What then is baseball worst pitchers betting system?Or better yet, how can it be used to make money in baseball betting lines? Well, while bouncing off ideas about MLB betting, a good friend of mine told me about this book he’d read and found very salient sportsbetting tips on baseball and football. Long story short, he told me some of the insights he’d found in the book, and with the intriguing lessons I learnt from him in the short time we talked, the adventurous me decided to look for the book to find the whole package. After failing to find it in my usual library, I eventually found a copy of it over the internet, Amazon to be specific, going for around $20. If you’ll want to read the book for yourself, the name is Sports Betting: A Computer Expert’s Winning Secrets for Betting on Baseball and Football, written by Jim Jasper in 1979. According to Jasper (a brilliant man, he must be), you can find good value in the baseball odds by going against the worst pitchers in baseball. Now, before you rush to type “the worst pitchers in baseball” on your Google bar, take note that the system is a little complicated. In the system, a worst pitcher is defined based on his ERA, where you find a pitcher whose ERA has a big difference when compared to the ERA of his fellow pitching staff. For example, if a pitcher has a 7.00 ERA while the pitchers in the team have an average ERA of 5.50, the 1.5 runs difference is considered as not being that bad, or worse for that matter. But if a pitcher has a 7.00 ERA, yet the team averages a 2.50 ERA, then the 4.5 runs difference (which is evidently huge) is considered as worse.
How to use this betting system
- Compare the ERA of each starting pitcher in a team to the team’s ERA
- Find the 10 starting pitchers with the largest difference between their ERA and the team’s ERA.
- Bet against the 10 worst pitchers (from step II) until their ERA improves and they are no longer in the “worst” pitchers category or are shipped out of the team.