Best NBA Teams To Bet in Favor of their Betting Lines

If we look at sports wagering in its simplest form, you have a 50/50 chance of winning every wager. Soccer is a little different in that you can have tie games, but in the major North American sports, we love to see a winner, so you have 2 options. It seems ridiculously simple, but if you wager on a regular basis, you know that it’s not. This is why money management is critical in betting, but it’s also why spread betting is so popular. If you stick to NBA spread bets, you can be in profit by hitting about 55-60% of the games you wager, but how do you find those winning plays? Let’s get into it now.

What Factors Should You Look For When Playing NBA Spread Bets?

A little later in this piece, we will get into which teams are looking like great spread bets this season, but for now, let’s look at some of the things you should consider when looking for spread value:

Good at both ends – Teams who are solid in both the defensive and offensive end of the court are generally the ones that control a game and dictate how it is played. They are always worth a look.
Pace of play – It stands to reason that teams who play a fast-paced style are going to give themselves more opportunities to score. While you might see this as more advantageous to total wagering, it actually comes into play with spread betting, too.
Trends and streaks – Teams who regularly cover at a rate of around 60% or higher going against a team that covers less than 40% of the time is often a good bet. That said, there are other factors, such as location of the game, injuries, and fatigue that also need to be looked at rather than just betting blind.
Favorite or underdog? – Overall records can be deceiving, as some teams hit at a higher rate as a favorite than they do as an underdog, and vice versa. The same is also true with home and road games, so be sure to factor all of that in when looking for value plays.

Which NBA Teams Are Hot Right Now?

We are still very early in the season, so while we have several teams that are doing really well against the spread, this all starts to even out over the course of a very long season. Again, you also need to look at the situations for each team to see if they are being over- or undervalued by the bookies. For example, have they started the season with a lot of home games, or with a light schedule? Looking at the reasons why a team is covering so regularly is important, as this will reveal when they become solid plays and when they should be faded. Right now, here are the top 5 teams against the spread in the NBA, as of November 6, 2025:

In Conclusion

Like picking straight up, betting against the spread seems easy, but is you don’t put in the work and look for value and the reasons behind the trends, you are going to be in trouble. Put in the time, though, and NBA spread betting can quickly build your bankroll.

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