Signup

Will history repeat itself?

Lines landed last night and for now, there is no moneyline because this is a pick’em SB. Check out Super Bowl odds, analysis, and an over/under and against the spread parlay play on the biggest sporting event of the year.

Early Super Bowl Parlay Picks: Over/Under and ATS, Parlay Play for SB 58 | MyBookie NFL Playoff Preview for the Big Game

ATS Odds: 49ers -1
Over/Under Odds: 47.5

Why San Francisco 49ers are a Good Pick over the Kansas City Chiefs

Based on the championship games, the Kansas City Chiefs are locks to win the Super Bowl. After all, KC went into Baltimore and beat the team with the best record in the NFL, the Baltimore Ravens.

This was Baltimore’s season. Lamar Jackson is a favorite to win NFL MVP while the Ravens defense posted historical stats. But while most were all over Baltimore (including this writer, FYI), the Chiefs did what KC does, win football games.

KC got the Patrick Mahomes to Travis Kelce connection going, shut down Baltimore’s rushing attack, and confused Jackson all day. So for sure, the Chiefs beat the Ravens.

However, KC isn’t the pick to win the Super Bowl. There are a few reasons why. First, history is agianst Kansas City. The Patriots pulled off the back-to-back because New England was better than both the Carolina Panthers and Philadelphia Eagles.

Kansas City isn’t better than the San Francisco 49ers. They for sure have more experience, but the Niners have something going for them that KC doesn’t.

SF is one of the few teams that surpasses or is even with KC at every skill position. Not counting quarterback, and Brock Purdy is catching up to Mahomes, the Niners boast one of the top tight ends in the league, George Kittle, who is as close to Travis Kelce level as there is.

Christian McCaffrey is the best running back in the NFL while Deebo Samuel might be the best overall skilled player at any position. Almost as important?

The Niners’ offensive line surpasses Kansas City’s and it’s not close. Trent Williams is the best left tackle in the NFL. Also, SF is hungrier.

Kyle Shanahan knows he let a Super Bowl ring slip from his grasp in 2020. The 49ers will step it up on February 11.

2024 NFL Super Bowl ATS: San Francisco 49ers -1 | Bet 49ers vs Chiefs
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

Why the 49ers and Chiefs will Add to a Total that Goes over 47.5

Kansas City’s defense is fantastic, but Steve Spagnuolo, KC’s defensive coordinator, can’t blitz Brock Purdy the way he blitzed Lamar Jackson. Purdy will find open receivers.

In addition, as good as the Chiefs secondary is, nobody in the defensive backfield can guard Brandon Ayuik and Deebo Samuel one-on-one. Ayuik can beat his guy. So if the d-backs settle on doubling Deebo, Ayuik will have a monster game.

Kittle is also a handful, and no linebacker or safety can go against McCaffrey. The 49ers will score. The Niners should be good for at least 28.

In the 2020 Super Bowl, the 49ers scored 23 before Kyle Shanahan began to dial it back. Shanny won’t dial it back in this game. Instead, he’s going to unleash play after play that moves the football and puts the Niners in position to score touchdowns, not field goals.

Andy Reid knows this. So Reid will have to counter by speeding up Patrick Mahomes’ clock. Nick Bosa and Chase Young are fast enough to run down Mahomes, but Reid is a master at using an opponent’s strength against that opponent.

Reid will design plays that allow Mahomes to get loose with an open receiver close. Patrick has become genius level at faking a toss and rushing the football or rushing up to the line to goad safeties or linebackers to him before throwing the football to an open receiver.

The 49ers defense will lockdown at some point in the game, but it won’t happen until late, and it won’t happen until after the Chiefs score at least 24 points.

The early final predicted score is San Francisco 49ers 28 and the Kansas City Chiefs 24, which mans the total will be 52. Niners pick’em to over 47.5 is the Super Bowl LVIII parlay play.

2024 NFL Super Bowl Total: OVER 47.5 | Bet 49ers vs Chiefs
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game