The NFL Final Four throws down this Sunday. Will the Chiefs knock out the 1-seed Ravens? Will Jared Goff lead the Lions to an upset victory?
Let’s take a look at our betting preview as MyBookie offers the NFL lines for this AFC Championship match with the Ravens as favorites at -4 over the Chiefs and a total set at 44.
Chiefs vs Ravens Odds and Betting Pick for this 2024 AFC Championship Matchup | MyBookie NFL Playoff Preview
Kansas City Chiefs at Baltimore Ravens | AFC Championship
ATS Odds: Ravens -4
Money line Odds: Baltimore Ravens Line: -200 / Kansas City Chiefs Line: +165
Over/Under Odds: 44
Kansas City Chiefs Analysis
Kansas City’s offense got it going against the Bills. Although Mahomes only threw for 215 yards, the Magic One passed for a couple of touchdowns. Mahomes also completed 17-of-23.
Running back Isaiah Pacheco had a stellar game. Pacheco carried the ball for 15 times and rushed for 97 yards, a 6.5 per carry average. Clyde Edwards-Helaire rushed a couple of times for over 31 yards and over 15 yards per carry.
Pacheco’s and Edward-Helaire’s per carry averages tell us that the Chiefs’ rushing attack was on fire. Travis Kelce was also on fire. Kelce caught 5 passes for 75 yards and scored a couple of touchdowns.
On defense, even though the Chiefs gave up 24 points, the Bills Josh Allen threw for just 186 and a single TD. Allen averaged 4.8 passing yards per completion.
The Bills rushed the ball well, though. Buffalo rumbled for an impressive 187 yards and a 4.2 per carry average. But the Chiefs gave up most of the rushing yards in the first half. In the second half, KC played much tougher run defense.
Kansas City Chiefs Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 289.8
- Passing Yards: 176.5
- Rushing Yards: 113.2
- Points Scored: 17.3
- Takeaways: 17
Kansas City Chiefs Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 351.3
- Passing Yards: 246.4
- Rushing Yards: 104.9
- Points Scored: 21.8
- Turnovers: 28
Kansas City Chiefs Defensive Starters
- LDE George Karlaftis
- LDT Derrick Nnadi
- RDT Chris Jones
- RDE Mike Danna
- WLB Willie Gay
- MLB Nick Bolton
- SLB Drew Tranquil
- LCB La’Jarius Snead
- SS Justin Reed
- FS Mike Edwards
- RCB Trent McDuffie
Kansas City Chiefs Offensive Starters
- QB Patrick Mahomes
- RB Isaiah Pacheco
- WR Rashee Rice
- WR Justin Houston
- WR Kadarius Toney
- TE Travis Kelce
- LT Donovan Smith
- LG Joe Thuney
- C Creed Humphrey
- RG Trey Smith
- RT Jawaan Taylor
Baltimore Ravens Analysis
What’s crazier than the defense the Ravens played against the rush is that Baltimore didn’t allow Stroud to throw for a single yard in the second half. Stroud accumulated all 175 yards in the first half.
Baltimore’s offense got it going in the second half. The Ravens leaned on the run. At the end of the day, the Edgar Allan Poes had rushed for 229 yards and a 5.5 per carry average. Lamar rushed for 100 yards, a 9.1 per carry average, and scored 2 rushing touchdowns.
Justice Hill rushed for 66 yards and Gus Edwards rushed for 40.
Baltimore Ravens Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 301.4
- Passing Yards: 191.9
- Rushing Yards: 109.4
- Points Scored: 16.5
- Takeaways: 28
Baltimore Ravens Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 370.4
- Passing Yards: 213.8
- Rushing Yards: 156.5
- Points Scored: 28.4
- Turnovers: 19
Baltimore Ravens Defensive Starters
- LDE Justin Madubuike
- NT Michael Pierce
- RDE Broderick Washington
- WLB Odafe Oweh
- LILB Roquan Smith
- RILB Patrick Queen
- SLB Jadeveon Clowney
- LCB Brandon Stephens
- SS Kyle Hamilton
- FS Marcus Williams
- RCB Marlon Humphrey
Baltimore Ravens Offensive Starters
- QB Lamar Jackson
- RB Gus Edwards
- WR Zay Flowers
- WR Rashod Bateman
- WR Odell Beckham Jr.
- TE Isaiah Likely
- LT Ronnie Stanley
- LG John Simpson
- C Tyler Linderbaum
- RG Kevin Zeitler
- RT Morgan Moses
Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs
First, Mahomes to Kelce got going against the Bills because Buffalo had major injuries in their linebacking unit.
A.J. Klein had to cover Big Travis. It didn’t work out well for the Bills. On Sunday, Roquan Smith or Patrick Queen are likely to cover Kelce. So the Ravens will manage the Patrick to Travis connection.
The other factor that will lead to a Baltimore victory and cover is that a Chiefs’ issue is a Ravens’ strength. KC is vulnerable against the rush. The Chiefs have one of the best secondaries in football, but the rush defense isn’t great.
That will be a problem versus a Ravens team with the greatest rushing quarterback in NFL history. If the Chiefs decide to put an eighth man in the box, Jackson will toss the pigskin to Odell Beckham Jr., Zay Flower, Rashod Bateman, or tight end Isaiah Likely.
Anyway we cut it, the Baltimore Ravens have the advantages. Back Lamar and his mates to cover.
2024 AFC Championship ATS Pick: Baltimore Ravens -4 | Bet Ravens vs Chiefs
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game
Kansas City Chiefs Team
11-6, 6-2 Away
Chiefs Last 5
Date | OPP | Result |
---|---|---|
1/21/24 | @ BUF | W27-24 |
1/13/24 | vs MIA | W26-7 |
1/7/24 | @ LAC | W13-12 |
12/31/23 | vs CIN | W25-178 |
12/25/23 | vs LV | L20-14 |
Chiefs Injury Report
Name | Position | Status | Date |
---|---|---|
Derrick Nnadi DT | Questionable | Jan 28 |
Isiah Pacheco RB | Questionable | Jan 28 |
Willie Gay LB | Questionable | Jan 28 |
L’Jarius Sneed CB | Questionable | Jan 28 |
Prince Tega Wanogho OT | IR-R | Jan 28 |
Baltimore Ravens Team
13-4, 6-3 Home
Ravens Last 5
Date | OPP | Result |
---|---|---|
1/20/24 | vs HOU | W34-10 |
1/6/24 | vs PIT | L17-10 |
12/31/23 | vs MIA | W56-19 |
12/25/23 | @ SF | W33-19 |
12/17/23 | @ JAX | W23-7 |
Ravens Injury Report
Name | Position | Status | Date |
---|---|---|
Tylan Wallace WR | Questionable | Jan 28 |
Marlon Humphrey CB | Questionable | Jan 28 |
Rock Ya-Sin CB | Questionable | Jan 28 |
Mark Andrews TE | IR-R | Jan 28 |
Del’Shawn Phillips LB | Questionable | Jan 28 |
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