Updated AFC Championship Game Lines: Are There New Favorites?

 

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NFL AFC Championship odds list the Baltimore Ravens as a -165 moneyline chalk to get by the Kansas City Chiefs. The Ravens are at home for this year’s AFC title matchup, which is one of the reasons Baltimore is the chalk.

Does Baltimore offers fair odds to win the AFC title? How about the odds on Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs? Are they fair?

Check out updated odds to win the AFC Championship, analysis, and picks heading into the NFL Conference Round.

Updated 2024 AFC Championship Odds to Win before Conference Round Matches | MyBookie Playoff Preview

2023-24 NFL | 104th season of the National Football League
Conference Championship: Sunday, January 28th, 2024 | CBS / Paramount+

Kansas City Chiefs at Baltimore Ravens
NFL Odds: Ravens -3.5 / Chiefs +145; Ravens -170 / O/U 44.5
Sunday, January 28 at 3:00 pm ET
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, Maryland

AFC Championship Odds Analysis

Are the Kansas City Chiefs an Overlay or Underlay at Their Current Odds?

At first glance, the Kansas City Chiefs look like a serious overlay at +140 to beat the Baltimore Ravens and make it to a second straight Super Bowl. The defending champs upset Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills on the road in a stunning 27-24 divisional round victory.

Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs have a lot of momentum heading into the AFC Championship versus Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens. What’s really interesting if you like KC in the title game, is that Mahomes and Travis Kelce finally got it going.

If the duo hook up multiple times this Sunday, the Chiefs can upset the Ravens, but that’s not likely to happen. Kansas City barely got by a Buffalo team that was missing key players on defense.

The Bills linebacking unit was so banged up that Jordan Poyer ended up covering Kelce. Roquan Smith or Patrick Queen is likely to face guard Kelce all night, which will force Mahomes to evade the rush and look for other receivers. At +145 odds to win the AFC, the Chiefs are an underlay.

Chiefs Odds Analysis: Underlay | AFC Odds to Win Championship
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

Are the Baltimore Ravens an Overlay or Underlay at Their Current Odds?

The Ravens should be a -7 chalk in this, which means the -165 makes Baltimore an overlay. Lamar Jackson is unstoppable. Almost as important is the fact that Steve Spagnuolo’s quarterback spy on the Chiefs’ defense, linebacker Willie Gay, lists as questionable after suffering a neck injury in the win against the Bills.

If Gay can’t go, Kansas City is going to have a close to impossible time stopping Jackson and Baltimore’s rushing attack. If KC decides to stop Baltimore’s run game, Jackson will beat the Chiefs with his legs or throw to one of his receivers, including Odell Beckham Jr., who has come on in recent games.

Kansas City has a chance, but their chance is limited. The Ravens odds to win the AFC title are overlaid.

Ravens Odds Analysis: Overlay | AFC Odds to Win Championship
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

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The following NFL betting odds are based on MyBookie Sportsbook.

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MyBookie Odds for the Games

 

 

Previous Betting News

Over the weekend, Houston knocked off the Cleveland Browns, Kansas City took care of Miami, and the Buffalo Bills sent the Steelers home for the offseason.

Oddsmakers waited until Monday’s delayed Bills versus Steelers game before updated AFC Championship odds. As we head into the NFL Divisional Round, the Baltimore Ravens are solid +115 favorites to get it done.

Check out updated odds to win the AFC Championship, analysis, and picks heading into the NFL Divisional Round.

 

Updated 2024 AFC Championship Odds to Win before Divisional Round Matches | MyBookie Playoff Preview

2023-24 NFL | 104th season of the National Football League
Divisional Round: Saturday, January 20th – Sunday, January 21st, 2024

 

NFL AFC Championship Picks

Top Pick: Baltimore Ravens +115

Wide receiver Zay Flowers, Marlon Humphrey, and Kyle Hamilton lists as questionable and so does right guard Kevin Zeitler, but other than those four players, the Ravens are one hundred percent healthy heading into their first playoff game.

Baltimore takes on the Houston Texans this weekend a solid -8.5 chalk. Lamar Jackson and the offense have won via the pass and the rush. In fact, this might be Lamar’s best season as a pro and that’s saying a lot. The defense is exceptional at taking the ball away.

Hamilton and Humphrey will play. Even if they don’t, the Ravens are deep enough to cause C.J. Stroud and the Texans fits. Baltimore is as solid of a play to make the Super Bowl as we’ve seen in a long time.

