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Last updated: August 2026
NFL betting splits compare the share of tickets to the share of money on each side of a market. A gap between the two can mean average wager sizes differ, but it doesn’t show where the pros are, and it doesn’t predict the winner.
Say Team A has 70% of bets but only 45% of the money. That means Team B is drawing fewer tickets but bigger average wagers. Before using NFL public betting percentages for anything, check the source, the market, when it was last updated, the opening number, and the current line.
Betting splits are context for reading market activity and price movement, not a betting system on their own.
Splits mean more read alongside the rest of the NFL betting market: the factors that influence NFL bets and the factors for evaluating NFL lines.
The higher percentage on its own doesn’t tell you much. What matters is whether the reported action, the line history, and the current price agree with each other, whether you’re betting through a conventional bank account, bitcoin, or crypto.
Editorial Method
This guide interprets NFL betting splits by separating ticket share, handle share, market type, line movement, and timing. Every numerical scenario is labeled as an illustrative example unless an identified data source is provided.
Split percentages may represent one sportsbook, multiple books, or a consensus provider. Because reporting scope and update frequency differ, this guide does not treat anonymous percentages as proof of professional betting activity or as a prediction of the outcome.
Quick Answer
Bet % shows the share of reported tickets on a side, while Money % shows the share of reported handle wagered on that side. A large gap can suggest different average bet sizes, but it cannot identify sharp bettors or predict which side will win.
Table of Contents
- What Are NFL Betting Splits?
- Why Do NFL Betting Splits Differ Between Sportsbooks?
- What Is the Difference Between Bet % and Money %?
- How Can Bet % and Money % Suggest Sharp Action?
- What Does Low Bet % and High Money % Mean in NFL Betting?
- What Does Reverse Line Movement Mean in NFL Betting?
- Why Can NFL Betting Lines Move Without a Change in the Point Spread?
- How Should You Read NFL Betting Splits Step by Step?
- How Do NFL Spread, Moneyline, and Over/Under Betting Splits Differ?
- Are NFL Betting Splits Useful for Making NFL Picks?
- When Is NFL Betting Split Data Most Useful?
- When Should You Not Trust NFL Betting Splits?
- Are NFL Public Betting Percentages Accurate?
- Do Bitcoin or Crypto Bets Change NFL Betting Splits?
- FAQ
- What do betting splits mean in NFL betting?
- What is the difference between Bet % and Money %?
- Does a higher Money % mean sharp money?
- What is reverse line movement in NFL betting?
- Should you fade the public in NFL betting?
- How often do NFL betting splits update?
- Why do NFL betting splits differ between sportsbooks?
- Are NFL public betting percentages accurate?
- How do public betting trends cause NFL lines to move?
- Where can bettors compare current NFL betting lines?
- What does low Bet % and high Money % mean?
- Did the betting split cause the NFL line to move?
- Final Thoughts: How Should You Use Betting Splits With NFL Lines?
What Are NFL Betting Splits?
An NFL betting split is a snapshot from one sportsbook or data provider at one moment. If 62% of spread tickets are on the favorite, 38% are on the dog in that sample.
Read spread, total, and moneyline data separately. The same goes for point spreads, totals, moneylines, team totals, and player props.
If the terminology is unfamiliar, the essential NFL betting glossary covers it, and the history of football gambling gives some background on how these markets took shape. Both make it easier to tell a betting percentage apart from the actual line or price.
Percentages shift as more wagers come in and limits move. Betting stats and splits are most useful when the feed is current and the sample is clear.
NFL Betting Split Terms at a Glance
Bet %, Ticket %, or Bet Count Percentage: The percentage of reported wagers placed on one side.
Money %, Handle %, or Handle Percentage: The percentage of reported money wagered on that side.
Public betting percentage: A general term that often refers to ticket share, although its definition depends on the provider.
Betting consensus: A summary that may represent one sportsbook or information combined from multiple sources.
Why Do NFL Betting Splits Differ Between Sportsbooks?
NFL betting splits can differ because each sportsbook may be reporting a different customer base, ticket count, handle, update schedule, and market price. One feed may show action from a single book, while another may publish a consensus assembled from several sources. Neither should be treated as a complete census of the entire NFL betting market.
