You can look at past historical NFL data and already begin to make arguments about which teams will make the playoffs and which will miss out based on what they have done over the first 2 weeks of the season. Trends are everywhere, but while history can give us clues, we really need to see more from each team before we can start to make bold predictions. Yes, there are a few who look to be as good as advertised, as well as a few who look awful. There is, though, still an awful lot of football to be played, especially given that we have an extra week this season, so things can and will change in the coming weeks. For now, we are going to focus on Week 3 and specifically on our O/U picks for the week. We are 4-2 with our NFL Betting selections through the first 2 weeks, so let’s see if we can improve on that for week 3.
Week 3 O/U Picks for the 2021 Season | NFL Betting
Atlanta Falcons at New York Giants (UNDER 48)
If we are going to talk about teams that look destined to be out of the playoff picture early, then we need to include the Atlanta Falcons and the New York Giants in the conversation. Both of these teams come into Week 3 with an 0-2 record, and both look as though they have major issues on both sides of the football. Oddly enough, the Falcons and Giants offenses both took leaps forward in Week 2 compared to their season openers, but that does not mean that either will be an offensive threat in Week 3. In fact, this matchup is one that has all but guaranteed the UNDER in recent meetings, with 11 of the last 12 games between these teams going that route. I am sticking with the UNDER here.
LA Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs (OVER 55 ½)
You have to say that it’s a little surprising to see the Chiefs sitting at 1-1 after their first 2 games. While losing to the Ravens in Week 2 was not a major upset, the fact that KC went into the 4th quarter of that one with an 11-point lead and ending up on the losing end is a surprise. Both of their games this season have been close and have been of the shootout variety, which suggests that we should expect points on the board on Sunday. The Chargers are also 1-1, but they have not been anywhere near as explosive as the Chiefs. Still, they have seen 10 of their last 13 road games go OVER, while the same has happened in 4 of their last 5 visits to Arrowhead. Look for the OVER in this game.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at LA Rams (OVER 55 ½)
This is one of those games where I could easily be swayed to go either way, but given previous trends, I am leaning towards the OVER. Both of these teams have put up a lot of points in the opening two weeks, with the Bucs tallying 79 points and the Rams scoring 61. Combined, the OVER has gone 4-0 in those 4 games. Still, both of these teams also have defenses that can shut down opposing teams, but we haven’t seen much of that from either of them just yet. If you look at all the point total trends with these teams, it is the OVER that jumps out, including 4 of their last 5 meetings going that way. Sticking with the OVER in this one.