Texas Longhorns 2022 Season Betting Guide

Texas Longhorns 2022 Season Betting Guide

Written by on July 8, 2022

The Texas Longhorns already have made big news this summer by landing maybe the most touted high school quarterback prospect ever in Arch Manning, nephew of Peyton and Eli. However, Arch won’t be on campus until next year. Another former QB mega-recruit, Quinn Ewers, will lead the 2022 Horns under center. What to expect? Here is your NCAA Football betting preview.

  • Odds to win national title: +5500
  • Odds to win Big 12: +240
  • Over/under win total: 8.5

Texas Longhorns 2022 Season Guide

No question that the first season at Texas for Steve Sarkisian was a disaster as the team finished 5-7 overall, including an utterly embarrassing 57-56 OT home loss to doormat Kansas on Nov. 13. The Horns lost despite Casey Thompson completing 30-of-43 passes for 358 yards and six touchdowns. He also rushed six times for 28 yards and one touchdown. The six TD passes in a game tied Colt McCoy’s UT record established in 2006 against Baylor. His seven touchdowns accounted for (6 pass/1 rush) equaled Clyde Littlefield’s (4 pass/3 rec) Texas record established in 1915 against Daniel Baker.

However, Thompson is gone, having transferred to Nebraska. He led the Longhorns with 2,113 pass yards and 24 touchdowns with nine interceptions last year while completing 63.2% of his passes. Thompson started Texas’ final 10 games after backing up Sam Ehlinger in previous seasons.

The good news is that UT brings back one of the nation’s top running backs in Bijan Robinson. Last year, he was named first-team All-Big 12 and was a Doak Walker Award finalist. In 10 games, Robinson carried the ball 195 times for a team-leading 1,127 yards and 11 touchdowns .and also caught 26 passes for 295 yards and four touchdowns.

Robinson ranked third in the conference total touchdowns (15), fourth in scoring (9.0 points per game), sixth in rushing yards, rushing touchdowns and all-purpose yards (1,422), and seventh in total points score (90). His 142.20 all-purpose yards per game and 112.7 rushing yards per game ranked third in the conference and his 5.78 yards per carry were fifth-best.

For this year, Robinson was named the Preseason Big 12 Offensive Player of the Year. Robinson was one of two unanimous selections to the preseason All-Big 12 team and is joined by Horns wide receiver Xavier Worthy and linebacker DeMarvion Overshown.

Last year, Worthy was an All-Big 12 First Team honoree, selected Big 12 Offensive Freshman of the Year and AP Big 12 Newcomer of the Year. He played in and started all 12 games and had 62 receptions for 981 yards and 12 touchdowns. He established single-season UT freshman records in all three categories and also set single-game Texas freshman records for receptions (14), receiving yards (261) and receiving touchdowns (3, twice).

Overshown was a 2021 Butkus Award semifinalist and All-Big 12 honorable mention. He played in and started 10 games and registered a team-leading 74 tackles (38 solo) with 5.5 tackles for loss, two sacks, two fumble recoveries, two quarterback hurries, two pass break ups and one blocked kick.

However, all eyes will be on Ohio State transfer Quinn Ewers. He was ranked as a five-star quarterback, the No. 1 signal-caller in the 2022 class, and originally committed to Texas in high school. Before the Longhorns fired coach Tom Herman last January, Ewers backed off his commitment and eventually flipped to Ohio State. Ewers is originally from Southlake, Texas, and played for Carroll High School, where he threw for 4,003 yards, 45 touchdowns and three interceptions in the 2019 season. His 2020 season was cut short to only four games, but Ewers still had 1,221 yards passing, 15 touchdown passes and two interceptions. Ewers is UT’s highest-rated recruit since Vince Young (in 2002) but hasn’t started a football game since he helped Southlake Carroll reach the 2020 Texas 6A state championship.

The offensive line returns starters Junior Angilau at guard, Jake Majors at center and Christian Jones at tackle. Texas defense struggled last year, giving up 31.1 points and 201.6 rushing yards (5.2 yards per carry) per game while failing to muster a pass rush so there will be need to be major improvement on that side of the ball. The Longhorns added James Madison transfer Diamonte Tucker-Dorsey to the linebacker unit after spring practice.

Schedule-wise, UT has two easy non-conference games vs. UL Monroe and UTSA but also hosts Alabama on Sept. 10 and certainly will be a big underdog there. In Big 12 play, the annual Oklahoma game is in Dallas per usual. The toughest road test will be at Oklahoma State.

Expert Prediction

  • 9-3, reach Big 12 title game

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