The American Express Odds Favorites, Betting Prediction, Longshot Pick 2023

The American Express Odds Favorites, Betting Prediction, Longshot Pick 2023

One of two pro-ams on the PGA Tour, The American Express is a tournament like no other. Held in California, the event will be played at three different golf courses and has a 54-hole cut. Those who make the cut participate in the final round at the PGA West (Stadium Course). The first three rounds will be played at the PGA West (Nicklaus Tournament Course) and La Quinta Country Club.

Ten of the top 20 players in the world are in the field for The American Express, including 2022 PGA Tour Player of the Year Scottie Scheffler and Southern California natives Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele. The winner of the event receives 500 FedExCup points. Let’s get closer look at the upcoming American Express tournament so you can place your bets against the PGA Tour Betting favorites.

Golf Betting Analysis and Predictions for the 2023 American Express Tournament

Outright Odds

  • Jon Rahm +600
  • Patrick Cantlay +1000
  • Scottie Scheffler +1000
  • Tony Finau +1400
  • Xander Schauffele +2000
  • Cameron Young +2000
  • Will Zalatoris +2000
  • Sungjae Im +2000
  • Tom Kim +2200
  • Sam Burns +3300

Rahm Looking to Continue Impressive Season

It’s only January, and Jon Rahm has already earned more than half of what he made in 2021-22. The talented Spaniard won just once last year and had eight top-10 finishes, earning $5.24 million along the way. He finished T4 at The CJ Cup in South Carolina in November and won the Sentry Tournament of Champions in the first week of the New Year.

Rahm’s victory at the Tournament of Champions was especially impressive given his final-round performance. He shot 10-under to finish at 27-under with a two-stroke win over Colin Morikawa, who shot just 1-under in the final round to finish at 25-under. 

Scheffler and Cantlay Sharing World No. 1?

Rory McIlroy, who isn’t at The American Express, is the current world No. 1 in the Official World Golf Rankings (OWGR). However, there’s a chance Scottie Scheffler and Patrick Cantlay can share that distinction after this weekend. This has never happened in the history of the OWGR.

While unlikely, Cantlay would need to win the event, and Scheffler would have to finish solo eighth place for the two to share the unique distinction. McIlroy has held the No. 1 spot since winning the CJ Cup in November. Cantlay hasn’t been ranked higher than third. 

Prediction and Longshot Bet

Xander Schauffele has been a consistent force on the PGA Tour now for the past four seasons, finishing among the top five in the FedEx Cup rankings in each of those years. He hasn’t played much this season, but finished ninth at the ZOZO Championship and fourth at the Hero World Challenge. 

Schauffele was dealing with a sore back a few weeks ago, but is healthy heading into this weekend. A three-time winner last season, he finished the year with four consecutive top-10 finishes and is a good-value bet at +2000 to win the American Express.

If you’re looking for a sleeper pick, Sahith Theegala is a solid option. He’s a high-risk/high-reward player who has the same strokes gained per round ratio as Schauffele. He finished second earlier this season at the RSM Classic.


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