2026 FIFA World Cup CONMENBOL Qualifiers: First Round Betting Analysis

2026 FIFA World Cup CONMEBOL Qualifiers: First Round Betting Analysis

South American soccer federation CONMEBOL starts their FIFA World Cup Qualifying on Thursday with three matches.

Paraguay takes on Peru, Colombia tackles Venezuela and World Cup defending champion Argentina battles Ecuador.

Check out World Cup odds, analysis, and free picks for the three CONMEBOL matches taking place on Thursday, September 7.

 

2026 FIFA World Cup CONMEBOL Qualifiers: First Round Betting Analysis | MyBookie World Cup Preview

2026 FIFA World Cup | 23rd edition of the FIFA World Cup | FIFA World Cup 26
Host Countries: Canada, Mexico, United States
CONMEBOL Qualifiers First Round: Thursday, September 7th

 

Paraguay vs Peru

CONMEBOL Odds: Paraguay -0.5; Peru +0.5 / Paraguay +101; Peru +280; Draw +246 / O/U 2.5
Thursday, September 7th at 6:30 pm ET
Mâs Monumental, Buenos Aires, Argentina

The match happens at Ciudad del Este in Paraguay, which is why the Paraguayans are the favorites. Another reason Paraguay shows up the chalk is because the home squad broke a 3-match international friendly losing streak in their last via a 2-0 score over Nicaragua.

The match happened this past June. It feels like a long time ago, but in international play, 2 to 3 months isn’t that long of a time.

But although Paraguay appears to be playing well and this happens on their pitch, it’s tough to go against Peru. The road underdog offers overlay odds based on the head-to-head record.

Going back to the Copa America in 2021, Peru has won 4 straight. The Peruvians have Paraguay’s number and the odds are more than fair. Give the road squad a chance to pull off the upset victory.

FIFA World Cup Qualifying CONMEBOL Pick: Peru | Bet Paraguay vs Peru
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game


 

Colombia vs Venezuela

CONMEBOL Odds: Colombia -1.5 +105; Venezuela +1.5 -134 / Colombia -280; Venezuela +840; Draw +390 / O/U 2.5
Thursday, September 7th at 7:00 pm ET
Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla, Colombia

Both teams roll into this. Road dog Venezuela has won 4-of-5. In all 5 matches, even the loss to Uzbekistan, Venezuela played terrific defense. The Venezuelans beat Honduras and Guatemala via 1-0 scores.

The Venezuelans gave up a single goal to Syria and Saudi Arabia in 2-1 victories. The road underdog only gave up 1 goal in the loss to Uzbekistan, falling via penalty kicks.

Home squad Colombia is in as good of form as Venezuela. The Colombians drew against the United States and South Korea in international friendlies in January and March.

Then in their last three, Colombia beat Japan 2-1, Iraq 1-0, and in an international friendly surprise, Germany 2-0 on June 20. The Colombians beat Venezuela in the last head-to-head, a FIFA World Cup qualifying match in 2022.

This Colombia side is better than that one. A cover victory is more than possible and the payout odds, +107, are nice.

FIFA World Cup Qualifying CONMEBOL Pick: Colombia -1.5 | Bet Colombia vs Venezuela
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game


2026 FIFA World Cup CONMEBOL Qualifiers: Matchday 1 Betting Analysis – Final Games
 

Argentina vs Ecuador

CONMEBOL Odds: Argentina -1.5 -114; Ecuador +1.5 -110 / Argentina -330; Ecuador +960 Draw +430 / O/U 2.5
Thursday, September 7th at 8:00 pm ET
Mâs Monumental, Buenos Aires, Argentina

The match happens at Mas Monumental in Buenos Aires, Argentina, which could explain why the Argentinians show a -114 payout even though we must lay -1.5 on the home squad.

But even at the disappointing payout, Argentina is tough to ignore. The World Cup winners didn’t let up after beating France via penalties after a 3-3 match, rolling to four straight international friendly victories.

Argentina has dusted Panama 2-0, Curacao 7-0, Australia 2-0, and Indonesia 2-0. Ah, but although Argentina has looked great, Ecuador has played the better competition, especially Costa Rica in a 3-1 win on June 20.

The favorite should take this. But the Albiceleste won’t win by more than a goal. Ecuador is a great play at +1.5 -110.

FIFA World Cup Qualifying CONMEBOL Pick: Ecuador +1.5 | Bet Argentina vs Ecuador
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game


2026 FIFA World Cup CONMEBOL Qualifiers: Matchday 1 Betting Analysis – Final Games
 

2023 FIFA World Cup CONMEBOL Qualifying Schedule


Date Time Matchday Home   Away
Thursday, September 7 6:30 p.m. Matchday 1 Paraguay vs. Peru
Thursday, September 7 7:00 p.m. Matchday 1 Colombia vs. Venezuela
Thursday, September 7 8:30 p.m. Matchday 1 Argentina vs. Ecuador
Friday, September 8 7:00 p.m. Matchday 1 Uruguay vs. Chile
Friday, September 8 8:45 p.m. Matchday 1 Brazil vs. Bolivia

Bet FIFA World Cup Odds

 
2026 FIFA World Cup CONMEBOL Qualification Process
Confederation Direct slots Play-off slots Teams started Start date End date
CONMEBOL 6 1 10 7 September 2023 September 2025
 

2026 World Cup Odds to Win | Odds to Win World Cup

Top Teams Odds
France +540
Brazil +560
England +660
Argentina +820
Spain +900
Germany +1000
Portugal +1275
Netherlands +1600
Italy +2100
Belgium +3200

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Team Odds
Uruguay +3200
USA +3300
Mexico +5000
Denmark +6400
Croatia +6400
Morocco +6600
Norway +6800
Japan +8000
Switzerland +8500
Serbia +10000
Canada +10000
Chile +11000
Colombia +14000
Sweden +15000
Ecuador +15000
Senegal +15000
Egypt +16000
Republic of Korea +16000
Ghana +17000
Ukraine +19000
Algeria +19000
Online FIFA World Cup Betting
Team Odds
Czech Republic +20000
Poland +20000
Turkiye +20000
Nigeria +20000
Austria +24000
Slovakia +24000
Paraguay +24000
Tunisia +26000
Cameroon +26000
Georgia +30000
Slovenia +30000
Israel +32000
Peru +32000
Wales +34000
Scotland +36000
Romania +38000
Hungary +44000
Australia +46000
Greece +48000
Bolivia +48000
Venezuela +48000
Iran +48000
Team Odds
South Africa +50000
China +50000
Panama +75000
Northern Ireland +90000
Ireland +90000
Honduras +90000
Costa Rica +90000
New Zealand +90000
Saudi Arabia +90000
Qatar +90000
Bulgaria +95000
Finland +95000
Iceland +95000
Albania +95000
Jamaica +100000
DR Congo +100000
United Arab Emirates +100000
Bahrain +100000
Palestine +100000
Kazakhstan +200000
Bangladesh +250000
San Marino +300000

 

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