Market definitions also matter. A provider may separate regulation moneyline bets from other markets, publish only pregame wagers, or update its NFL sportsbook odds and percentages on a different schedule. Before comparing two feeds, confirm that both refer to the same game, market, line, time window, and type of wager.
How MyBookie separates split data from betting odds: Public betting percentages describe reported market activity, while MyBookie NFL betting odds show the price currently available at MyBookie. The two data points serve different purposes: the split helps frame market behavior, and the current line determines the terms of a potential wager.
For a broader view of available markets and current prices, bettors can explore MyBookie’s sports betting odds and lines before deciding whether a betting split supports their independent analysis.
NFL Betting Split Reliability Scorecard
Give the reported data one point for every condition it meets. A higher score means the split has more context behind it—not that it predicts the winner.
- Named source: The sportsbook or data provider is identified.
- Current timestamp: The last update time is displayed.
- Specific market: The data clearly identifies the spread, moneyline, total, or prop.
- Matching line: The percentage is connected to the exact line and price being evaluated.
- Useful sample: Ticket count, sample size, or reporting scope is disclosed.
| Score | Data Quality | Recommended Use |
|---|---|---|
| 0–1 | Very limited | Do not use it to support a betting decision. |
| 2–3 | Partial context | Use only as a prompt for further research. |
| 4–5 | Better documented | Compare it with line history, news, limits, and your handicap. |
Quick Answers
What does a 62/38 ticket split mean? In the reported sample, 62% of tickets are on one side and 38% are on the other.
Can you compare spread splits with moneyline splits? No. Each percentage belongs to a specific market and should be evaluated separately.
What to Verify Before Using a Split
⚙ Data source:
Confirm whether the feed represents one sportsbook, a network, or a consensus sample.
Market and timing:
Verify the specific market, update time, opening line, current line, and available limits.
What Is the Difference Between Bet % and Money %?
The bet percentage, also called ticket percentage or percentage of bets, tells you how many reported wagers are on each side. The money percentage, handle percentage, or percentage of money tells you how much of the reported handle is on each side.
Team A: 75% Bet %, 48% Money %. Team B: 25% Bet %, 52% Money %. The betting tickets vs money gap says the average reported wager on Team B is larger.
That is the basic bet % vs money % read. Money % is not a moneyline price. A moneyline of +140 is part of the NFL betting odds, not an NFL betting handle percentage.
| Metric | What It Measures | What It Does Not Show |
|---|---|---|
| Bet % | Share of reported tickets placed on a side | Wager size or bettor identity |
| Money % | Share of reported handle wagered on a side | Moneyline price or certainty of sharp action |
| Percentage gap | Difference between ticket share and handle share | Which side will win or cover |
How Is Average Wager Size Estimated From Betting Splits?
Estimated average wager = reported handle on a side ÷ reported ticket count on that side.
If the actual totals are unavailable, divide Money % by Bet % to calculate a relative wager-size index. A result above 1.00 indicates that the side’s average reported wager is larger than the overall sample average; a result below 1.00 indicates that it is smaller.
Example: A side with 52% Money and 25% Bets has a relative wager-size index of 2.08 because 52 ÷ 25 = 2.08. This describes wager size within the sample; it does not identify the bettors.
Example: Fewer Tickets, More Money
Use the relative wager-size estimator below to compare the handle-to-ticket relationship, then use the betting odds calculator when you need to convert and compare the actual price.
Relative Average Wager Size Estimator
Enter one side’s Bet % and Money % to estimate whether its average reported wager is larger or smaller than the overall sample average.
NFL Split Average Wager Calculator
Enter the reported ticket count, total handle, and one side's percentages. The calculator estimates the number of tickets, handle, and average wager on both sides.
How Can Bet % and Money % Suggest Sharp Action?
Say an underdog has 28% of tickets and 61% of the handle. That can suggest larger wagers are landing on the dog.
It does not confirm NFL sharp money or identify sharp action. The bettors are anonymous, and the feed may represent one book, a network, or a consensus sample.
Use it as a clue. Check NFL betting trends, line history, limits, injuries, and the broader market. Public money and public betting numbers add context, nothing more.
