Things certainly did not go to plan during the Wild Card Weekend, with upsets and blowouts the order of the day. MyBookie Sportsbook 2024 NFL Divisional Round Upset Picks
The Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs lived up to their billing as favorites, while the Detroit Lions moved on by the skin of their teeth. In the other 3 games, it was the underdogs that did the business, with all of them winning in surprisingly comfortable fashion. The Texans, Packers, and Buccaneers survived as underdogs and moved on to the Divisional Round. The question now is whether their outstanding performances were a one off or a sign of things to come. Let’s look at all 4 Divisional Round matchups to see if more upsets are coming.
Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens
We are going to be looking at the ESPN Matchup Predictor with all of the games, so when we talk win percentages, that is what we are referencing. The Texans made things look easy in a blowout win over the Cleveland Browns, but this matchup against another AFC North team figures to be a good deal tougher. The concern for Ravens fans has to be that they have not been great in the postseason in the Lamar Jackson era, failing to cross the 20-point mark in all 4 playoff games. If they keep that trend going, the Texans might be a live longshot.
Texans Last 5 |
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Wild Card Browms Win 45-14 |
Week 18 Colts Win 23-19 |
Week 17 Titans Win 26-3 |
Week 16 Browns Lose 36-22 |
Week 15 Titans Win 19-16 OT |
Ravens Last 5 |
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Week 18 Steelers Lose 17-10 |
Week 17 Dolphins Win 56-19 |
Week 16 49ers Win 33-19 |
Week 15 Jaguars Win 23-7 |
Week 14 Rams Win 37-31 OT |
Bet on the Texans at Ravens to Win Today
To be fair, though, no one really gave the Packers much of a chance in Dallas last weekend and they laid an absolute beating on the Cowboys. ESPN has them with a 21.4% chance of winning this one and they can do that if the offense continues to play at a high level, as they have been for the last month. Still, a risky bet to take Green Bay to win.
Packers Last 5 |
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Wild Card Cowboys Win 48-32 |
Week 18 Bears Win 17-9 |
Week 17 Vikings Win 33-10 |
Week 16 Panthers Win 33-30 |
Week 15 Buccaneers Lose 34-20 |
49ers Last 5 |
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Week 18 Rams Lose 21-20 |
Week 17 Commanders Win 27-10 |
Week 16 Ravens Lose 33-19 |
Week 15 Cardinals Win 45-29 |
Week 14 Seahawks Win 28-16 |
Bet on the Packers at 49ers to Win Today
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions
The Lions have, up until this point, lived up to the preseason hype piled on them. They won the division, and then back that up by winning a close one against the LA Rams in the Wild Card Round. Given the way in which the Buccaneers went into the playoffs, the feeling was that they would be very quickly done, but they laid an absolute beating on Philly. In fairness, the Eagles looked very fragile coming down the stretch, so the loss was not a total surprise. The Bucs have a 37.5% chance of winning, so they might be worth the risk.
Buccaneers Last 5 |
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Wild Card Eagles Win 32-9 |
Week 18 Panthers Win 9-0 |
Week 17 Saints Lose 23-13 |
Week 16 Jaguars Win 30-12 |
Week 15 Packers Win 34-20 |
Lions Last 5 |
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Wild Card Rams Win 24-23 |
Week 18 Vikings Win 30-20 |
Week 17 Cowboys Lose 20-19 |
Week 16 Vikings Win 30-24 |
Week 15 Broncos Win 42-17 |
Bet on the Buccaneers at Lions to Win Today
Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills
There have been some questions asked of both teams this season, and while the Chiefs still look questionable at times, they did win easily over a banged-up Miami Dolphins team in the Wild Card. The Bills have been rolling over the last month and a half or so and were way too strong for the Steelers last weekend. They are in as a modest favorite over the Chiefs and have a 56.6% chance of winning, according to ESPN. I think this one will be close, and the Chiefs look to be the best underdog pick this weekend.
Chiefs Last 5 |
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Wild Card Dolphins Win 26-7 |
Week 18 Chargers Win 13-12 |
Week 17 Bengals Win 25-17 |
Week 16 Raiders Lose 20-14 |
Week 15 Patriots Win 27-17 |
Bills Last 5 |
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Wild Card Steelers Win 31-17 |
Week 18 Dolphins Win 21-14 |
Week 17 Patriots Win 27-21 |
Week 16 Chargers Win 24-22 |
Week 15 Cowboys Win 31-10 |
Bet on the Chiefs at Bills to Win Today
Odds to Win the Super Bowl 58 Before the NFL Divisional Round Games
Team Odds | |
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San Francisco 49ers +175 | Baltimore Ravens +280 |
Buffalo Bills +475 | Kansas City Chiefs +800 |
Detroit Lions +950 | Green Bay Packers +2500 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3300 | Houston Texans +3300 |
Bet Super Bowl 58 Lines |
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