AFC Championship Pick: Baltimore Ravens +115 | AFC Odds to Win Championship
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

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Second Pick: Kansas City Chiefs +330

There’s are reasons to prefer the Chiefs over the Bills. Buffalo struggled to beat Kansas City 20-17 in their regular season showdown. In fact, KC thought they grabbed the lead after Travis Kelce’s lateral to Kadarius Toney, but Toney began the play in the neutral zone, which means KT was offsides.

The Chiefs have moved on from the game. Kansas City looked fantastic when bouncing the Dolphins 26-7. Give Mahomes and his mates the nod over the Bills this weekend.

AFC Championship Pick: Kansas City Chiefs +330 | AFC Odds to Win Championship
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

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Third Pick: Buffalo Bills +220

Buffalo is good enough to win the Super Bowl. However, a closer look at the Bills’ 31-17 victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers in the wild card matchup reveals that Josh Allen put Buffalo on his back and led them to victory.

Allen threw 3 TD passes and rushed for a 52-yard score. If not for Allen’s heroics, the game would have been excruciatingly close if you’re a Bills fan. KC’s defense played Allen tough in the regular season game. The Bills defense is also somewhat banged up, which is another reason Buffalo is the third pick.

AFC Championship Pick: Buffalo Bills +220 | AFC Odds to Win Championship
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

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Fourth Pick: Houston Texans +1300

If the Texans upset the Ravens, they can for sure make it to the Super Bowl. However, beating the Browns at home with Joe Flacco at quarterback is different than beating the Ravens with Lamar piloting Baltimore’s offense.

The Texans come off of a stunning game against the Browns. So a bounce could also be in order. C.J. Stroud will find it difficult to move the ball versus Baltimore’s D while Houston will struggle to stop Lamar and his mates. Moving on from the divisional round doesn’t seem possible. The Texans head to the offseason feeling good.

AFC Championship Pick: Houston Texans +1300 | AFC Odds to Win Championship
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

 

 

Previous Betting News

NFL Week 18 is a good time to assess which teams we believe will win the conference titles. In this blog, we take a look at the American Football Conference where the Kansas City Chiefs, Buffalo Bills, and Cincinnati Bengals will lead the playoff charge. Check out updated Odds to Win the AFC as well as picks.

 

NFL Betting Update: Odds to Win the 2023 AFC Conference Championship

2023 NFL AFC Championship

• When: Sunday, Jan. 29 at TBD
• Where: TBD

Top Pick: Cincinnati Bengals +400

By the time the playoffs start, Sam Hubbard might be available. If Hubbard is, the Bengals should have no trouble getting by their AFC peers.

Hubbard plays defensive end on the opposite side of Trey Hendrickson. The Bengals’ defense has stepped it up this season while the offensive line has also gotten better. Joe Burrow is playing lights out and Mr. Cool gets to throw to three receivers, Tyler Boyd, Tee Higgins, and Ja’Marr Chase, who can stretch the field.

 

Second Pick: Kansas City Chiefs +176

The Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid combo is almost unstoppable. But Kansas City has a couple of flaws that a team like the Bengals could exploit.

First, the defense doesn’t always play as well as it must. It’s not that the D doesn’t have talent. It’s that it underperforms.

Second, Mahomes doesn’t have a receiver that can stretch the field. Tyreek Hill was that guy. Travis Kelce, as great as he is, can’t do it, which is why the Chiefs play a lot of three tight-end sets.

Reid and Mahomes are so good that even without a stretch the field receiver, the pair can find ways to win. At the odds, though, the Chiefs are a bad play.

 

Third Pick: Los Angeles Chargers +1100

Heading into NFL Week 18, the Bolts have won 5-of-6. LAC should make it 6-of-7 because they play the Broncos on Sunday. But although the Chargers can win the conference, we have to question their quality of opponent during the streak.

The loss came versus the Las Vegas Raiders. The wins came against the Cardinals, Dolphins, Titans, Colts, and Rams. None of the teams the Bolts beat will make the playoffs except for, maybe, the Fins, who have lost 5 straight heading into their final regular season game.

 

Top Underdog Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars +2300

If Jacksonville beats Tennessee, the Jaguars win the AFC South and head to the playoffs. The smart money is on the Jags to do just that.

Trevor Lawrence and his mates are one of the hottest teams in the NFL. The Jaguars have won 4 straight and 5-of-6. Unlike the Bolts, the Jags have beaten a pair of playoff teams during their streak, Dallas and Baltimore.

