NFL Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots Betting Analysis – Week 6

The scorching Dallas Cowboys head to New England on Sunday to take on Bill Belichick’s Patriots in what’s sure to be one of the most entertaining games in NFL Week 6. After a season opening loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the Cowboys have won four straight. Can Dak Prescott and his mates keep the good times rolling? Or will Mac Jones and the Patriots end the winning streak? Keep reading for NFL odds, analysis, and a free pick for Cowboys versus Patriots.   

NFL Betting Preview for Cowboys at New England

NFL Week 6: Cowboys vs Patriots Game Odds & Info

• When: Sunday, Oct. 17 at 4:25 pm ET
• Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
• TV / Streaming: CBS / Paramount +
• ATS Odds: Dallas -3 ½             
• Moneyline Odds: Dallas -190 / New England +160
• Over/Under Odds: 51 ½ 

Why bet on Dallas versus New England?

Dallas is on fire. The offense averages 34 points per game, ranking second in the league. The defense allows less than 24 points each game. The Cowboys are so hot they’ve scored 41, 36, and 44 points in their last three games. The last time Dallas scored less than 21 was in a 20-17 victory against the equally on fire Los Angeles Chargers.

Dallas Cowboys Offensive Averages

• Total Yards: 439.6

• Passing Yards: 266.8

• Rushing Yards: 172.8

• Points Scored: 34.0

• Turnovers: 5

Dallas Cowboys Defensive Averages

• Total Yards: 390.4

• Passing Yards: 311.0

• Rushing Yards: 79.4

• Points Scored: 23.4

• Takeaways: 12

Why bet on New England versus Dallas?

The Patriots are one of the better teams in the AFC. New England’s defense is good enough to contain Prescott and the Cowboys’ offense while rookie Mac Jones is completing 71.1% of his passes. If the Patriots’ line can give Jones time, he should have no trouble finding spots. The key for the Pats will be to control the clock and try and keep Prescott and the Cowboys’ offense off the field. Bill Belichick and Josh McDaniel are masters at calling a football game. So there’s a chance New England accomplishes their goal.   

New England Patriots Offensive Averages

• Total Yards: 319.8

• Passing Yards: 239.8

• Rushing Yards: 80.0

• Points Scored: 19.2

• Turnovers: 9

New England Patriots Defensive Averages

• Total Yards: 317.6

• Passing Yards: 206.6

• Rushing Yards: 111.0

• Points Scored: 18.4

• Takeaways: 6

Cowboys at Patriots Relevant Trends

• Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games
• Dallas is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win
• Under is 4-0 in the Cowboys last 4 as a road favorite
• Patriots are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog
• New England is 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win
• Under is 6-0 in the Patriots last 6 games as an underdog

Dallas Cowboys versus New England Patriots Final Betting Prediction

The New England Patriots are a decent football team, which is one of the reasons their odds to win the Super Bowl fell below +2500 at one point during the offseason. But although the Pats are decent, the Dallas Cowboys are one of the best teams in the NFL.

Dallas’ offense does everything right. The only offense that averages more points per game are the Buffalo Bills’. Because of that, the Cowboys should have no trouble moving the ball at will against a New England defense that plays hard, but doesn’t match up with the Boys’ speed.

The Cowboys’ defense also has an edge. Mac Jones has turned into the best rookie quarterback in the league. But Jones must play behind a banged up offensive line. Left tackle Isaiah Wynn is out, meaning Dallas rookie Micah Parsons could get some shots on Jones.

Anyway we look at it, the Cowboys should win and cover this. Dallas scores another big straight up victory.  

NFL Week 6 Pick: Dallas Cowboys

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