NBA Over/Under Betting Picks and Analysis for the Best Week 16 Games

NBA Over/Under Betting Picks and Analysis for the Best Week 16 Games

This week’s top NBA over under picks start on Tuesday when the Denver Nuggets host the New Orleans Pelicans. Other top matchups include the Grizzlies taking on the Cavaliers on Thursday and Dallas throwing down with Golden State in prime time on Saturday. Keep reading for NBA Betting analysis and free picks for those three contests as well as three of this week’s best over/under total betting opportunities. 

NBA Week 16 Betting Predictions: O/U Picks for the Best Monday Matches

2022-23 NBA Season Week 16

  • When: Monday, Jan. 30 – Sunday, Feb. 5

New Orleans Pelicans at Denver Nuggets | Tuesday, Jan. 31

In their last on Jan. 29, the Pelicans broke a 4-game under streak. New Orleans faced Milwaukee in the matchup, a game that ended in a 135-110 Milwaukee victory.

Like the Pels, Denver had played in multiple under games, 3, before their last on Jan. 28, a 126-119 loss to the Philadelphia 76ers. Both teams should play okay defense in this. A return to the under makes sense. 

NBA O/U Pick: Under 

Atlanta Hawks at Phoenix Suns | Wednesday, Feb. 1

Atlanta is an over team. Hawks’ games are on a 6-1 over to under streak in the last 7.

Phoenix has played in more under than over games in recent matches. One of the issues is that Devin Booker remains out. He may not play until either later this week or early next week.

The Suns rank fifth in points allowed per game at 111.6. Phoenix gets it done. 

NBA O/U Pick: Phoenix Suns

Memphis Grizzlies at Cleveland Cavaliers | Thursday, Feb. 2

This sets up as a “play against the trend” matchup. The trend is definitely for this game to go under. The under has hit in six straight Memphis games from Jan. 20 to Jan. 29.

But the Grizzlies’ over/under record is 24-26 over to under. What that tells us is that oddsmakers adjusted totals in Memphis games to balance things out.

Expect a reverse adjustment to ensure this game goes over. Also, Memphis is on the road where their terrific defense could struggle.

NBA O/U Pick: Over  

Charlotte Hornets at Detroit Pistons | Friday, Feb. 3

Charlotte starts the week on a 2-game winning streak. 1 of the Hornets’ games went under. The other went over. 

Detroit is 29-21 over to under. This game for sure can go over no matter what total oddsmakers set. But because Charlotte is the road team, we must expect the Pistons to play better than their twenty-ninth ranked points per game defense usually plays. Lean under. 

NBA O/U Pick: Under  

Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors | Saturday, Feb. 4

Luca Doncic and the Mavericks versus Steph and the Golden State Warriors suggests an over game. To bolster the over thesis, Golden State ranks high in points per game and points allowed per matchup.

The Warriors rank second when scoring over 117 each contest. Golden State ranks twenty-sixth when allowing 118 each game. Over is the way to go. 

NBA O/U Pick: Over  

Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks | Sunday, Feb. 5

To start the week, Philly has played in 4-of-5 over games. Overall, the 76ers are 29-19 over to under.

The Knicks are 27-23 over to under. Oddsmakers tend to try and even out money on totals.  No doubt, oddsmakers are going to set a close to impossible over total, one that should go under. Consider backing under.  

NBA O/U Pick: Under    


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