If the Jags make it, the +2300 odds might look like a gift. Consider backing the Jaguars to win the conference before they take on the rival Titans on Saturday.

 

 

Previous Betting News

We had some drama at the end of the NFL regular season, with the whole playoff picture put in doubt after the cancellation of the game between the Buffalo Bills and the Cincinnati Bengals. The league decided that making the AFC Conference Championship Game a neutral venue affair should be the way to go, but that decision meant that the Bills dropped out of the #1 seed in the process. They now have a more difficult path to the Super Bowl, but it’s a run that they are certainly equipped to make. This is also now a team that has some extra inspiration in the form of Damar Hamlin. Will that drive them to a championship, or will they come up short again? Let’s break it all down and don’t miss our NFL Playoffs betting odds for Bills in the Wild Card Round.

 

NFL 2023 AFC Conference Championship & Super Bowl Odds: Bills Betting Analysis

Wild Card Round

The Bills did still manage to land the #2 seed, so they would have home field advantage all the way to the Conference Championship Game. Their playoff run begins on Sunday when they host the Miami Dolphins in the Wild Card Round. The Bills go into that one at -395 for the straight up win and are favored by 9. With Tua Tagovailoa expected to be out again, the Dolphins look seriously overmatched in this one. There isn’t a whole ton of value to be found here, but this is a game where the Bills should move on without too much trouble.

 

Conference Championship

With the Bills losing the #1 seed, they also dropped down to second favorite to win the AFC. They are currently sitting at +187 and I would suggest that you get in on this bet now if you like them to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl, as this is likely to be as good as those odds get. So, I think the Bills will blow past the Dolphins in the Wild Card, which would then likely have them facing the winner of the game between the Ravens and Bengals. My money would be on Cincinnati to take that one, which would set up a rematch of the suspended game. The Bengals are hot right now, and it is worth remembering that they had the lead when the Week 17 game was suspended. This is the matchup that makes me nervous when looking at the Bills chances of getting to the Super Bowl.

 

Super Bowl

The Bills had basically been the favorite to win the Super Bowl from the start of the season, and even more so after beating the Kansas City Chiefs. That all changed with the suspension of the Bengals game, as it is now the Chiefs who are seen as the favorite by the bookies. It’s close, though, and you have to say that the Bills look to be very good value at odds of +400 to win it all. Again, my concern is that the Bengals might prove to be the fly in the ointment, as they are coming into the postseason playing great football, plus they now have a chip on their shoulder, as they feel the most negatively affected by the decision to cancel the Bills game and go neutral venue. At the start of the season, I had the Bills going all the way to the Super Bowl, so it’s tough to bet against them now.

 

 

Previous Betting News

The Miami Dolphins, Baltimore Ravens, Kansas City Chiefs, and Jacksonville Jaguars are favorites to win their respective AFC divisions. Of the four teams, Kansas City is the only one that looks like a for sure lock.

Check out AFC betting lines, analysis, and free picks for the East, North, South, and West.

 

2023 AFC Division Odds to Win | MyBookie Divisional Betting Preview

2023 NFL Season | 104th season of the National Football League
Regular Season: September 7th – Sunday, January 7th, 2024

 

AFC East | Odds to Win

The New England Patriots are an impossible longshot to win the AFC East. The Pats would have to run the table and the Dolphins would pretty much have to lose every game.

The Bills would have to lose at least three and the Jets would have to lose at least three. So the Patriots winning the East isn’t going to happen.

The Jets and Bills aren’t playing well enough to catch Miami. The Dolphins have the NFL’s top offense and a decent defense. Things are so bad in Buffalo that Sean McDermott fired offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey. The Fins take the East.

NFC East Pick: Miami Dolphins | AFC East Odds
MyBookie Betting Lines for the divisional champions

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AFC North | Odds to Win

The one team among the four in the AFC North that shouldn’t win the division are the Cleveland Browns. The Browns are good enough to take the division crown but on Wednesday, Cleveland said Deshaun Watson’s season is over.

The Ravens and Bengals throw down on Thursday Night Football. The winner gets the edge to take the division title. However, no matter which team is victorious when Cincinnati travels to Baltimore, the Pittsburgh Steelers are the team to back.

Pittsburgh’s offense has caught up to their excellent defense. The Steelers should be very difficult to beat to win the division and rates an overlay at the +550 odds.