Underdog Split Example
If you're wondering why this matters, it's because NFL betting markets react to wager size, timing, limits, and new information—not ticket percentages alone.
| Observed Data | Reasonable Interpretation | Unsupported Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Low Bet %, high Money % | The reported average wager is larger on that side. | Professional bettors definitely selected that side. |
| Line moves against the ticket-heavy side | The movement deserves investigation. | Reverse line movement guarantees a cover. |
| Heavy Bet % and Money % on one side | The reported action is concentrated on that side. | The sportsbook must move the line. |
| Different splits across two sportsbooks | The books may have different customers, prices, samples, or update times. | One of the feeds must be incorrect. |
| A late change in Money % | One or more larger wagers may have entered the reported sample. | The late action must be sharp money. |
CHECK THE MARKET
Compare the Signal With the Current NFL Price
Once a split catches your attention, review the current NFL betting odds and lines before deciding whether the available number fits your handicap.
View NFL OddsWhat Does Low Bet % and High Money % Mean in NFL Betting?
Low Bet % and high Money % means a side received a smaller share of reported tickets but a larger share of the reported handle. Within that sample, the average wager on that side is larger than the average wager on the ticket-heavy side.
For example, if an underdog has 25% of tickets and 55% of the money, its wagers are larger on average than those placed on the favorite. That difference can draw attention to possible sharp action, but it does not reveal who placed the bets, why they were placed, or whether the underdog will cover.
The correct interpretation is larger average reported wagers, not confirmed professional money. Check the reporting source, timestamp, line movement, limits, injuries, and current NFL betting odds before giving the split additional weight.
What Does Reverse Line Movement Mean in NFL Betting?
Reverse line movement happens when a line moves against the ticket-heavy side. If the favorite has 72% of spread bets but moves from -4 to -3.5, the move is toward the underdog.
That is NFL line movement worth checking, not proof the dog will cover. News, risk controls, limits, market-making books, or respected wagers can all influence market movement.
Price counts too. A move from -3 (-110) to -3 (-120) is still movement even if the spread stays at three. Compare the opening line with current NFL sportsbook lines and NFL odds.
Why Can NFL Betting Lines Move Without a Change in the Point Spread?
An NFL betting line can move through the price attached to the spread, even when the point spread itself remains unchanged. For example, the spread may stay at -3 while the betting odds change from -110 to -120.
📈 How Can the Price Move While the Spread Stays the Same?
| Market Stage | Point Spread | Price | What Changed? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opening line | -3 | -110 | The initial spread and price are available. |
| Price adjustment | -3 | -120 | The same side becomes more expensive to bet. |
| Possible next move | -3.5 | Varies | The sportsbook moves through the key number if another adjustment is needed. |
The move from -110 to -120 changes the cost of betting the -3 side without changing the number it must cover. A later adjustment could move the spread to -3.5, but that progression is not automatic.
⚙ What Can Cause NFL Sportsbook Lines to Move?
A sportsbook may adjust a line or its price for several reasons:
- ✓ Injury, lineup, or availability news
- ✓ Weather or field-condition updates
- ✓ Larger or respected wagers
- ✓ Broader movement across the betting market
- ✓ Changing limits or sportsbook liability
- ✓ Internal risk and exposure decisions
For anyone learning how to read NFL odds, tracking both the point spread and the attached price provides a more complete view than recording the spread alone.
📚 Which NFL Betting Concepts Explain Line Movement?
Before using betting splits to interpret a move, understand the market and price being measured:
- ➤ Learn what point spreads mean in football.
- ➤ Review how the moneyline works in NFL betting.
- ➤ Understand how sportsbooks set NFL odds.
These concepts explain the underlying market before ticket share and handle share add another layer of context.
🔍 Did the Betting Split Cause the NFL Line to Move?
Not necessarily. A betting split and an NFL line may change around the same time without proving that one caused the other.
The sportsbook may have responded to:
- ➤ Injury or weather news
- ➤ A market-wide adjustment
- ➤ One or more larger wagers
- ➤ Changing betting limits
- ➤ Internal exposure or liability
⏱ Why Should You Compare the Timestamps?
The order of events helps determine what the data can—and cannot—show:
| Observed Sequence | Valid Interpretation |
|---|---|
| The line moved before Money % changed | The later split cannot explain the original line movement. |
| Money % changed before the line moved | The events may be related, but the split does not prove causation. |
| The line and split changed at similar times | The data shows correlation unless the sportsbook documents the cause. |
Key takeaway: Use timestamps to establish sequence, but do not assume causation. Public split data usually does not disclose the identity, exact timing, or market impact of individual wagers.
