Jets vs Dolphins NFL Week 15 Odds, Analysis and Score Prediction

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The Miami Dolphins were stunned at home by the Tennessee Titans on Monday night or they would be atop the AFC right now. 2023 NFL Expert Analysis Jets vs Dolphins | MyBookie Sportsbook NFL Regular Season: September 7, 2023 – January 7, 2024 | Week 15 NFL

Instead, the Fins look to bounce back and move to the verge of clinching the AFC East with a home victory over the New York Jets on Sunday to complete the season sweep. Miami is better than a TD favorite on the NFL odds.

How to Bet Jets at Dolphins NFL Odds & TV Info

When: Sunday, 1 PM ET
Where: Hard Rock Stadium
TV: CBS
Radio: http://www.siriusxm.com/nfl
Stream Option: https://tv.youtube.com/learn/nflsundayticket/
Opening NFL Lines: Dolphins -9 (total 37)

Season Series

In Week 12, the Dolphins won 34-13 at the Jets on Black Friday. Jevon Holland returned an intercepted first-half Hail Mary attempt 99 yards for a score, and Raheem Mostert ran for two touchdowns. Tua Tagovailoa was intercepted twice, including one returned for a score by Brandin Echols, but Miami was in control for most of the game. Tagovailoa finished 21 of 30 for 243 yards with a TD pass to Tyreek Hill. Tim Boyle started at quarterback for the Jets in place of the benched Zach Wilson, but New York’s stagnant offense failed to get much going other than Boyle’s 1-yard TD pass to Garrett Wilson with 4:37 remaining.

Why Bet on NY Jets?

The Jets went back to Zach Wilson at quarterback in Week 14 and that proved a smart move as they played arguably their best game of the season in a 30-6 win over Houston to snap a five-game skid. Wilson completed 27-of-36 passes for 301 yards and two touchdowns. After a good but scoreless first half, he erupted with one of the best recent second halves of passing and scoring in Jets fans’ memories. He completed 18 of 21 passes for 209 yards, two touchdowns, no interceptions and a 139.9 passer rating.

The third 300-yard effort of Wilson’s career was his first since last December. As the rain swirled a in East Rutherford, Wilson thrived as C.J. Stroud struggled. His 8.4 yards per attempt were by far his most of the season, while the two-score outing was only his second. Wilson was poised and aggressive, with his lone mistake being a lost fumble at the end of a first half scramble. For his efforts, Wilson was named the AFC Offensive Player of the Week, and he of course will start this week.

Within the division, the Jets enter the Week 15 game with a 1-3 record (a split with Buffalo; losses to Miami and New England) with a shot at ending the regular season with a .500 record in the AFC East. Coach Robert Saleh has said he will stick with Wilson at QB for the rest of the regular season, which concludes at New England on Jan. 7.

“No matter how confident you are there’s nothing that boosts confidence more than affirmation,” Saleh said. “I imagine having the game he had is a new level of confidence for him I don’t think he realized he had. He dominated in the rain with over 300 yards passing, no interceptions. Working off-schedule he did a lot of things on his own and did a lot of things that made everyone around him better.”

Star running back Breece Hall was a limited practice participant Wednesday due to an ankle injury. Hall was listed as questionable with the same injury last week and ended up taking 18 touches for 126 yards and a touchdown against the Texans. Hall continues to perform with a surgically repaired knee after he sustained a season-ending injury last season at Denver. Hall acknowledged that the Jets’ run game has been hampered this season by the churn on the offensive line, which saw the Jets trot out their ninth different combination up front over the past nine games on Sunday.

He added: “Coming off my knee, I’ve been surprised how I can stay consistent and healthy. I’m still getting stronger every week. I’m pretty much 95 percent, but getting stronger every week.”

Kicker Greg Zuerlein hit 51-, 55- and 44-yard field goals against Houston in the fourth quarter, making him one of the few Jets kickers to go 3-for-3 in fourth-quarter tries. (Jason Myers vs. Indianapolis in 2018 and Bobby Howfield vs. New Orleans in 1972 are the only others.) His two 50-yarders vs. the Texans give him 10 fifties in his two Jets seasons, extending his franchise mark for most 50-yarders converted in back-to-back seasons. And he’s one of only a few Jets to nail a pair of 50s in a game. He also did it last year vs. Cincinnati, and only two other Jets kickers have done it once: Nick Folk at St. Louis in 2012 and Pat Leahy at New England in ’85.