NFC North Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers | AFC North Odds
MyBookie Betting Lines for the divisional champions

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AFC South | Odds to Win

The Colts and Titans shouldn’t catch Houston and Jacksonville. The Jags are a game ahead of the surprising Texans.

Both teams, Jacksonville and Houston, boast top notch quarterbacks. C.J. Stroud is as good at the NFL level as he was when throwing darts for Ohio State. Trevor Lawrence is one of the better starters in the league.

The winner will come down to defense and in that respect, Jacksonville is the play. The Jags D forces turnovers better than any other team in the NFL. Jacksonville wins the South.

NFC South Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars | AFC South Odds
MyBookie Betting Lines for the divisional champions

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AFC West | Odds to Win

Kansas City should win the AFC West but the Chiefs may not be the best bet to win the AFC West. At -1200, Kansas City is a slight underlay.

The Chargers are a logical pick, but LAC is suspect. The Raiders and the Broncos, though, are both playable.

Antonio Pierce has brought an attitude adjustment to Vegas. The Raiders play with heart and are solid on both sides of the football. Rookie Aidan O’Connell almost always makes the right decision.

Denver is on a roll. The current 3-game winning streak started with a home W versus the Green Bay Packers. The Broncos then upset KC at Mile High 24-9 before beating the Bills 24-22 in Buffalo. Sean Payton finally has gotten the Colorado Ponies to gel. So the Broncos are a good longshot play at 65-to-1 if you believe the Chiefs fall apart.

NFC West Pick: Kansas City Chiefs | AFC West Odds
MyBookie Betting Lines for the divisional champions

 

 

Previous Betting News

Betting Projections for 2022 AFC Conference Winners

While many thought that the Kansas City Chiefs were far and away from the best team in the AFC prior to the season, many have changed their minds after the 17 games of a regular season. Kansas City’s offense took a couple of steps back, and their defense was very questionable for much of the season. With that being said, the Chiefs are still the favorite to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl. Let’s take a look at the AFC Conference Championship odds for all seven teams in the AFC playoff field.

 

Kansas City Chiefs +200

Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City offense can be nearly unstoppable at times. However, teams have somewhat figured out how to slow down this powerhouse by using shell coverage and making Mahomes check down to the short routes. The Chiefs still have enough weapons to overcome this strategy, but we still have doubts about them on the defensive side of the ball. We like the Chiefs to get to the AFC title game, but we’re not sure that they’ll get to the Super Bowl.

 

Tennessee Titans +340

The Titans are the top seed in the AFC, thus having a bye in the Wild Card round. Tennessee has proved its doubters wrong numerous times throughout the season. With a healthy AJ Brown and Julio Jones to go along with the returning Derrick Henry, the Titans’ offense could be very tough to stop, especially if Henry is back to his old self. Mike Vrabel brings toughness and a swagger to the Titans, and we think that they’re going to represent the AFC in this year’s Super Bowl.

 

Buffalo Bills +360

Josh Allen has the ability to carry a team on his back. While the Buffalo offense has looked bad at times, Allen knows that he was close to a Super Bowl last season, and he’ll do anything to get his team there. Buffalo also has a very good defense. Their lack of a running game could come back to haunt them in the playoffs.

 

New England +900

The Patriots will face their old friends in Buffalo in the first round of the playoffs. New England has a rookie quarterback, and that could be an issue in the playoffs. It’s hard to argue against Belichick’s success, and his ability to shut down the star player of his opponents. We don’t think they can beat the Bills, but you never know…….

 

Cincinnati Bengals +900

Joe Burrow and the Bengals are one of the hottest teams heading into the playoffs. In the last couple of games that the full offense played, the Bengals have been nearly unstoppable. We’ll see if Burrow is nervous in his first playoff appearance, but even if he is, he’ll find a way to at least win one game.

 

Las Vegas Raiders +2000

The Raiders have overcome a lot of obstacles this season to make it to this point in the season, but the fun has to end somewhere, and we just don’t see them getting out of Cincinnati. The Bengals destroyed the Raiders in Week 11. That won’t happen again, as the game will be much closer, but the result will be the same.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers +2200

Pittsburgh needed a ton of luck to get into the playoffs, and they’ll need a ton of luck to knock off the Kansas City Chiefs. It’s not going to happen. Ben Roethlisberger’s career will end in Kansas City this weekend.

 

 

Previous Betting News

Many NFL fans and analysts peg the eventual winner of the AFC playoff field to end up being the Super Bowl Champion. Any of these teams could end up taking the top spot in the AFC, and that is a testament to how solid these organizations have looked over the course of the season.

