Rangers vs Diamondbacks World Series Game 3 Prediction

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The 2023 World Series shifts to Arizona for Game 3 Monday with the Diamondbacks and Rangers tied 1-1. It’s a pick’em on the MLB odds with Max Scherzer on the hill for the Rangers and Brandon Pfaadt for the Diamondbacks. 2023 MLB Betting MyBookie Sportsbook Arizona vs. Texas World Series Game 3

How to Bet Rangers at Diamondbacks MLB Odds & TV Info

When: Monday, 8:03 PM ET
Where: Chase Field
Probable pitchers (away/home): Max Scherzer/Brandon Pfaadt
TV: FOX
Stream/gameday audio: Fox Sports Live app
Opening MLB Lines: Rangers -110, Diamondbacks -110 (total 9)

Why Bet on Texas?

After an amazing comeback in Game 1, Texas looked flat in a 9-1 loss on Saturday at home. Mitch Garver slugged a solo home run. Garver tagged Diamondbacks’ right-hander Merrill Kelly for his 404-foot (102.8 mph EV) solo shot to lead off the fifth inning, pulling the Rangers to within a run at 2-1. That would be as close as they would get. The 32-year-old slugger finished the night 1-for-4. He’s now hitting .268 (11-for-41) with three homers and 13 RBI during the playoffs.

Rookie Evan Carter was 1-for-3 and has reached safely in each of his 14 Postseason games this year, marking the second-longest on-base streak in Rangers’ Postseason history. Elvis Andrus holds the Rangers’ record with a 15-game on-base streak during the 2010 Postseason. Carter’s 14-game on -base streak to begin his Postseason career is tied with Marquis Grissom and Daniel Murphy for the third-longest streak all-time within a player’s first Postseason.

ALCS MVP Adolis García was 0-for-3, which snapped his seven-game hitting streak, his streak of five consecutive games with a home run, and seven consecutive games with an RBI. García’s seven-game RBI streak was tied for the second-longest single Postseason streak with Daniel Murphy of the 2015 New York Mets and Alex Rodriguez of the 2009 New York Yankees. Ryan Howard of the 2009 Philadelphia Phillies is the only player to have eight straight Postseason games with an RBI in a single Postseason. Garcia’s 22 RBI are already an MLB record for a single Postseason.

Texas has opened this postseason with 8 consecutive road wins, just the 2nd time in MLB history that a team has won its 1st 8+ road games in a postseason. The Rangers’ current 8-game road win streak also matches the longest ever in a single postseason, joining 2019 WAS (8) and 1996 NYY (8). The Rangers’ .571 (20-15) all-time postseason road record is the highest away win pct. in MLB history (25+ G).

Texas is just 1-5 all-time in 6 road World Series games. The Rangers are 4-9 all-time in Game 3 of a postseason series, losing 5 of the last 6, including in the ALCS vs. Houston.

It’s righty and future Hall of Famer Max Scherzer on the mound. Scherzer wasn’t at his best in a no-decision against the Astros in Game 7 of the ALCS last Monday, giving up two runs on four hits in just 2 2/3 innings of work. The 39-year-old walked two and struck out a pair in the abbreviated outing. The Astros scratched out a run against him in the opening inning on an RBI single by Jose Abreu — before Scherzer got Michael Brantley to hit into an inning-ending double play. He then served up a solo homer to Alex Bregman in the third. Overall, he got six swings and misses on just 44 pitches in the contest, posting a CSW of 23 percent.

Scherzer also had been dealing with a cut across his right thumb, but he feels like he’s got the issue under control — and mentioned some combination of cotton and glue that he has used to take care of the problem. Scherzer hasn’t been sharp so far during the postseason with a 9.45 ERA, 1.80 WHIP and 6/3 K/BB ratio over 6 2/3 innings of work.

Bet Rangers to Win Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Games

Why Bet on Arizona?

Arizona’s Game 2 win means this is the fourth straight World Series that has started out 1-1. The 2019 Houston Astros are the last team to take a 2-0 World Series lead after they took Games 1 and 2 of the 2019 World Series over the Washington Nationals. It is the 11th consecutive World Series that will not end in a sweep, with the last sweep coming by the San Francisco Giants in the 2012 World Series over the Detroit Tigers.

Catcher Gabriel Moreno opened the scoring Saturday with a solo home run in the fourth inning. With his fourth home run of this Postseason, Moreno became the seventh player in MLB history to hit four homers in a single Postseason as a catcher. Other players with four homers as a catcher include: Mike Zunino of the 2020 Tampa Bay Rays; Salvador Perez of the 2015 Kansas City Royals; Jason Varitek of the 2003 Boston Red Sox; HOF Mike Piazza of the 2000 New York Mets; and Gene Tenace of the 1972 Oakland Athletics. Sandy Alomar Jr. of the 1997 Cleveland Indians is the only player to record five home runs as a catcher in a single Postseason.

Corbin Carroll (2-for-5, 2 RBI) recorded his fifth multi-hit game of this Postseason. He has hit safely in each of his last five Postseason games, batting .364 (8-for-22) with one triple, six RBI, one walk, four runs and two stolen bases. Ketel Marte (1-for-5, 2 RBI) drove home two runs with an RBI single in the eighth inning to extend his Postseason hitting streak to 18 games. That’s a new MLB record. Marte has hit safely in each of his first 14 games this Postseason, which is the second-longest hitting streak of his career behind a 16-game regular season streak from May 16-June 4, 2022.

Teams who score first this Postseason are now 29-9 (.763) and Arizona is now 7-0 when scoring first this Postseason. Combined with their regular season record, the Diamondbacks are now 59-28 this season when scoring first. The National League is 213-116 when scoring first in World Series Games. The NL has scored first in 47.8% of 689 World Series games all-time.

It’s rookie righty Brandon Pfaadt on the mound. Pfaadt pitched well in a no-decision against the Phillies in Game 7 of the NLCS last Tuesday, piling up seven strikeouts over four innings of two-run baseball. He scattered four hits on the evening while issuing a pair of free passes. Pfaadt served up a leadoff homer to Alec Bohm on the first pitch of the second inning, then allowed a run-scoring double to Bryson Stott in the fourth. Pfaadt generated 16 swings and misses on only 64 pitches in the ballgame — 10 of those coming on his sweeper — while posting a strong CSW of 33 percent.

The 25-year-old has been excellent this Postseason, compiling a sparkling 2.70 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 22/3 K/BB ratio across 16 2/3 innings (four starts).

Bet Diamondbacks to Win Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Games

World Series Expert Prediction

Rangers 5, Diamondbacks 4