The Jets run defense has been very good since the Black Friday game at MetLife Stadium when the Dolphins ran for 167 yards and 2 touchdowns on 37 carries. Raheem Mostert accounted for both scores and led Miami with 94 yards. In Weeks 13 and 14, the Green & White has allowed an average of 85.5 rushing yards, which ranks No. 7 in the NFL, and 3.2 yards per carry (No. 4).

Sunday will be the fourth straight Jets-Dolphins game with a new QB matchup as Wilson and Tua Tagovailoa are set to start under center. They last played against each other at Miami in 2021.

Why Bet on Miami?

The Dolphins are proof that you can never let up in an NFL game. They led the visiting Tennessee Titans 27-13 on Monday night with about three minutes left and somehow lost 28-27 – crushing Miami’s hopes to earn the AFC’s top seed. It still can get it but now it will be tougher. The Dolphins are a game behind the Ravens for the AFC’s top seed but just two games ahead of the Bills in the AFC East. Winning their division should be priority No. 1 for the Dolphins. If they beat the Jets and the Bills lose to the Cowboys on Sunday, the Dolphins could clinch the division in Week 16.

Tennessee was a 13.5-point underdog, making its win the third-largest upset in “Monday Night Football” history. The Titans became the first team to win a game in regulation after trailing by 14 or more points with less than three minutes remaining in the fourth quarter since the Raiders on September 12, 1976, against Pittsburgh (trailed 28-14, won 31-28).

Entering Week 14, the Dolphins’ red zone offense was scoring touchdowns on an NFL-best 75% of its visits inside the 20-yard line. Tennessee’s top-ranked red zone defense allowed only two touchdowns on five Dolphins red zone visits, with each of them reaching inside the Titans’ 10-yard line.

Tua Tagovailoa completed 23 of 33 passes for 240 yards without a touchdown or interception. He added three rushing attempts for 15 yards and fumbled twice, losing one. Tagovailoa fumbled a snap on second-and-goal from the 2-yard line to end Miami’s opening drive, and the offense bogged down after Tyreek Hill left with an ankle injury on the following possession.

Tagovailoa finished the first half with just 84 passing yards, and while the Dolphins found more success after Hill returned in the third quarter, Miami’s three touchdowns came on a pick-six and two Raheem Mostert touchdown runs set up by fumble recoveries deep in Tennessee territory. The Dolphins got the ball down by one with 1:49 remaining but turned it over on downs with Hill playing at less than 100 percent.

Hill leads the league with 1,542 receiving yards and 12 touchdown receptions this season, including eight games with at least 100 receiving yards and a touchdown. With 100 receiving yards and a touchdown reception in another game this season, Hill will become the fifth player ever with nine such games in a season, joining Elroy “Crazy Legs” Hirsch (1951), Michael Irvin (1995), Randy Moss (2007) as well as Cooper Kuppe (2021). On Sunday against the Jets, Hill needs 58 receiving yards to become the fourth player in the Super Bowl era and sixth player ever with at least 1,600 receiving yards in their team’s first 14 games of a season.

No sure thing Hill plays, though, as he was listed as a non-participant on Wednesday’s estimated practice report with his ankle injury. Hill sat out the Dolphins’ opening practice in both of the past two weeks due the same injury, but those absences looked to be mainly for maintenance-related reasons. After aggravating the injury in the first quarter Monday, Hill missed the entire second quarter before returning to the game on the Dolphins’ second possession in the third quarter. He ended up finishing with four catches for 61 yards on five targets while playing just 34 of 72 snaps (47 percent).

Mostert leads the NFL with a career-high 18 scrimmage touchdowns and career-high 16 rushing touchdowns. With his next rushing touchdown, he would surpass Arian Foster (16 rushing touchdowns in 2010) for the fourth-most rushing touchdowns by an undrafted player in a season since 1967. Only Priest Holmes (27 rushing touchdowns in 2003 and 21 in 2002) and LeGarrette Blount (18 in 2016) have more.

On the offensive line, Austin Jackson is the lone man standing from the Dolphins’ starting lineup in Week 1 after injuries to Terron Armstead, Isaiah Wynn, Rob Hunt and now Connor Williams, who tore his ACL in Monday’s loss and is done for the year. His absence was immediately felt. On that same offensive series Williams was hurt vs. the Titans, Tagovailoa mishandled a snap from backup center Liam Eichenberg to give the Titans the ball at Tennessee’s 2-yard line. Tennessee also pressured Tagovailoa on 40% of his dropbacks overall, sacking him five times.

NFL Regular Season Expert Prediction

Dolphins 27, Jets 17

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