Mexico Open Odds, Picks, and PGA Betting Analysis

Mexico Open Odds, Picks, and PGA Betting Analysis

The Mexico Open is the national golf tournament of Mexico. First played in 1944, it was part of the European Challenge Tour and Nationwide Tour in the past but, since 2022, has been an official event on the PGA Tour. There’s more than $7 million and 500 FedEx Cup points up for grabs this weekend at Vidanta Vallarta, a par-71 course in Vallarta, Mexico.

2023 Masters champion Jon Rahm won the event last year with a one-stroke victory over runners-up Tony Finau, Kurt Kitayama, and Brandon Wu. After a short break last weekend, Rahm is back in action to defend his title and is the overwhelming favorite to win with +275 odds.

Check out MyBookie’s PGA betting lines for the 2023 Mexico Open at Vidanta golf tournament.


Mexico Open Betting Predictions and Favorites Odds | PGA Tour Lines

PGA Tour Tournament Info | Updated PGA Odds
When: April 27-30, 2023
Where: Vidanta Vallarta, Vallarta, Mexico
Par/Length: 72 / 7,456 yards (6,818 m)
Prize fund: US$7,700,000


The Favorite – Jon Rahm (+275)

Not only is he the defending champion, but Rahm is the current world No. 1 and playing at a level we haven’t seen since the heyday of Tiger Woods. He finished T15 at the RBC Heritage, despite being exhausted from winning the Masters the weekend prior, and already has four wins this season. 

Rahm is almost a guarantee to finish top-10 in any event he plays, and he should have little trouble doing so again with a diminished field in Mexico. Yet, at +275, there’s not much value in taking Rahm over the field, even if the tournament is missing major stars like Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, and Patrick Cantlay. 

Mexico Open Favorite Pick: Jon Rahm | Bet Jon Rahm to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Tournament


The Smart Pick – Tony Finau (+800)

Not including the WWT Championship in early November, Tony Finau hasn’t missed a cut this season. He picked up his lone win at the Houston Open in November and, while he hasn’t won since, has finished among the top 20 more often than not. He’s going to be in contention and enters this weekend with confidence after finishing runner-up at last year’s tournament.

Finau is one of the best iron players on tour. He finished last year’s tournament with rounds of 66 and 63 and, for a lack of better explanation, feels due for another win. He finished T31 in his last start at the RBC Heritage.

Mexico Open Smart Pick: Tony Finau | Bet Tony Finau to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Tournament


Longshot Pick – Aaron Rai (+5000)

If you’re looking beyond the big names, there’s no better option than Aaron Rai at +5000. An each-way bet would also be a good idea, as the 28-year-old Englishman has shown the ability to compete with the world’s top players week in and week out. The two-time winner on the European Tour has made the cut in each of his last four tournaments, including a T19 finish at THE PLAYERS. 

Rai finished T13 last weekend at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans and is one of the most accurate drivers on tour and is among the leaders in true strokes gained off the tee. 

Mexico Open Longshot Pick: Aaron Rai | Bet Aaron Rai to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Tournament


Mexico Open Outright Odds

Jon Rahm +275
Tony Finau +800
Wyndham Clark +1800
Gary Woodland +2200
Nicolai Hojgaard +3000
Patrick Rodgers +3000
Maverick McNealy +3000
Byeong-Hun An +3500
Beau Hossler +3500
Alex Noren +4500
Bet Mexico Open to Win
Jon Rahm’s wins 7th PGA TOUR title | Round 4 | Mexico Open | 2022

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