The Buffalo Bills are the AFC betting favorites to win the conference with the top overall record, while the Kansas City Chiefs have the pedigree to make a Super Bowl run, while the Cincinnati Bengals look to establish themselves and repeat as AFC Champions.

To help you place wagers on the AFC Conference Championship Odds, let’s examine the NFC playoff field and predict what each club’s odds are to make a run in the playoffs.

 

NFL Betting Projections for 2022 AFC Conference Winners

Buffalo Bills 12-3 (+160)

The Buffalo Bills were considered Super Bowl favorites when they first started the season, and although they have faced their own challenges, including mistakes and numerous important player injuries, they are once again among the NFL’s top teams.

The Bills Mafia will be difficult to defeat in the postseason, thanks to a top-five offense and defense. Additionally, since they are 5-1 this season at home, home-field advantage can unquestionably be the difference-maker in the playoffs.

 

Kansas City Chiefs 12-3 (+240)

Patrick Mahomes hasn’t slowed down at all since Tyreek Hill’s departure, as the Kansas City Chiefs continue to dominate with the NFL’s second-best scoring offense.

Additionally, Mahomes truly has a chance to break the NFL’s single-season passing yard record and is the clear favorite to win MVP. The Chiefs have already won the AFC West, making it their fifth straight division title. Moreover, Andy Reid’s squad is primed to get another shot at the conference title.

 

Cincinnati Bengals 11-4 (+500)

In 2021, the Cincinnati Bengals appeared to be serious Super Bowl contenders, and they are once again competing at the top of the AFC. To secure the AFC North, they have won seven straight games, nine of the last ten, and 11 of the last 12.

Their 25th-ranked pass defense is still a problem, and the playoffs may bring more of the same. However, having one of the best offenses plus a developing defense might propel them back into the Super Bowl.

 

Los Angeles Chargers 9-6 (+1200)

With their victory over Indianapolis on Monday, the Chargers locked up the No. 6 seed in the AFC and secured their spot in the postseason.

The Chargers have all the offensive weapons necessary to contend for the Super Bowl with one of the most talented young superstars at quarterback. In order to compete with the likes of the AFC’s top contenders, they will need to clean up their defensive play.

 

Baltimore Ravens 10-5 (+1300)

Baltimore has already secured a postseason berth, so advancing depends entirely on Lamar Jackson’s injury status. Their roster simply lacks the firepower to compete with the top teams in the AFC without the playmaking QB. Before considering the Ravens as AFC contenders, we need to see them work together on both sides of the ball.

 

Miami Dolphins 8-7 (+2200)

Thanks to Tua Tagovailoa’s ability to capitalize on his deep ball with a flashy receiving group, Mike McDaniel is in charge of one of the most dangerous offenses in football.

Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle may be too explosive to slow down once the playoffs start, and adding Bradley Chubb would only help the defense get better, but it might be too late if Tagovailoa’s injury issues prevent him from playing in the postseason.

 

Jacksonville Jaguars 7-8 (+2500)

The Jaguars, who play in the AFC’s poorest division, have begun to set themselves apart. Including victories over the Ravens, Titans, and Cowboys, Jacksonville has won five of its last six games.

With every start Trevor Lawrence makes, he gets one step closer to fulfilling his full potential, which has allowed them to climb out of the gutter, and now they seem to be headed for the AFC South title.

 

 

Previous Betting News

2022 Betting Projections for AFC Conference Winners

While many thought that the Kansas City Chiefs were far and away from the best team in the AFC prior to the season, many have changed their minds after the 17 games of a regular season. Kansas City’s offense took a couple of steps back, and their defense was very questionable for much of the season. With that being said, the Chiefs are still the favorite to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl. Let’s take a look at the AFC Conference Championship odds for all seven teams in the AFC playoff field.

 

Kansas City Chiefs +200

Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City offense can be nearly unstoppable at times. However, teams have somewhat figured out how to slow down this powerhouse by using shell coverage and making Mahomes check down to the short routes. The Chiefs still have enough weapons to overcome this strategy, but we still have doubts about them on the defensive side of the ball. We like the Chiefs to get to the AFC title game, but we’re not sure that they’ll get to the Super Bowl.

