009.

Tyler Shough set a career-high for passing yardage with 436 yards as well as a career-high 31 completions and 50 pass attempts. It was his fourth career 300-yard or better passing game and third at Tech. He moves to 7-1 when starting for Texas Tech.

Jerand Bradley finished with a career best in receiving yards with 173 for Texas Tech, and he had a 44-yard tiebreaking TD catch in the fourth quarter. Bradley’s 173 yards receiving was the most by a Texas Tech freshman since Michael Crabtree had 195 on Nov. 10, 2007, at Texas.

Texas Tech enters bowl season as one of only two programs nationally to rank in the top 10 of the FBS for both red zone offense (8th) and red zone defense (9th), joining top-ranked Georgia. TTU is only the second FBS program since 1996 to have three different quarterbacks throw for at least 1,000 yards in a season, joining Oklahoma State from the 2012 campaign. Texas Tech leads the Big 12 in passing yards per game, averaging over 327. The offense effectively moved the ball, ranking third in the nation for first downs.

The Red Raiders will have plenty of support backing them in Houston as Texas Tech quickly sold out of its allotment of 6,000 tickets for the game. The city is home to several prominent Red Raiders, including Tony Bradford Jr., Adrian Frye, Dennis Wilburn, Mason Tharp and Wolff.

Texas Tech will be facing an opponent from the Southeastern Conference in a bowl for a second-consecutive season after routing Mississippi State, 34-7, a year ago in the AutoZone Liberty Bowl. It will be only the 13th time the Red Raiders have faced an SEC opponent since becoming a Big 12 Conference member in 1996.

Why Bet on Ole Miss?

Ole Miss (8-4) ended the season with a third straight loss, 24-22 on Nov. 24 in the Egg Bowl vs. Mississippi State amid rumors Coach Lane Kiffin could leave for Auburn. He didn’t and got a big extension instead. Kiffin, 47, has guided Ole Miss to a 23-12 record in three seasons leading the Rebels.

Kiffin’s success with quarterbacks has been well-documented. He lured Jaxson Dart from USC prior to this season, helped Matt Corral become a third-round draft pick last season and was Alabama’s offensive coordinator in 2015 when Jake Coker led the Crimson Tide to the national title.

The Rebels lead the SEC and rank No. 6 in the FBS with 82 plays of 20 yards or more. Ole Miss ranks top 20 nationally in total rushing yards (3,139), rushing attempts (571), yards per rush (5.5) and rushing TDs (31). The Rebels average 491.3 total yards per game, the fifth-best single-season mark in school history … Three of the top five offensive seasons in program history have all come under Kiffin.

The Rebels are second in the SEC and No. 11 nationally converting on third downs 47.7 percent of the time. RB Quinshon Judkins earned numerous postseason awards including CBS National Freshman of the Year and SEC Newcomer of the Year. He leads all SEC running backs in both rushing yards (1,476) and rushing touchdowns (16). Zach Evans ranks seventh in the SEC in rushing yards (899).

The Rebels stand as one of two Power-5 teams with 5,000 yards of total offense (5,895, No. 16 FBS) and 3,000 yards rushing (3,139, No. 4 FBS) alongside Michigan. The Rebels’ No. 4 rushing attack only ranks behind the triple-option oriented service academies Air Force (3,971), Army (3,473) and then Michigan (3,159), which has played one more game due to the Big 10 Championship Game.

Ole Miss is making its third straight bowl appearance under Lane Kiffin. The Rebels are 12-3 in its last 15 bowl games dating back to the 1992 Liberty Bowl

Game Trends

  • Red Raiders are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win.
  • Red Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in December.
  • Red Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. SEC.
  • Rebels are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 Bowl games.
  • Rebels are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.

Expert Prediction

  • Ole Miss 30, Texas Tech 27
 
 

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