MLB Lines: Last Minute Analysis Before 2024 Season Starts

MLB Lines: Last Minute Analysis Before 2024 Season Starts


Last Minute Analysis Before Season Starts: This is the week that all MLG fans have been waiting for, as Opening Day is now just a matter of days away.

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I think the key thing to say here, ahead of the start of the regular season, is that you should basically forget everything you saw in spring training. The real games are here, and the big favorites will be ready to play. Since we are mere days away from Opening Day, now is the perfect time to take one more look at all 6 divisions to see who is favored, so let’s get into it.




American League East

The general feeling is that the New York Yankees will bounce back after an injury plagued season in 2023. They are the favorites at +170, but the Baltimore Orioles, who won the division last season, are hot on their heels. The Jays and Rays could be in the Wild Card hunt. The only team that really seems to have no shot is the Boston Red Sox.

American League Central

The Minnesota Twins are the clear favorite in what looks to be the weakest division in the AL. They are in at odds of -116 right now, but there are many pundits who believe that the Detroit Tigers could potentially spring the upset. The Cleveland Guardians could make things interesting, but I think we can all pass on the Royals and White Sox.

American League West

This looks to be a fantastic race for the top spot, with the Houston Astros, Texas Rangers, and Seattle Mariners all in close proximity on the bookies board. The Astros are the current favorite at +100, but can you really overlook the defending World Series champion Rangers at +200? It looks like it might be a long season for the Angels and As.

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National League East

As well as being the clear favorite to win the NL East, the Atlanta Braves are also seen as a favorite to win the World Series. They are currently sitting at odds of -275 to win the division, with the Philadelphia Phillies looking to be their only real threat. The Marlins, Mets, and Nationals all look to be well off the pace and not even really in the Wild Card picture. Can one of those three upset the apple cart?

National League Central

This division might well be the toughest of all to predict, as it really could go several different ways. Heading into the new season, the St. Louis Cardinals, who finished dead last in 2023, are the favorites at odds of +160. They are closely followed by the Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds, while the Brewers could get involved, too. The only team that you can probably count out is the Pittsburgh Pirates.

National League West

There are zero surprises here, as the LA Dodgers are once again the clear favorite at odds of -600. It really isn’t even close, but you might consider looking at the Arizona Diamondbacks, who went to the World Series last season, as a potential Wild Card pick. The Padres could rebound, and the Giants could be in the hunt, too, but I think we can forget about the Colorado Rockies.

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MLB Leagues Winners

American League Odds

Houston Astros +400
New York Yankees +475
Blatimore Orioles +600
Texas Rangers +600
Toronto Blue Jays +850
Seattle Mariners +950
Minnesota Twins +1100
Tampa Bay Rays +1300
Cleveland Guardians +2500
Boston Red Sox +2500
Detroit Tigers +3000
Kansas City Royals +6000
Los Angeles Angels +6000
Chicago White Sox +12500
Oakland Athletics +20000

National League Odds

Los Angeles Dodgers +180
Atlanta Braves +275
Philadelphia Phillies +750
St. Louis Cardinals +1600
Chicago Cubs +1700
Arizona Diamondbacks +1900
San Francisco Giants +2000
Cincinnati Reds +2500
San Diego Padres +2500
New York Mets +2500
Miami Marlins +4000
Milwaukee Brewers +4500
Pittsburgh Pirates +6500
Washington Nationals +10000
Colorado Rockies +15000

I have read enough, I need to place my bet now. What to do?

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2022 MLB Last Minute Picks

As baseball handicappers, we must be nimble. Things change quickly in Major League Baseball, which is why we must never fall in love with our betting options. So if we believe the Dodgers win the World Series, we shouldn’t stick to that belief just because we don’t want to be wrong. With that in mind, check out last minute picks and season predictions that are much different from those laid out just a couple of weeks ago. It’s all about fair MLB Odds when it comes to future bets. The following MLB plays provide excellent odds. 

Last Minute 2022 Picks & Season Predictions | MLB Betting

2022 MLB Season

  • When: Thursday, April 7 – Wednesday, Oct. 5

Last Minute World Series Pick: Milwaukee Brewers +1125

The Houston Astros remain a good pick, but the Milwaukee Brewers is the best pick. First, the Brew Crew offers much better odds. Second, Milwaukee, like the Astros in the AL, should benefit from playing in a weak division.

Third, Milwaukee can add Andrew McCutchen to the lineup as their designated hitter, which means neither McCutchen nor Christina Yellin must play at a position for which they aren’t familiar. 

Also, the Brewers rotation, led by Corbin Burnes, is ridiculous. And the bullpen should rock, which means Milwaukee offers slight overlay odds.  

Last Minute Over Under Dodgers Play: Under 102 games

The Dodgers are a good baseball team. But it’s asking a lot for LAD to win 103 games. 

There’s no problem per se. However, the NL is much deeper than many believe. Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Atlanta, and possibly even St. Louis will challenge the Dodgers.

Also, San Francisco will win a couple of the series versus LAD while the Dodgers bullpen, even though it should be good, may not gel until later in the season. 

Last Minute NL MVP Pick: Christian Yelich – Milwaukee +4000

Yelich played in just 117 games last season, which is one of the reasons he batted .248 with 9 home runs and just 51 RBIS. 

Another reason is because Milwaukee had to find a way to get Andrew McCutchen on the field. Although the Brewers won the NL Central, it never felt like McCutchen or Yellin were comfortable the entire season.

This year, Yellin is the Brewers’ left fielder and McCutchen is Milwaukee’s designated hitter. If Christian stays healthy, 30 or more home runs, over 100 runs batted in, and a plus .280 batting average should be automatic. That makes Christian Yellin a major overlay at the odds to win the NL MVP. 

Last Minute AL MVP Pick: Luis Robert – Chicago White Sox +2000

In 2020, Luis Robert played in 56 games. He had 11 home runs, batted in 31 runs, and hit .233. Last season, Robert played in 68 games and blasted 13 home runs with 43 RBIs and hit .338.

This season, Robert will start in center field. So if he doesn’t miss time due to injury, his numbers will sky rocket. Expect Robert, should he stay healthy, to eclipse 35 or even 40 home runs with over 120 RBIs and to bat over .300.

Again, he must stay healthy, but the gargantuan numbers are more than possible. So Robert could end up in the Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Mike Trout category. 

To be fair, if Shohei Ohtani bats over .280 with over 30 home runs and wins over 10 games with 6 losses or fewer, he wins the MVP. But if Shohei misses time or has a mediocre season either at the plate or on the mound, Robert has as much of a shot to win the AL MVP as any player.


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