 

Tennessee Titans +340

The Titans are the top seed in the AFC, thus having a bye in the Wild Card round. Tennessee has proved its doubters wrong numerous times throughout the season. With a healthy AJ Brown and Julio Jones to go along with the returning Derrick Henry, the Titans’ offense could be very tough to stop, especially if Henry is back to his old self. Mike Vrabel brings toughness and a swagger to the Titans, and we think that they’re going to represent the AFC in this year’s Super Bowl.

 

Buffalo Bills +360

Josh Allen has the ability to carry a team on his back. While the Buffalo offense has looked bad at times, Allen knows that he was close to a Super Bowl last season, and he’ll do anything to get his team there. Buffalo also has a very good defense. Their lack of a running game could come back to haunt them in the playoffs.

 

New England +900

The Patriots will face their old friends in Buffalo in the first round of the playoffs. New England has a rookie quarterback, and that could be an issue in the playoffs. It’s hard to argue against Belichick’s success, and his ability to shut down the star player of his opponents. We don’t think they can beat the Bills, but you never know…….

 

Cincinnati Bengals +900

Joe Burrow and the Bengals are one of the hottest teams heading into the playoffs. In the last couple of games that the full offense played, the Bengals have been nearly unstoppable. We’ll see if Burrow is nervous in his first playoff appearance, but even if he is, he’ll find a way to at least win one game.

 

Las Vegas Raiders +2000

The Raiders have overcome a lot of obstacles this season to make it to this point in the season, but the fun has to end somewhere, and we just don’t see them getting out of Cincinnati. The Bengals destroyed the Raiders in Week 11. That won’t happen again, as the game will be much closer, but the result will be the same.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers +2200

Pittsburgh needed a ton of luck to get into the playoffs, and they’ll need a ton of luck to knock off the Kansas City Chiefs. It’s not going to happen. Ben Roethlisberger’s career will end in Kansas City this weekend.

 

 

Previous Betting News

While many expected the Kansas City Chiefs to run away with the AFC this season, there have been some other teams that have stepped up to challenge the Chiefs. With only one week left in the regular season, we have a pretty good idea of who the top playoff contenders will be. Let’s take a look at the favorites to win the AFC, their odds to win the AFC Conference Championship, and we’ll give you a brief analysis of each of the top contenders.

AFC Conference Championship Odds and Analysis

Kansas City Chiefs +177

The oddsmakers still have a lot of faith in the Kansas City Chiefs. While the defense has been better as of late, last Sunday’s defensive performance against the Cincinnati Bengals should make people worry. Patrick Mahomes and the offense still haven’t fired on all cylinders this season, but maybe the postseason will bring out the best in them. We’ll see if teams continue to play shell coverage against them and take away the long passes. If they do, Kansas City will need to make adjustments, or their season could be over quickly.

Buffalo Bills +295

Buffalo has been dominating at times this season, but at others, they’ve shown that even some of the worst teams in the league can defeat them. If Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs are clicking, the Bills are very hard to stop. Allen is one of the biggest weapons in the league, and if the Bills running game can step things up, they’ll be tough to beat. Buffalo’s defense has shown that they can also be very good. We’ll see which Buffalo Bills team shows up in the postseason.

Tennessee Titans +380

With all of the injury issues that they’ve had, it’s hard to believe that the Titans will more than likely be the #1 seed in the AFC playoffs. Now that AJ Brown and Julio Jones are healthy, the Titans have all of their receiving threats. We also can’t forget that Derrick Henry, arguably the best runner in the league, should be back for the playoffs. The biggest question mark surrounding the Titans is the strength of their defense. If the defense struggles, the Titans could be in trouble.

New England Patriots +590

Even with a rookie starting quarterback, the Patriots have exceeded expectations this season, and are still in the hunt to win the AFC East. The Pats have had great performances from their defense this season, and the offense has done just enough to win games. We’ll see if Mac Jones and the offense are ready for the postseason, or will the stage be too big?

Cincinnati Bengals +780

The Bengals are one of the hottest teams in the league right now. Joe Burrow and the offense have been stellar over the last two games, as Burrow has thrown for over 800 yards with eight touchdowns. Throw in the hard running of Joe Mixon, and you have a team that’s ready to make a postseason run. We’ll see if the defense can play well. If so, look out for the Bengals.

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Previous Betting News

Almost every NFL handicapper agrees that more good teams exist in the AFC than they do in the NFC, which is why any time we consider backing a team to win the conference, we should also consider odds. But although we never want to bet on underlays, odds don’t always lead us in the right direction. Sometimes, we must first put odds to the side, decide who the best team is, and then make a separate decision on whether to make a bet. With that in mind, check out information on AFC Championship contenders along with the pick to win the conference regardless of the AFC Conference Championship odds.

