Tigers vs White Sox

Tigers vs White Sox | 2021 MLB Betting Odds

Written by on April 28, 2021

The White Sox’s Carlos Rodon threw a no-hitter earlier this MLB season. Could the lefty do it again Wednesday vs. the Detroit Tigers? Obviously, that’s an extreme long shot on the MLB odds, but the Tigers are bad enough offensively to where it’s realistically possible.

How to Bet Tigers at White Sox MLB Odds & TV Info

  • When: Wednesday, 8:10 PM ET
  • Where: Guaranteed Rate Field
  • Probable pitchers (away/home): Casey Mize/Carlos Rodon
  • TV: MLB Extra Innings

Why Bet on Detroit? | 2021 MLB Betting Odds

The Tigers entered this series off a four-game home sweep vs. Kansas City, and Detroit is pretty clearly the worst team in the American League so far. They are pitching well enough but not hitting at all.

Miguel Cabrera’s next double will be his 400th wearing the Olde English ‘D’, becoming the eighth player in franchise history to reach that mark. Cabrera’s next two-bagger will also be the 583rd of his career, tying him with Robin Yount for 21st in MLB history. Akil Baddoo is the first MLB rookie ever to have at least four doubles, three triples and four home runs in the first 17 games of his career.

It’s former No. 1 overall pick Casey Mize on the mound here — Mize gets a third career meeting with the White Sox, the team against which he made his MLB debut last year on Aug. 19. In those first two starts vs. Chicago, he struck out 12 batters over 9 2/3 innings in a pair of no-decisions, and took a no-hit bid into the sixth inning last Sept. 11.

Mize is 1-2 with a 5.23 ERA this year. He was roughed up in last Friday’s loss to the Royals, surrendering six runs on seven hits over 4 2/3 innings. The right-hander also issued three free passes while recording only one strikeout on the night. He surrendered solo homers to Andrew Benintendi and Ryan O’Hearn in the second and fourth innings respectively, then the Royals opened the floodgates and chased Mize with four runs in the fifth inning. Mize threw 85 pitches in the game (51 for strikes) and his fastball averaged 94.3 mph — down one mph from his season average.

Mize’s ground-ball rate has jumped from 39.3% last season to 59.2% this year, while his line-drive rate has dropped from 33.7% to 14.3%. His barrel rate has also dropped, from 13.5% to 10.2%.

“The ground-ball percentage I think is just coming from throwing more splitters for strikes,” Mize said. “And I think being in the zone with that a little bit more has allowed for weak contact. Slider, the same way. And then pitching inside with the four-seamer, and even occasionally with the two-seamer, to get some weak contact and put the ball on the ground is probably the reason you’re getting the results.”

Why Bet on Chicago? | 2021 MLB Betting Odds

The White Sox went 9-1 against the Tigers in 2020 (7-0 at home), their best mark in the 120-year history of the series. It was the first time they have gone 7-0 or better at home against a team since 2010 when they were 7-0 vs. Seattle. The Sox batted .301/.358/.536 with 20 home runs and 70 runs scored (7.0 R/G) with a 2.33 ERA (23 ER/89/0 IP) and 87 strikeouts and outscored the Tigers by 42 runs.

The White Sox have scored 17 first-inning runs this season, tied with Boston for the most in the American League. Chicago is 22-7 over their last 29 home games.

It’s lefty Carlos Rodon (3-0, 0.47) here. He threw the 20th no-hitter in franchise history on 4/14 vs. Cleveland, retiring the first 25 batters before hitting Roberto Pérez with a pitch. Rodon’s last two starts have come against Cleveland, both victories.

Last Tuesday, he limited the Indians to two runs — one earned — over five innings on a cold night. It wasn’t quite a no-hitter, but Rodon did strike out eight batters across his five innings of work and now has a 0.47 ERA with 24 strikeouts through 19 total innings this season. He had pitched 13 consecutive no-hit innings until a solo homer by Jordan Luplow in the third snapped his streak of 17 2/3 scoreless innings and 51 batters without allowing a hit.

Rodon has gone 2-2 with a 6.82 ERA (25 ER/33.0 IP), 33 strikeouts and a .293 (39-133) opponents’ average over six career starts vs. Detroit.

Game Trends

  • Tigers are 15-36 in their last 51 Wednesday games.
  • Tigers are 27-68 in their last 95 during game 2 of a series.
  • Tigers are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • White Sox are 10-4 in their last 14 during game 2 of a series.
  • White Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 Wednesday games.

Expert Prediction

  • White Sox 5, Tigers 3
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