We are through three weeks of the NFL season, and now that we have some injuries surrounding teams, while also figuring out exactly the identities of these teams, we can make sure we are making some money by figuring out these winners. Whether your looking for a survivor pick or picks against the spread, we will provide you with both here so you can bet against their NFL Lines!
The “Sure Winners” for Week 4 of the 2022-23 NFL Season
Kansas City Chiefs (-3) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
We might as well begin with the primetime matchup in this game as the Chiefs are coming off of a 20-17 road loss against the Indianapolis Colts while the Buccaneers lost at home to the Green Bay Packers 14-12. As always, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense has looked lost at times due to injuries and underperformance as Tom Brady threw for 43 touchdowns last season and is at three touchdown passes through three games. The offenses as a whole have been the difference as Kansas City is averaging 29.3 points per game while Tampa Bay is scoring just 17 points per game. Tampa Bay is 5-15-1 against the spread in their last 21 October games so go with the Kansas City Chiefs to cover the spread.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have been doing well and are coming off a 38-10 road win over the Los Angeles Chargers, while the Philadelphia Eagles are coming off a 24-8 road win against the Washington Commanders. Philly has 12 total sacks, while Jacksonville has seven total sacks as a defense. If you subtract the huge Week 1 total, the Eagles are giving up 7.5 points per game, and I still do not trust Trevor Lawrence as cornerback Darius Slay is going to lock up wide receiver Christian Kirk, and that means there is a huge issue there for the Jaguars offense.
This is a revenge game for the Jaguars as Doug Pederson, the head coach for the Philadelphia Eagles during their Super Bowl victory, is heading back to Lincoln Financial Field. This feels like a Jalen Hurts show as I do not love Jacksonville’s secondary with cornerback Shaquill Griffin ruled out for this game trying to keep up with guys like AJ Brown and Devonta Smith. Be wary of the backdoor cover, but the Eagles should be able to win by multiple possessions at home in this game.
Survivor Pick: New York Giants
The New York Giants are hosting the Chicago Bears in Week 4, and the Giants are far and away the best team on the field. The story is going to be the quarterback as Justin Fields is not trusted in this offense as he has 15 passing attempts per game and has a 23 QBR. We are not going to look at the betting line for this game as this is being written before the Monday Night Football game, and things can happen, but there is a huge difference between these teams, and the Giants should walk away with the win.