Reverse Line Movement Checklist
⚙ Visible signal:
The line or price moves against the side receiving most reported tickets.
Required context:
Check news, timing, limits, market-wide movement, and whether the data feed is current.
How Should You Read NFL Betting Splits Step by Step?
For how to read NFL betting splits, keep it simple.
- Pick the market. Do not mix spread, total, and moneyline splits.
- Compare ticket share with handle share.
- Check the opening number against the current NFL lines.
- Review the NFL injury report, weather, timing, and late news.
- Decide whether the available price still fits your handicap.
Example: A favorite has 68% of tickets, 49% of money, and moves from -3 to -2.5. That deserves another look, not an automatic bet. For online NFL betting, think split first, movement second, context third, price last.
HTML Infographic: Investigate the Move Before Following It
Use this sequence when NFL betting percentages and sportsbook lines appear to tell different stories.
1. Identify the market
Confirm whether the split belongs to the spread, moneyline, total, team total, or player prop.
2. Record the percentages
Compare Bet % with Money % and note the size of the gap.
3. Track the full price
Compare both the opening number and attached price with the current line.
4. Check the timestamp
Determine whether the split was reported before or after the line moved.
5. Search for causes
Review injuries, weather, limits, lineup news, and broader market movement.
6. Evaluate the current number
Bet only if the available price still fits your independent NFL analysis.
MyBookie’s interpretation method: Treat the split as the starting question, then compare the reported percentages with the market, timestamp, opening line, current price, limits, injuries, weather, and relevant news. A betting conclusion should come from that complete review, not from the percentage gap alone.
Bettors developing that process can compare it with broader NFL betting strategies and the established rules for evaluating NFL bets. The goal is to understand where split data fits within the analysis, not to let one percentage replace the complete handicap.
How Do NFL Spread, Moneyline, and Over/Under Betting Splits Differ?
NFL spread betting splits measure tickets and handle on each side of the point spread. NFL moneyline betting splits measure action on each team's outright price. NFL over/under betting splits measure action on the game total, while team-total and player-prop splits belong to their own markets.
Do not combine them. A team can attract most spread tickets while the opponent receives most moneyline handle, and heavy Over tickets do not explain movement in the side. Separating the markets makes online betting data easier to interpret and prevents an unrelated percentage from influencing the wrong wager.
Parlays must also be evaluated as a separate market rather than interpreted through the split for one individual side or total. Bettors interested in major-event wagering can review where to find special parlays for big events, while remembering that each additional selection changes the combined odds and the conditions required for the wager to win.
Are NFL Betting Splits Useful for Making NFL Picks?
NFL betting splits are useful as supporting market context, but they should not determine a pick by themselves. Their best use is identifying unusual differences between ticket share, handle share, and line movement that deserve further investigation.
🔍 What Should You Check Alongside NFL Betting Splits?
A complete NFL betting analysis should consider more than public percentages. Before making a pick, evaluate:
- ✓ Matchup strengths and weaknesses
- ✓ Injuries and lineup changes
- ✓ Weather, rest, and scheduling
- ✓ Opening and current sportsbook lines
- ✓ Whether the available price offers value
Splits can help explain market activity, but they cannot replace handicapping or guarantee a profitable wager.
🎁 Do Bonuses Change How Betting Splits Work?
No. Promotional funds may affect how a wager is funded, but they do not change what Bet %, Money %, or line movement means.
- ➤ Learn about using free bets to your advantage.
- ➤ Review how to effectively use and maximize a free-play bonus.
- ➤ Check the current sports betting bonuses and promotions.
⚙ Where Do NFL Betting Strategies Fit?
Betting frameworks can organize research and decision-making, but none can turn NFL betting splits into a guaranteed prediction.
| Resource | Best Use |
|---|---|
| 📚 Popular NFL betting strategies and theories | Compare common approaches without treating any system as automatic. |
| 📋 10 commandments of pro football betting | Build a structured process for evaluating NFL wagers. |
| 🎯 Five Ds for successful NFL betting | Reinforce preparation, discipline, and decision-making. |
💡 How Can Bettors Build Better Habits?
Practical guidance should reinforce research, price comparison, and discipline—not encourage bettors to follow public percentages automatically.
- ➤ Apply these seven tips for bettors to strengthen your overall process.
