Atlanta Falcons Schedule Odds & Analysis

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Free agency is mostly done, the NFL Draft is in the rearview mirror, and we now know the 17-game regular season schedule for the Atlanta Falcons.

There won’t be actual meaningful football for close to four months, but it’s never too early to look ahead to the year and the bets you can place.

Let’s see if Atlanta Falcons have what it takes to back the betting odds to win the Super Bowl.

Atlanta Falcons 2023 Season Betting Analysis | MyBookie NFL Betting Preview

Atlanta Falcons | 58th season as a member of the National Football League
Owner: Arthur Blank
Head coach: Arthur Smith
Home field: Mercedes-Benz Stadium | Atlanta, Georgia

Super Bowl Champions (+7000)

Spending a lot of money on the Falcons to win the Super Bowl doesn’t make sense. But there is always an unexpected riser from the season before, and why not Atlanta.

They play in a very winnable division, and they are loaded with weapons for Desmond Ridder. If he can be a serviceable quarterback, a flier on the Falcons is worth playing.

NFC Champions (+2500)

The Bears are a trendy pick to rise in the NFC North and maybe make noise in the postseason. The odds of Atlanta doing the same are actually the same as Chicago’s. Both teams are +2500 to win the NFC Championship and play in the Super Bowl.

The Eagles are the class of the conference, but the 49ers are unsettled at quarterback, and the Cowboys haven’t been to the Super Bowl in nearly 30 years. Someone else is going to be in the mix, and the Falcons could be that team.

NFC South Champions (+275)

Not one of the four starting quarterbacks in the NFC South to begin last year will be starting for that team to begin 2023. So many unknowns in a division that was wide-open last year may be even more unpredictable this season.

The Saints are favored at +110, but Alvin Kamara may get suspended, and who knows if Derek Carr will be good. The Falcons have the second shortest odds in the division, and at +275, they provide the most value.

Falcons Win Total

Right now, the oddsmakers have set the over/under on Atlanta Falcons wins at 8.5, with nine wins or over paying +110 and eight wins or under coming in at -130.

In each of the last two seasons, a worse version of the Falcons finished with seven wins. But last year’s team was much better than the year before, with a point differential of just 21 points versus the 146 points in 2021. And in 2022, eight of their ten losses were by one score, and four of the losses were by three points or less.

Getting to nine wins is a distinct possibility.

Weekly Falcons Betting

Because the Falcons played so many close games in 2022, they finished 9-7-1 against the point spread. They were the underdog in 11 of the 17 games, and that is where they were the better bet. They were 7-3-1 ATS when getting points and 3-0-1 when getting points at home.

A lot will change between now and Week 1 in September, but the Falcons are early favorites in only seven of their 17 games. They are a field goal favorite or less in all of them, with the biggest spreads at -3 vs. Houston, -2.5 vs. Indianapolis, and -2.5 at home against Carolina.

They are the biggest underdogs at +6.5 when they play at the New York Jets in Week 13.

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