2024 NFL Divisional Round Quarterback Matchups Predictions

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We are down to 8 teams left with a chance to win the Super Bowl, with that number set to be cut in half after we have the Divisional Round this coming weekend. MyBookie Sportsbook 2024 NFL Divisional Round Quarterback Matchups

The teams that make it to this stage of the playoff proceedings are obviously talented, but as we have seen in the past, it’s the teams that have an elite QB that tend to go all the way and hoist the Lombardi Trophy. The question you have to ask yourself now, is which of the remaining 8 teams have a QB that can be classed as elite. Some are obvious, while others are on the fence or still so early in their career that it’s tough to make that kind of statement. We thought it might be fun to look at the QB matchups for all the Divisional Round games, so let’s dive in to include in your NFL betting plans.

Saturday Matchups

Houston at Baltimore
CJ Stroud Vs Lamar Jackson

For me, this is one of the more intriguing matchups of the 4 that we have coming our way this weekend. In Stroud, we have a rookie that is showing early signs of being an elite franchise QB. With Jackson, we have a player that has dominated proceedings in the regular season, but who has failed to deliver the goods in the playoffs.

The thing with Stroud in his rookie season is that he has not really made the mistakes that we usually see out of first year QBs. He threw for 23 TD versus just 5 INT in the regular season, while completing just shy of 64% of his passes. Stroud tossed for over 4,100 yards, but his QBR if 57.5 was in the middle of the pack. He did play against the Ravens D this season, throwing for 242 yards, with 0 TD and 0 INT. In his lone postseason game, he threw for 274 yards, with 3 TD and 0 INT.

It’s impossible to compare passings yards with Stroud and Jackson, as they are very different QBs. Jackson is a dual-threat guy who can hurt you in a variety of different ways, but that has not really translated well to the postseason. He was not very good in his earlier meeting with the Texans this season, throwing fir just 169 yards, with 0 TD and 1 INT. Until I see Jackson regularly deliver in the playoffs, I’ll have a hard time tagging him as a potential Super Bowl winner.

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Green Bay at San Francisco
Jordan Love Vs Brock Purdy

Just a couple of seasons ago, the idea of these two going head-to-head in a playoff game would have seemed ridiculous. Love was on the bench watching Aaron Rodgers win multiple MVPs. When Rodgers moved to the Jets, Love got his shot. In San Francisco, Purdy was a 3rd of 4th string guy pressed into action due to injuries. Both have seized their opportunities.

Love has had a stellar first season as a starter, throwing for over 4,100 yards, with 32 TD and 11 INT. He is top 10 in QBR and is pretty much the same across the board in all the major QB stats. There were some concerns about him doing the business in the postseason, but he put that to bed with a great showing against the Cowboys, throwing for 272 yards and 3 TD versus 0 INT.

The stats of Love and Purdy are actually quite similar, but the main difference is that this is Purdy’s second time in the playoffs, taking the 49ers to the Conference Championship last season. He threw for 4,280 yards this season, with 31 TD versus 11 INT, His QBR of 72.7 was the best in the league. You look at these two guys and you see the potential for a shootout.

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Sunday Matchups

Tampa Bay at Detroit
Baker Mayfield Vs Jared Goff

At the start of this piece, we spoke about the elite status of the QBs in the playoffs. I’m not sure that many people would have either of these guys in the elite group, but you cannot discount what they have done to get their respective teams to this stage in the postseason, so let’s take a closer look at the stats.

Baker Mayfield’s time in Cleveland came to an unceremonious end, which was followed by a disastrous time with the Carolina Panthers. He came back to life in LA with the Rams and has been excellent for the Bucs this season, throwing for over 4,000 yards and 28 TD versus 10 INT. In previous meetings with Detroit, he has thrown for 206 yards and 0 TD. He was, though, outstanding last week against the Eagles, throwing for over 300 yards and 3 TD passes.

Much like Mayfield, Goff has had an up and down career, with a promising start in LA fizzling out in the end. He had a stellar regular season, finishing 2nd overall in passing yards with 4,575 yards. He threw 30 TDs versus 12 INTs, with his 60.3 QBR putting him just outside the top 10. He has been good against Tampa, too, and also had a good showing in the Wild Card win over the Rams last weekend.

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Kansas City at Buffalo
Patrick Mahomes Vs Josh Allen

I think we can all agree that when it comes to these two QBs, we are talking about players that are definitely on an elite level. Mahomes has little else left to prove after winning championships and MVPs, while Allen probably needs to win a title to be on the same level as his opposing QB this weekend. When these two go head-head, though, we always seem to see the best out of both.

You could argue that, by his lofty standards, Mahomes had a bit of a down year. He threw for 4,183 yards, tossing 27 TD versus 14 INT, with that latter number a lot higher than what we are used to seeing from Mahomes. He was still in the top 10 with a QBR of 63.0, but he did have a better performance last weekend versus the Dolphins in less-than-ideal conditions. While you can make a case for this being an off year for Mahomes, the results are proving to be the same.

It was much the same story for Allen, with the Bills failing to live up to expectations until the final few weeks of the regular season, which was when the light seemed to go on and business as usual returned. Allen threw for 4,306 yards, with 29 TD and 18 INT, which, like Mahomes, was an unexpectedly high number. He was outstanding last week versus the Steelers, tossing 3 TD passes in a rout. This, for me, is the QB matchup of the weekend.

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