- ➤ Use these five betting tips for the pro football season to prepare before NFL action begins.
🏈 NFL Betting Beyond the Percentages
Understanding NFL markets can also make the game more engaging away from the betting screen. These NFL ideas for making a football party more interesting offer a lighter way to apply league and game knowledge without confusing entertainment with betting analysis.
The growth of regulated and online wagering has changed how bettors access information, compare prices, and place NFL bets. Readers interested in that broader development can explore how modern gambling developed into a widely accessible form of entertainment. Greater access, however, does not make betting splits more predictive or eliminate the risks involved.
When Is NFL Betting Split Data Most Useful?
Split data is most useful when the reporting source is identified, the timestamp is recent, the sample is meaningful, and the associated NFL line can be compared with its opening price. Early-week numbers may reflect lower limits and fewer wagers; late action may arrive after limits rise or new information becomes public.
This does not mean late splits are automatically better. A last-minute injury, weather update, or lineup report can make an older percentage stale within minutes. Record the update time, then compare the split with current sportsbook lines before deciding whether the signal still applies.
Worked Example: What the Numbers Actually Show
Illustrative data only: Assume a reported sample contains 1,000 tickets and $100,000 in handle.
| Statistic | Team A | Team B |
|---|---|---|
| Bet % | 75% | 25% |
| Estimated tickets | 750 | 250 |
| Money % | 48% | 52% |
| Estimated handle | $48,000 | $52,000 |
| Estimated average wager | $64 | $208 |
- Team B's estimated average wager is 3.25 times Team A's average wager.
- The calculation supports the conclusion that Team B has larger average wagers in this sample.
- The calculation does not reveal who placed the wagers.
- It does not establish why the line moved or which team offers betting value.
- It does not predict which side will win or cover.
When Should You Not Trust NFL Betting Splits?
Be careful with stale feeds, unknown sample sizes, one-book data, early low-limit markets, late news, and percentage gaps caused by only a few large wagers.
A 90/10 split means less if nobody shows the sample size or update time. Blindly fading NFL public betting is not a full strategy.
The real question is whether the current price offers value. Treat splits as information, not a standalone system for online betting or general odds for sports.
Are NFL Public Betting Percentages Accurate?
NFL public betting percentages can be accurate for the sportsbook or data provider reporting them and still be incomplete for the wider market. Accuracy depends on a clearly identified source, consistent market definitions, a current timestamp, and enough reported wagers to make the percentages useful.
If a page does not disclose whether its figures come from one book or a broader consensus, interpret the numbers cautiously. The question “who is the public betting on in the NFL?” cannot be answered reliably from an unknown or stale sample. Use the data to describe reported action, not every bettor everywhere.
It’s important to note: reported percentages can be mathematically accurate for their source and still provide an incomplete view of the broader NFL betting market.
Quick Answers
Is a 90/10 split automatically meaningful? No. Its usefulness depends on the sample size, source, market, limits, and update time.
Should you blindly fade the public? No. Start with your handicap and the available price, then use public betting data as supporting context.
Do Bitcoin or Crypto Bets Change NFL Betting Splits?
No. Bitcoin betting, crypto betting, and crypto sports betting can change how an account is funded, but they do not change what Bet %, Handle %, or NFL odds mean.
If the book includes the wager in its data, a bitcoin-funded bet still counts as one ticket and its wager amount goes into the handle. The math is the same when you bet on sports with crypto.
The same principle applies across online betting: funding method and market interpretation are separate. Bitcoin betting and crypto betting affect how an eligible customer deposits or withdraws, while Bet %, Money %, betting odds, and odds for sports continue to describe the wager and its price in the same way.
Bettors who want to understand the funding side separately can review how Bitcoin is used at online sportsbooks and casinos, explore how crypto betting sites and cryptocurrency betting work, or visit the MyBookie Bitcoin betting information page. These resources explain the payment method and betting environment without changing how ticket share and handle share are calculated.
For a closer look at the transaction process, the guide to how crypto betting mechanics work explains the operational side of cryptocurrency wagering. Bettors can also examine crypto betting strategy, transaction speed, limits, and sportsbook advantages, but those considerations should remain separate from any conclusion drawn from NFL betting percentages.
Funding Method vs Betting Data
⚙ Funding method:
Bitcoin or crypto determines how an eligible account is funded.
