Dolphins vs Chiefs Odds and Betting Pick for this AFC Wild Card Matchup

Will KC get it done with an SU and ATS victory? Or will Tagovailoa lead the Dolphins to a shocking upset?

MyBookie offers the NFL betting odds for this AFC Wild Card match with the Chiefs as favorites at -4.5 over the Dolphins and a total set at 43.5.

Dolphins vs Chiefs Odds and Betting Pick for this AFC Wild Card Matchup | MyBookie NFL Playoff Preview

Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs | AFC Wild Card
ATS Odds: Chiefs -4.5
Money line Odds: Miami Dolphins Line: +200 / Kansas City Chiefs Line: -240

Why Bet on Miami versus Kansas City

The Dolphins were oh so close to upsetting the favored Buffalo Bills last Sunday and securing the AFC East Division and the 2-seed in the AFC Playoffs. In the last minute and a half, Tua drove the Fins into Buffalo territory. A touchdown would have secured a tie.

However, Tagovailoa threw a pick that sealed Buffalo’s win. We should expect Tua to be much sharper on Saturday. He knows the mistake he made. So Tagovailoa will lead Miami into GEHA Field ready to roll.

Why Bet on Kansas City versus Miami

For much of the season, Mahomes had led a mediocre offense. Kansas City relied on their defense to win games up until December when, like magic, Mahomes started leading the Chiefs on touchdown scoring drives.

In two of their last four games, the Chiefs scored at least 25 points. KC dropped the 25 against the Bengals in a win. Kansas City scored 27 versus the Patriots in a victory. KC’s offense is surging, which makes the Chiefs tough to beat because the defense has been great all season.  

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins Final Wild Card Betting Prediction

Some teams have it and some don’t.

The key appears to be reactivating Mecole Hardman. Defenses were double teaming Kelce. Double teaming a tight end isn’t normal, which is why the Chiefs struggled to utilize Travis.

Activating Hardman forces defenses to change how they handle Kelce. With Rashee Rice, Hardman, and Marques Valdez-Scantling on the field at the same time, passing lanes open for Mahomes to get the ball to his favorite target.

That’s bad news for a Miami defense that signed Justin Houston and Bruce Irvin on Wednesday to shore up their linebacking unit. Also, anybody who saw Tua’s pick against the Bills to end the NFL Week 18 game has to question whether Tagovailoa is ready for the moment. KC covers.

2024 AFC Wild Card Pick: ATS Kansas City Chiefs -4.5 | Bet Dolphins vs Chiefs
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

Miami Dolphins Team

11-6 | 4-4 Away

Kansas City Chiefs Team

11-6 | 5-4 Home

Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends

• Dolphins are 3-3 ATS in their last 6
• Miami is 10-7 ATS this season
• Under is 3-1 ATS in the Dolphins’ last 4
• Over is 9-8 in Miami games this season
• Chiefs are 2-4 ATS in their last 6
• Kansas City is 9-8 ATS this season
• Under is 4-1 in the Chiefs’ last 5
• Over is 5-12 in Kansas City games this season

The following NFL betting lines are based on MyBookie Sportsbook.

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