Everyone loves an upset! While we don’t see a lot of upsets in the NFL, we have seen some surprises this season. We’ve seen more parity in the league than we have in years past, and we think that some of this could carry into the playoffs. Let’s take a look at all four of this weekend’s games, and we’ll rank in order which games have the highest probability for an upset, and which ones have the lowest probability. Let’s get right to it so you can bet against the NFL Playoffs odds.
NFL Divisional Round Upset Picks
Highest Probability of an Upset
- (4) Los Angeles Rams @ (2) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
We saw a lot of good things in the Rams win against the Arizona Cardinals. Matthew Stafford looks like he’s poised and ready for the playoffs. The Rams running game looked revitalized, which will only help their passing attack. Odell Beckham Jr. is looking like his old self, and that’s not good news for Tampa Bay.
As for Tampa Bay, even though they beat the Eagles soundly, they have some issues. We’re not sure of the status of Tristan Wirfs. Without him, that’ll be a big loss for the Tampa offensive line. We’re not sure whether or not Leonard Fournette will be active. With Tampa already missing Chris Godwin, and Antonio Brown being cut, the Bucs will depend on Mike Evans and Rob Gronkowski in the passing game.
Tampa Bay’s defense will give the Rams issues, as the Tampa defensive line is one of the best in the game. They will make it difficult for the Rams to run, and that could make a huge impact on the Los Angeles offense.
With all of that being said, we’re leaning towards the Rams in this one. They have a good offense, and a defense filled with star power that wants to get to the Super Bowl. The Rams will win a high-scoring affair 34-28, upsetting Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
- (4) Cincinnati Bengals @ (1) Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is the toughest team in the playoffs. They play much like their head coach, Mike Vrabel, did in his time with the New England Patriots. Derrick Henry will be back, and for the first time since October, their offense should be at full strength.
As for the Bengals, Joe Burrow and the offense have things going. Ja’Marr Chase has been hard to stop, and Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd have been very good complementary pieces to Chase. We also can’t forget CJ Uzomah and Joe Mixon. The Titans’ secondary has struggled throughout the season, so we’re looking for Joe Burrow to exploit that.
The Bengals are riding high right now, and they will be the team that everyone wants to see move on. We think that the Bengals have a great shot at knocking the Titans off.
This Could Happen….
- (3) Buffalo Bills @ (2) Kansas City Chiefs
This could very well be the game of the playoffs. The Bills looked unstoppable against the Patriots, while the Chiefs easily disposed of the Pittsburgh Steelers. Josh Allen had a nearly perfect game against the Patriots, as the Buffalo offense never had a 4th down the whole game. With Buffalo’s defense being a very good unit, the Chiefs are in for a tough battle.
Patrick Mahomes could be the best quarterback in the league. He has some great weapons at his disposal, and the Chiefs have been finding new ways for their offense to work, as teams are taking away their deep options. We’ll see if the Chiefs’ defense that got better throughout the season comes to play, or if the one from the beginning of the season rears its ugly head.
This game is a toss-up in our opinion, and we could see either team winning this one. A slight edge towards the Bills upsetting the Chiefs.
Not gonna Happen……
- (6) San Francisco 49ers @ (1) Green Bay Packers
Many experts think that this is the worst possible matchup for the Packers. However, we feel like Aaron Rodgers and the Packers will find a way to get through this one.
San Francisco’s defense is very good. They have a very good front line that can get to the quarterback. They also have a very disciplined secondary that sticks to its assignments. Their linebacking corps are very athletic, and they can help to disguise their coverages.
On paper, this looks bad for Green Bay. However, we feel that Aaron Rodgers and company will have just enough to get by the 49ers and move on to the NFC Championship game. Green Bay wins a close one 24-21 and moves on.