Split calculation:
The wager still contributes one ticket and its amount to the reported handle.
Summary
- Bet % measures reported ticket share; Money % measures reported handle share.
- A gap can reveal differences in average wager size, but it cannot identify sharp bettors.
- Read spread, total, moneyline, team total, and player prop splits separately.
- Verify the source, timestamp, sample, opening number, current price, limits, injuries, and news.
- Use splits as context for a handicap, never as an automatic bet or prediction.
- Compare MyBookie sportsbook lines and betting odds only after verifying the market and timestamp behind the split.
NEXT STEP
Put Your NFL Betting Read Into Practice
Review the current MyBookie NFL odds, compare the available sportsbook lines, and choose only the price that fits your NFL betting analysis and sports betting plan.
Bet on NFL GamesFAQ
What do betting splits mean in NFL betting?
Betting splits show how tickets and money are divided between the sides of a specific market. They help you compare crowd action with wager size, but the percentages only represent the sportsbook or data source reporting them.
What is the difference between Bet % and Money %?
Bet % measures the number of wagers on a side, while Money % measures the dollars wagered. A higher money share can mean larger average bets; it is not the same as a moneyline, which is the price on a team.
Does a higher Money % mean sharp money?
Not necessarily. A higher money share can come from a few large wagers, but anonymous data does not identify who placed them, so check line movement, timing, limits, and news before giving it weight.
What is reverse line movement in NFL betting?
Reverse line movement occurs when the line moves against the side receiving most of the tickets. It can signal larger or respected action on the other side, but it is still a signal, not a prediction of the result.
Should you fade the public in NFL betting?
No automatic fade makes sense. Public-heavy teams win plenty of games, so start with your handicap, compare the price, and use public data as added context.
How often do NFL betting splits update?
It depends on the sportsbook or data provider. Splits can change quickly near kickoff as limits rise and larger bets enter the market.
Why do NFL betting splits differ between sportsbooks?
Each sportsbook can have a different customer base, ticket count, handle, line, and update time. Confirm that two feeds cover the same market and time window before comparing their percentages.
Are NFL public betting percentages accurate?
They may be accurate for the reporting source while remaining incomplete for the entire market. Source transparency, sample size, market definition, and freshness determine how much weight the percentages deserve.
How do public betting trends cause NFL lines to move?
Public action can contribute to a move, but sportsbooks may also respond to wager size, respected accounts, injuries, weather, market-wide changes, and risk exposure. A line move rarely proves a single cause by itself.
Where can bettors compare current NFL betting lines?
Bettors can review the current MyBookie NFL market for available spreads, moneylines, totals, and prices. The current number—not an earlier split—is the price used to make the final betting decision.
What does low Bet % and high Money % mean?
It means a side received a smaller share of reported tickets but a larger share of the reported handle. The average wager on that side is therefore larger within the sample, but the percentages do not confirm who placed the bets or whether the side will win.
Did the betting split cause the NFL line to move?
Not necessarily. Betting percentages and NFL lines can change at similar times, but injuries, respected wagers, changing limits, broader market movement, or sportsbook exposure may also explain the move. Check the timestamps and treat the relationship as correlation unless the cause is documented.
Final Thoughts: How Should You Use Betting Splits With NFL Lines?
Compare tickets and handle, follow the line, verify why it moved, then decide whether the current number is worth betting. Splits can improve your read. They cannot pick the winner.
Ready to apply it? Review the current MyBookie NFL odds, compare the available sportsbook lines, and choose only the price that fits your NFL betting analysis and sports betting plan.
The key takeaway is that the useful signal is not the percentage gap by itself; it is how that gap relates to the source, timestamp, sample, line history, limits, and current price. A disciplined bettor uses NFL betting splits to identify what deserves investigation, checks whether news or market movement explains it, and acts only when the available number still offers value. That process turns public betting data into informed context without treating anonymous percentages as proof of sharp action.
Important: Sports betting involves risk. No split, line move, or betting strategy guarantees results, and managing exposure is essential.
MyBookie: Bet On Anything. Anywhere. Anytime.
About the Author
Since 2008, D.S. Williamson has written about sports and sports handicapping. His philosophy is value-based, meaning stats and other handicapping factors are only worth something in comparison to wagering odds. He believes money management and making value-based wagers is the single more important factor that distinguishes successful sports bettors from non-successful sports bettors.
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