NFL: Forget the Odds – Who will really win the AFC Championship?

2022 AFC Championship

When: Sunday, Jan. 30
Where: TBD
TV / Streaming: CBS / Paramount+

Buffalo is a play against

Versus defending champion Tampa Bay in NFL Week 14, the Buffalo Bills rallied from 17 down to force overtime. But Buffalo couldn’t close the deal.

The loss sent the Bills to 7-6, which not only puts Buffalo a couple of games behind the rival Patriots in the AFC East, but also just a single game ahead of Miami and Las Vegas for a wildcard.

Five other teams, Pittsburgh, Cleveland, Indianapolis, Denver, and Cincinnati have the same 7-6 record as the Bills. At one point this season, Buffalo was the chalk to win the Super Bowl. Heading into Week 15, they may not make the playoffs.

If Henry returns, Tennessee will have a shot

The 9-4 Titans have used smoke and mirrors to win football games. Although it sounds crazy, if the Titans can win the AFC South, they will have a shot to take the conference.

Derrick Henry should return in time for the playoffs. Without Henry, the Titans are mediocre. Tennessee is one of the best teams in the league with Henry. So if they can manage to hold off the Colts, Tennessee will have a chance.

The Tennessee Titans isn’t the team to back to win the AFC regardless of odds. But they will have a chance.

No team from the AFC North appears capable of winning the conference

Baltimore may have to play without Lamar Jackson for an extended period. Cincinnati isn’t good enough. Cleveland isn’t good enough, and Pittsburgh can’t get healthy.

One of those four teams will win the AFC North. But once the playoffs start, don’t expect the division winner to do much of anything.

Indianapolis is the AFC team to fear

If the Colts beat Tennessee and win the AFC South, or they make the playoffs via a wildcard, Indianapolis can do some damage.

Running back Jonathan Taylor is a beast. He can rush for over 100 against any defense in the league. If Carson Wentz doesn’t blow games, the Colts could make a nice run. They’re not the best play unless you’re thinking odds, but they’re a good play.

The Kansas City Chiefs are a decent play, but they’re not the best play

Anybody who backs the Chiefs to win the AFC is making a wise choice. Only one team has played better than the Kansas City Chiefs in the past six weeks.

KC’s resurgence has almost everything to do with the Chiefs’ defense, which should scare every AFC rival. Kansas City can score against almost any team in the league.

If the defense matches the offense’s intensity in the playoffs the Chiefs will be difficult to beat. But although KC is a great play regardless of odds, they’re not the top play.

Bill Belichick and the Patriots will win the AFC title

The hottest team in the league is also the NFL’s best. Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots have won 7 straight and have the top record in the AFC.

The Pats can beat you with their defense or offense. Rookie quarterback Mac Jones completes 70% of his passes. He’s Brady-like in the sense he makes few errors, knows the offense, and his teammates respect him.

Unless Jones implodes, and that won’t happen, New England should continue rolling through the regular season, and end Week 18 with the conference’s 1-seed. The Patriots are the team the back to win the AFC Championship.

I have read enough, I need to place my bet now. What to do?

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MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

 

 

Previous Betting News

With the draft now in the rearview mirror, teams in the NFL will now be looking ahead to the start of training camp, which is still a few months off. We don’t really know how things will look once fall rolls around, but for now, teams are still planning for things to start as normal. It is going to be interesting to see how the drafted players fit into their new teams and whether or not they will make an immediate impact. We can now look at the strengths and weaknesses of every team in the NFL and have an idea of their chances in the coming season. Let’s get started by looking at the favorites to win the AFC Championship this coming season.

AFC Championship Odds After 2020 Draft

Kansas City Chiefs

AFC Championship Odds: +300

Given that the Chiefs are coming into this season as the defending champions, it makes sense that they would currently be the favorites to win the AFC this season. While KC did address some of their needs via the draft, there are still some questions to be asked of their secondary. That aside, this is a team that is still absolutely stacked on the offensive side of the football. They are more than deserving of being the favorites once again this season.

Baltimore Ravens

AFC Championship Odds: +325

The Ravens ended last regular season on a 12-game winning streak that took them to 14-2 on the year. The feeling was that they would continue to roll in the playoffs, but for the second straight season, Lamar Jackson and company failed to get the job done in the postseason, falling at the first hurdle. There is no doubt that the Ravens will be strong again this season, but are they built to get the job done in the playoffs?

