Tunisia, the northernmost country in Africa, will enter the World Cup one of the longest shots on the board. Tunisia offers the same odds as host Qatar, +34000, to win the WC. A Tunisian World Cup win would qualify as the greatest upset in sports’ history. But just because Tunisia has almost zero chance to win the World Cup, it doesn’t mean the Tunisians can’t make their way to the knockout stage. Will Tunisia stamp their ticket to the Round of 16? Or should Tunisians ready themselves for a group stage exit? Check out a Tunisian odds analysis to win the World Cup as well as a Round of 16 prediction so you can get ready to bet against their FIFA World Cup Odds.
Tunisia Soccer Betting Analysis and their 2022 FIFA Qatar World Cup Odds
2022 Qatar World Cup
- When: Nov. 21 – Dec. 18
Tunisia Odds to Win the FIFA Qatar World Cup
- Tunisia +34000
340-to-1 odds are massive for sure, but massive odds doesn’t mean a team is an overlay. In fact, Tunisia doesn’t have a better chance of winning the World Cup than Costa Rica and Costa Rica offers significantly higher odds.
Los Ticos is +75000. Granted, Costa Rica plays in a group that includes Germany and Spain. But Keylor Navas, perhaps the best goalie in the world, steps into the net for Costa Rica.
Tunisia doesn’t have a player that can touch Navas. So in reality, Tunisia is an underlay at their odds. Even if they magically make it to the next round, the Tunisians figure to bow out at the knockout stage.
So now that we’ve established that Tunisia is an underlay at their odds to win the WC, we can turn our attention to Tunisia’s chances to make it to the Round of 16.
Why Tunisia will move to the next round
The Tunisians have quietly built a strong national soccer program. During the early World Cup cycles, Tunisia was part of France.
The first time Tunisia qualified for the World Cup as a sovereign nation was 1978. The Tunisians suffered through a 20 year drought, but they qualified for three straight WC’s from 1998 through 2006.
Tunisia also qualified for the 2018 World Cup. It might be time for Tunisia to take the next step, which means they can lock down a Round of 16 berth.
Why Tunisia won’t move to the next round
Although Tunisia has played well in the last few World Cup cycles, they haven’t played well enough move to the knockout stage.
At Qatar, Tunisia should play well again. And once again, they won’t qualify for the next round. Tunisia drew into Group D. France and Denmark are two of the top choices to win the World Cup. It will be close to impossible for Tunisia to get by either one of those stellar soccer nations.
Final Analysis – Tunisia will find it challenging to move to the knockout stage
Tunisia scored 5 goals during the last World Cup cycle. Scoring 5 goals is a big deal. But the last World Cup cycle is different than the 2022 Qatar World Cup.
This year’s WC is deep, which is one of the reasons to move to the next round, the Tunisians must get by both France and Denmark. The French are one of the top three favorites, along with Brazil and England, to lift the trophy.
Denmark is the best underdog play. The Danish offer +2800 odds, which makes them the choice before Croatia and Uruguay both at +5000.
Tunisia is a good soccer team. But they don’t have the players to hang with either Denmark or France. The best Tunisia will do is score a few goals during the group stage. But that’s the ceiling for the African nation longshot.