NFL Conference Odds Expert Analysis Update Nov. 25 Edition

NFL Conference Odds Expert Analysis Update Nov. 25 Edition

Written by on November 25, 2020

With the 2020 NFL regular season heading into Week 12 and teams in both conferences looking to improve their chances of reaching the playoffs, it’s time to take a fun-filled look at the conference championships odds in both, the AFC and NFC. With a multitude of teams in the mix in both conferences, let’s find out which teams are looking good against their NFL Conference Championship odds and which ones might not make the postseason cut!

Updated NFL 2020 Conference Championship Odds

2020 AFC Championship Odds

Kansas City Chiefs+135
Baltimore Ravens+850
New England Patriots+5000
Buffalo Bills+1100
Pittsburgh Steelers+250
Indianapolis Colts+850
Los Angeles Chargers+15000
Tennessee Titans+1200
Cleveland Browns+2000
Houston Texans+15000
Las Vegas Raiders+2000
Denver Broncos+7500
New York Jets+100000
Miami Dolphins+2000
Cincinnati Bengals+50000
Jacksonville Jaguars+37500

Conference Analysis

Kansas City (9-1) is up from a +170 pick to win the AFC two weeks to a +135 pick after getting past Las Vegas 35-31 last weekend to even their regular season series after losing to the Raiders in Week 5. Patrick Mahomes and the defending Super Bowl champs lead the league in scoring (32.1 ppg) and have shown no signs of slowing down as they get set to face Tampa Bay on Sunday.

The unbeaten Pittsburgh Steelers (10-0) are up from a +260 pick two weeks ago to +250 after walloping the Bengals and Jaguars in their last two games. Pittsburgh hosts Baltimore in Week 12, looking for the regular season sweep. Future Hall of Fame quarterback Ben Roethlisberger has thrown 24 TD passes and just five interceptions this season and the Steelers lead the league in fewest points allowed (17.4 ppg).

The Baltimore Ravens (6-4) have gone from a +400 pick two weeks ago to a +850 pick by dropping two straight against the Patriots and Tennessee Titans to fall to 6-4 on the season. After taking on Pittsburgh on Sunday and 7-3 Browns in Week 14, the struggling Ravens close out their 2020 campaign with a trio of winnable games against Jacksonville, the Giants and Cincinnati Bengals.

Indianapolis (7-3) was a +1200 pick two weeks back, but the Colts are now a +850 pick after smacking Tennessee around in Week 10 and pulling off a thrilling 34-31 overtime win against Green Bay last weekend. Indianapolis ranks in the top 5 across the board defensively.

The 7-3 Buffalo Bills have seen their odds go from +800 two weeks ago to +1100 after falling to Arizona 32-30 in Week 10 to see their three-game winning streak snapped. Buffalo’s defense ranks an uninspiring 20th in points allowed (26.5 ppg), so there’s a bit of reason to worry. Tennessee (7-3) has gone from a +1100 pick two weeks ago to +1200 after splitting their last two. Still, Tennessee looks dangerous after getting past Baltimore 30-24 in an overtime thriller on Sunday.

Cleveland (7-3) has gone from a +3000 pick to +2000 after getting past Houston in an ugly affair two weeks ago and backing that up with a 22-17 win over the pitiful Eagles on Sunday. Still, six of Cleveland’s seven wins have come against teams that currently own losing records, including a pristine 3-0 mark against teams from the NFC Least.

Las Vegas (6-4) gave Kansas City all they could handle before coming p just short of getting the regular season sweep in Sunday’s narrow 35-31 loss against their division rivals. The good news is that four of the Raiders final six games come against teams that currently have losing records.

Miami is up from a +2500 pick two weeks ago to +2000, although their 20-13 loss against Denver on Sunday was highly damaging and snapped a five-game winning streak. Three of Miami’s last four games are at home against Kansas City and on the road at Las Vegas and Buffalo. The Broncos and Patriots are both at 4-6 and still have an outside shot of reaching the playoffs – if they each get a lot of help!

If the playoffs were to start today, here’s what the AFC portion would look like.

  • (1) Pittsburgh (first-round bye)
  • (7) Las Vegas @ (2) Kansas City
  • (6) Cleveland @ (3) Buffalo
  • (5) Tennessee @ (4) Indianapolis

2020 NFC Championship Odds

San Francisco 49ers+3000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+400
New Orleans Saints+260
Dallas Cowboys+3300
Seattle Seahawks+450
Green Bay Packers+500
Philadelphia Eagles+1600
Minnesota Vikings+3300
Los Angeles Rams+800
Arizona Cardinals+1200
Chicago Bears+4000
Atlanta Falcons+20000
Detroit Lions+6600
New York Giants+4000
Carolina Panthers+7500
Washington Football Team+4000

Conference Analysis

In the NFC, the New Orleans Saints (8-2) have gone from a +270 pick two weeks ago to +260. Even with Drew Brees out of the lineup with an injury that could see him miss several more games, the Saints kept the good times rolling under backup Taysom Hill by smacking Atlanta around en route to a commanding 20-9 win on Sunday.

The Los Angeles Rams (7-3) are up to a +800 pick after being a +1000 selection a couple of weeks back. Aaron Donald and company have won two straight games in highly impressive fashion by beating the Seahawks 23-26 in Week 10 and backing that up by beating Tampa Bay 27-24 on Monday night by harassing the hell out of Tom Brady and the Buccaneers.

The Green Bay Packers have seen their conference championship odds take a bit of a hit after being a +400 pick to win the conference crown two weeks ago. Aaron Rodgers and company completely collapsed in the second half of their stunning 34-31 overtime loss against Indianapolis on Sunday to fall to 2-2- over their last four.

Seattle (7-3) as a +330 pick two weeks ago, but are now a more value-packed +450 pick to win the NFC. The Seahawks picked up a confidence-boosting 28-21 home win over NFC West rival Arizona and now sit in a tie with the Rams for the division lead in the NFC West. More importantly, Seattle played its best defensive game of the season against Kyler Murray and the Cardinals high-powered offense.

Tampa Bay (7-4) is still the same +400 pick they were two weeks ago, but Tom Brady and company aren’t necessarily looking good heading into their Week 12 matchup against Kansas City. The Bucs have dropped two of three and got completely humbled in their 27-24 home loss against the Rams on Monday night.

Arizona (6-4) has also dropped two of three including a humbling 28-21 loss against NFC West rival Seattle on Sunday. The Cards face a dangerous New England team on Sunday and have a pair of games remaining against the division rival Rams. although they also have what looks like easily winnable games against the Giants, Eagles and 49ers still remaining.

Speaking of Philadelphia, the lowly Eagles sit atop the awful NFC East with a 3-6-1 mark that is completely laughable at this point.  The Birds have dropped two straight and they could lose their next four against Seattle, Green Bay, New Orleans and Arizona, not to mention they finish with a pair of division matchups against the desperate Cowboys and Washington Football Team.

The Chicago Bears (5-5) are still in the hunt, despite dropping four straight heading into their Week 12 road date at Green Bay. Still, Chicago has what looks like winnable matchups against Detroit, Houston and Jacksonville, so the Bears aren’t completely out of it. If the playoffs were to start today, here’s what the NFC postseason would look like.

  • (1) New Orleans (first-round bye)
  • (7) Arizona @ (2) Los Angeles
  • (6) Tampa Bay @ (3) Green Bay
  • (5) Seattle @ (4) Philadelphia

NFL Betting News

Odds and Lines: NFL Betting | Live Betting | Super Bowl | Playoffs | AFC | NFC