On Tuesday, SEC team Mississippi State heads to Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium to take on the Big 12’s Texas Tech Red Raiders in the 2021 AutoZone Liberty Bowl. Mississippi State is a -9 ½ favorite to punish the Red Raiders. Will Texas Tech keep the game close enough to win against the spread or will the Bulldogs roll? Check out College Football Bowl odds, analysis, and a free pick for the 2021 Liberty Bowl.
NCAAF Betting Analysis for Mississippi State Bulldogs Vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
AutoZone Liberty Bowl Odds | Mississippi State vs Texas Tech
- When: Tuesday, Dec. 28 at 6:45 pm ET
- Where: Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, Memphis, TN
- TV / Streaming: ESPN/ ESPN+
- ATS Odds: Mississippi State -9 ½
- Moneyline Odds: Texas Tech +285 / Mississippi State -370
- Over/Under Odds: 59
Why bet on Mississippi State versus Texas Tech?
Although the Bulldogs ended the regular season with a 7-5 record, check out the teams that beat Mississippi State. Ole Miss, Arkansas, and Alabama are ranked in the Top 25. The two teams that beat Miss State not ranked in the Top 25 are rival LSU and the Memphis Tigers. Mississippi State blew the game versus Memphis or they’d enter this bowl game with a 7-4 record.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 449.6
- Passing Yards: 385.7
- Rushing Yards: 63.9
- Points Scored: 30.9
- Takeaways: 7
Mississippi State Bulldogs Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 331.3
- Passing Yards: 230.1
- Rushing Yards: 101.2
- Points Scored: 25.3
- Takeaways: 11
Why bet on Texas Tech versus Mississippi State?
The 6-6 Red Raiders played some great games this season. Texas Tech upset Iowa State 41-38 in their biggest game of the season. The Red Raiders also hung with eventual Big 12 Champion Baylor in a 27-24 loss. Texas Tech is the type of team that steps it up the less we expect. On Tuesday, a hungry Texas Tech Red Raiders squad will step onto the field.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 408.5
- Passing Yards: 257.7
- Rushing Yards: 150.8
- Points Scored: 30.0
- Turnovers: 9
Texas Tech Red Raiders Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 411.3
- Passing Yards: 265.6
- Rushing Yards: 145.8
- Points Scored: 32.1
- Takeaways: 9
Relevant Trends for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
- Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games
- Mississippi State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games
- Over is 6-1 in the Bulldogs’ last 7 games as a bowl favorite
- Red Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in December
- Texas Tech is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 bowl games
- Over is 8-1 in Red Raiders’ last 9 bowl games
AutoZone Liberty Bowl Final Betting Prediction
This one shouldn’t be close. Texas Tech played great in their final game of the season, but, overall, the Red Raiders had a tough season.
Texas Tech fields a decent offense, but the Red Raiders’ defense is a mess. Texas Tech allows more points on average than they give up. To make matters worse for Tech in this game, Mississippi State quarterback Will Rogers should play.
Rogers threw for 4,449 yards and 35 TDs to just 8 picks. He’s completing over 75% of his passes. If the Red Raiders stop Rogers and the Bulldogs’ passing attack, Miss State will start rushing the football.
Either way, Mike Leach’s squad look like blowout winners. Mississippi State at -9 ½ versus Texas Tech might be the biggest overlay during the entire college football bowl season.
AutoZone Liberty Bowl Pick: Mississippi State Bulldogs