Green Bay Packers Postseason Betting Analysis

Green Bay Packers Postseason Betting Analysis

 

Once the season ends, teams start to look at their season and try to decide the best way forward. We are already seeing that happening, with several coach firings already done, with the futures of several others still up in the air. 2024 MyBookie Sportsbook NFL Odds, American Football NFL Lines | Green Bay Packers Postseason Betting Analysis

For the teams making the playoffs, those types of decision won’t be made until the run is over. Will they feel they are close to a championship, or will they feel as though they need a few more additions to really compete. For the Green Bay Packers, a trip to the playoffs, even as the #7 seed, must feel like something of a win in that it comes on the heels of moving on from Aaron Rogers. Just how successful will the first full season of the Jordan Love era be? Let’s take a closer look.

 

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys Odds



 

Regular Season Recap

If we are being honest, things did not look particularly bright for the Packers in the early part of the season. They started well enough, winning 2 of their opening 3 games, but that was followed by a 4-game losing skid that had a lot of people counting them out early on. They then won one and lost one, after which they won 3 in a row to get back into the Wild Card conversation.

At this stage of the season, with the Detroit Lions running away with the division, the pressure was very much on the Packers, but things seemed to start clicking for them in the second half of the season, as they went on a run that saw them win 6 of their last 8 games. All the pressure was on in the final game of the season against the Bears, which Green Bay won to book their spot in the #7 seed in the NFC.

 
Bet on the Packers to Win in the Wild Card Game against Cowboys

 
Green Bay Injuries
Christian WatsonWRQuestionable
Isaiah McDuffieLBQuestionable
AJ DillonRBQuestionable
Romeo DoubsWRQuestionable
Rudy FordSInjured Reserve
Green Bay Last 5
Week 18 @ BearsW38-20
Week 17 @ FalconsL25-24
Week 16 vs SaintsW18-17
Week 15 vs LionsL34-20
Week 14 @ RaidersL17-13
 

Stats, Trends, and Odds

It was tough to know what to expect from the Packers this season, as we hadn’t really seen enough of Jordan Love to get any kind of handle on how he might perform over the course of am full season. There were certainly some growing pains, but he ended up throwing for over 4100 yards, tossing 32 TD versus 11 INT. The Packers average over 22 PPG, which had them just outside the top 10. They were in the top 10 in D, allowing just 20 PPG.

If the Packers are to make a deep run in the playoffs, they are going to need to go the tough route, as they will be on the road all the way. They had a losing record of 4-5 away from home this season, although they won a pair of road games in their 3-game win streak to end the season, so perhaps they are getting on a roll.

The downside for the Packers is that they have a tough assignment in the Wild Card, as they need to hit the road to face a Dallas Cowboys team that a lot of people like to make a deep run this season. When it comes to the conference, the Packers are the biggest longshot to win it at odds of +3300. As you might expect, they are also longshots to win it all, currently sitting at odds of +8800. I honestly don’t see them getting past the Cowboys this weekend.

 

Green Bay’s Key Quarterbacks

Jordan Love
#10 QB
YDS 4,159
TD 32
INT 11
QBR. 62.0
Active
Sean Clifford
#8 QB
YDS 37
TD 0
INT 0
QBR. 100
Active
 
Bet on the Packers to Win in the Wild Card Game against Cowboys

 

Odds to Win 2024 NFC Championship

NFC Team Odds
San Francisco 49ers -130
Philadelphia Eagles +750
Dallas Cowboys +275
Detroit Lions +900
Los Angeles Rams +1600
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3300
Green Bay Packers +3300
NFC Lines to Win
 
 

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Green Bay Packers 2023 Season Betting Analysis | MyBookie NFL Betting Preview

Green Bay Packers | 103rd season as a member of the National Football League
Owner: Green Bay Packers, Inc.
Head coach: Matt LaFleur
Home field: Lambeau Field | Green Bay, Wisconsin

 

For the first time since Don Majkowki and Mike Tomczak split the starting quarterback duties in 1991, someone other than Brett Favre or Aaron Rodgers is QB1 in Green Bay.

