2023 College Football Week 4 SU Picks

Best Week 9 Games to Bet On From AP Poll 25 Ranked Teams

Another week, another chance to look at the College Football rankings and figure out what the betting market is telling us. The top six teams all stayed the same from the previous week but we have some new teams inside of the top 10. Today, we are going to dive into some NCAA Football Betting opportunities where we can make some money against the spread with some of the teams appearing on the AP Top 25. 

Top 25 College Football Analysis and Betting Opportunities for Week 9 of the 2022 Season

Ohio State Buckeyes vs Penn State Nittany Lions

The second-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes are heading to Beaver Stadium to face off against the 13th-ranked Penn State Nittany Lions this weekend. However, these programs are not on the same level as Ohio State is scoring 56.2 points in their previous five games while Penn State is averaging 28 points in their last four games. Junior quarterback C.J. Stroud is definitely in the Heisman discussion with his play as in those five games, he has 22 touchdowns to four 

interceptions. Go with the Buckeyes to cover 15.5 points on the road in this game.

Kentucky Wildcats vs Tennessee Volunteers

The 19th-ranked Kentucky Wildcats are on the road in Neyland Stadium this weekend to take on the third-ranked Tennessee Volunteers in a SEC matchup. Tennessee is an elite scoring offense, averaging 50.1 points per game behind their ability to throw exceptionally well with senior quarterback Hendon Hooker under center. This Kentucky defense is one of the best in the game and is the reason why they are ranked where they are as they are holding teams to just 16.1 points per game. They should be able to limit what Vounteers wide receiver Jalin Hyatt does in this game and stagnate the Tennessee offense. The underdog has covered in five of their last six games against each other so go with the Kentucky Wildcats getting 12 points on the road to limit what the Tennessee Volunteers can do offensively.

Cincinnati Bearcats vs UCF Knights

The 20th-ranked Cincinnati Bearcats are heading to the FBC Mortgage Stadium this weekend to take on the UCF Knights in an AAC matchup. The Bearcats have been ding pretty well as they are 6-1 (3-0) while the Knights are 5-2 (2-1) and are coming off of a loss. UCF depends on their running game, that is also led by senior quarterbac kJohn Rhus Plumlee, as he has 18 total touchdowns (11 passing, seven rushing). The biggest thing is the fact that this Bearcats team essentially eliminates the passing game as they are allowing 185.3 passing yards per game this season. The Knights are a good defense, but allowed 34 points to the East Carolina Pirates last week. The Cincinnati Bearcats are somehow the underdog in this game as they are getting 1.5 points in this game. Cincinnati has covered in seven of their previous eight games against teams with a winning record so easily give me the point and a half to cover the spread and sprinkle a bit on the moneyline as well.     

We knew it was going to be an interesting 2022 NASCAR season as the Cup Series switched over to the Next Gen car, and that indeed was the case as 19 different drivers won a race this past year. Some people love the parity, while others think that the new setup favors being lucky rather than good. 

The 2022 NASCAR postseason was interesting, with the first four races being won by non-playoff drivers. Eventually, the cream did rise to the top, with Chase Elliott, Christopher Bell, Joey Logano, and 2021 Cup Series champion Kyle Larson winning races down the stretch. 

Even with all the parity during the regular season, few people could argue that Joey Logano was an undeserving 2022 Cup Series champion. Logano had three wins during the regular NASCAR season and two in the playoffs, but now the question becomes, can he repeat in 2023? Let’s take a look at this analysis for your NASCAR bets.

What to expect in the upcoming 2023 NASCAR season?

2023 Team Changes 

There has always been some swapping of teams in the offseason in NASCAR, but it’s almost getting to be like an MLB trade deadline the way drivers are realigned for the 2023 season.

The biggest move is Kyle Gibbs going from Joe Gibbs Racing, where he’s been since 2008, and heading to Richard Childress Racing. This is the equivalent of Tom Brady leaving the Patriots. 

Other big team changes for 2023 include Tyler Reddick leaving RCR for 23XI. This isn’t a shock because Busch was coming over, and Reddick had announced his departure in 2024, but Kurt Busch’s retirement from a full-time driver pushed up the timeline. 

It’s not just ‘trades’ that are going to make 2023 interesting, but also full-time debuts. The two biggest names moving to the Cup Series full-time are Ty Gibbs, who replaces Busch at his grandfather’s JGR club, and Noah Gragson, coming off one of the more successful Xfinity regular seasons in recent memory to drive full-time for Petty GMS. A.J. Allmendinger is also returning to the Cup Series full-time for the first time since 2018.

Who Will Win the 2023 Cup Series?  

It will be interesting to see if the parity of 19 different drivers winning last season calms down in year two of the Next Gen car or if that’s just how NASCAR is going to be moving forward. Logano (+650) showed a mastery of the new racing format, so he’s obviously a favorite to become the first back-to-back winner since Jimmie Johnson in 2009/2010. 

The co-favorites to win the 2023 Cup Series are Chase Elliott and his Hendrick Motorsports teammate Kyle Larson at +600. Elliott made the final four this season, and he and Larson won the Cup Series in 2020 and 2021, respectively. 

Other contenders for some 2023 NASCAR Cup Series future bets are Christopher Bell (+800), who was a championship four finalist after getting hot with two wins in the playoffs. Ryan Blaney (+850) will be a hot pick as well, even though he failed to pick up a win last season. 

Maybe 2023 is the year that some old dogs return to top form, too, as Denny Hamlin (+1000) had two wins in 2022 but another ten top-five finishes. Maybe a change of scenery gets Busch (+2000) back on track. 

Buckle up; the Daytona 500 is right around the corner.

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