The Jordan Love era begins, and no one really knows what to expect. A first-round pick was used on him three years ago, but in his one and only NFL start the Packers scored just seven points. And when it came time to exercise his fifth-year option, the team punted, and instead signed him to a very modest extension through 2024.

Let’s see if Green Bay Packers have what it takes to back the betting odds to win the Super Bowl.

 

Packers Futures Bets

Super Bowl Champions (+6500)
After three decades of being in the Super Bowl conversation, because they were led by a Hall of Fame quarterback, the Packers are paying just +6500 to win another Lombardi. Compare that to the +1200 the Packers were paying in the preseason last year.

At +6500, the Packers are tied with the Giants, Rams, Commanders, Raiders, and Patriots, and considered a longer favorite than the Chicago Bears.

NFC Champions (+3000)
As you would imagine, the odds of a Packers NFC championship are also quite long. At +3000, they actually trail the Atlanta Falcons, who are paying +2500.

Out of the 16 NFC teams, the Packers rank 10th. The last time the Packers were this big of a longshot to win the conference was 2006.

Last year the Packers were +500 to win the NFC during the offseason. 

NFC North Champions (+500)
The NFC North has been the playground of the Packers. Since 2011 they have won the division eight times, and their last division title in 2021 was the 17th in their history.

This year, however, the Packers are just +500 to win the NFC North, which is last in the division. The Lions, Vikings, and even the Bears, all have shorter odds to win the division. The last time Green Bay finished in fourth place was 2005.

 

Packers Win Total 7.5 (-105)

Since 2014 the Packers have recorded double-digit wins in six of nine seasons, averaging more than 10 wins a season over that stretch. In 2023 the over/under on regular season wins for the Packers is 7.5. Considering that they won only eight games last year with Rodgers at quarterback, 7.5 may be a little high.

Based on projected win totals in 2023, Green Bay has the 14th easiest schedule in the NFL.

 

Weekly Packers Betting

In Week 1 the Packers travel to Chicago, and we should get a taste of the season to come that very first Sunday of the year. The Packers dominated the Bears during the Rodgers years. If the Love years begin the same way, this could be a good season in Green Bay.

The Packers are favored in six of the 17 games this season, a flip from last year when they were the favorites in 11 of the 17 games.

As the favorites in 2022, the Packers were just 4-7 against the spread. As home favorites, they were 3-4. The early season odds for Green Bay has them as home favorites four times this season, against the Saints in Week 3, the Rams in Week 9, the Buccaneers in Week 15, and the Bears in Week 18.

Super Bowl Pick | Bet Green Bay Packers to Win
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2023 Green Bay Packers Regular Season Schedule

Week Date Opponent Time
All times ET
1 Sep. 10 at Chicago Bears 4:25pm ET
2 Sep. 17 at Atlanta Falcons 1:00pm ET
3 Sep. 24 New Orleans Saints 1:00pm ET
4 Sep. 28 Detroit Lions 8:15pm ET
5 Oct. 9 at LLas Vegas Raiders 8:15pm ET
6 Oct. 15 BYE WEEK
7 Oct. 22 at Denver Broncos 4:25pm ET
8 Oct. 29 Minnesota Vikings 1:00pm ET
9 Nov. 5 Los Angeles Rams 1:00pm ET
10 Nov. 12 at Pittsburgh Steelers 1:00pm ET
11 Nov. 19 Los Angeles Chargers 1:00pm ET
12 Nov. 23 at DDetroit Lions 12:30pm ET
13 Dec. 3 Kansas City Chiefs 8:20pm ET
14 Dec. 11 at New York Giants 8:15pm ET
15 Dec. 17 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1:00pm ET
16 Dec. 24 at Carolina Panthers 1:00pm ET
17 Dec. 31 at Minnesota Vikings 8:20pm ET
18 Jan. 7 Chicago Bears TBA ET

2024 Super Bowl Odds

Pre-Draft Super Bowl Odds
+5600

Current Super Bowl Odds
+5400

 

NFC North Win Totals

Detroit Lions
9.5 (Over -150, Under +130)

Minnesota Vikings
8.5 (Over -120, Under +100)

Green Bay Packers
7.5 (Over +130, Under -150)

Chicago Bears
7.5 (Over -135, Under +110)


Bet Green Bay Packers to Win
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Super Bowl