New England Patriots

AFC Championship Odds: +1000

You have to admit that it is a little surprising to see the New England Patriots in as one of the favorites to win the AFC this season. They have dominated the conference for the past 15 years or so, but with Tom Brady now plying his trade in Tampa, there is a huge hole that needs to be filled. Jarrett Stidham will be the man under center, and while the Patriots drafted well as always, the absence of Brady looms large. I think they are a longshot to win the AFC.

Buffalo Bills

AFC Championship Odds: +1000

If any team is primed to take over from the Patriots in the NFC East, it would be the Buffalo Bills. They challenged the Patriots all the way last season, finishing the year at 10-6, which was enough to get them into the Wild Card. The Bills got to work prior to the draft, picking up WR Stefon Diggs, who will be a much-needed weapon on the offensive side of the football. The Bills drafted well and look like a good bet to nab the division, although a conference crown still looks like a bit of a reach.

Pittsburgh Steelers

AFC Championship Odds: +1000

You could look at the Steelers 8-8 record last season and see them as having taken a backward step, but they were absolutely hammered by injuries at the skill positions. Most weeks, they were forced to dog deep into the depth chart to field a team, yet they still managed to win 8 games. The Steelers defense is young and hungry, and with another solid, if unspectacular, draft, Pittsburgh looks primed for a bounce back season.

 

 

Previous Betting News

With the start of the NFL season still a few months away, the hope is that we will be beyond all the craziness of COVID-19 and the quarantine situations going on in cities all across the country. The reality is that the sports world has been severely impacted through all of this, with most of us now ready to see any sort of positive news that might even hint at a return to normalcy. For now, all we can do is look ahead and talk about how things might play out once sports do return. With that in mind, let’s talk about the NFL and the favorites to win the AFC Championship this coming season. Keep in mind that these odds to win will change with each free agency move.

Updated NFL AFC Championship Odds March 26th

Kansas City Chiefs (+350)

It is probably no real surprise to learn that the defending Super Bowl champions are in as the favorite to win the AFC again this coming season. As long as the Chiefs have a healthy Patrick Mahomes and the weapons he has at his disposal, they are likely going to be favorites to win most of the games that they play. The Chiefs do have a lot of work to do this offseason, as they have a ton of free agents on their roster, but given the decisions they have made in recent seasons, they are going to be fine.

Baltimore Ravens (+400)

Given the way in which the Ravens went crashing out of the playoffs last season, losing to the Tennessee Titans in the Divisional Round, it’s easy to forget that they had the best record in the conference. They will be looking to improve a run defense that was totally gashed in the postseason, while also looking to ensure that Lamar Jackson gets the protection he needs to get the job done. The Ravens should be great again this year, but can they get it done in the postseason.

New England Patriots (+1000)

You know that things have changed in the NFL when you see the odds for the AFC Championship and the New England Patriots are not at the top of the list. With Tom Brady no longer part of the setup in New England, the truth is that none of us really knows what to expect from the Patriots this coming season. It looks as though they are prepared to roll the dice with Jarrett Stidham, and while he looked good last preseason, playing a full regular season is something completely different.

Buffalo Bills (+1200)

The Bills might well be the team to challenge the Patriots in the AFC East this season, as they look to improve on the 10-6 record from last year. The Bills went out early in the postseason and know that they need to add a few more pieces, which they have certainly done in the opening week of free agency. Besides making moves to bolster their D-Line, they also went out and acquired the services of WR Stefon Diggs. This is a team that really needs to be considered a dark horse pick for the coming season.

 

 

Previous Betting News

If you’re fired up about the start of the 2018 playoffs and you’re wondering whether or not anyone can dethrone Tom Brady and the New England Patriots as conference champions, then you’ve come to the right place! Thanks to the expert NFL betting analysis and predictions that you’re about to get, based on the AFC Championship odds, you’re going to have a great idea of just which team, if any, can take down Brady and the perennially powerful Pats to represent the AFC in Super Bowl 52.

NFL Betting Predictions to Win the 2018 AFC Championship

No. 6 Buffalo Bills vs. No. 3 Jacksonville Jaguars

When: Sunday, January 7, 2018, 1:05 PM ET
Where: EverBank Field, Jacksonville, FL
TV: CBS
Radio: 550 AM (Buffalo) / 92.1 FM (Jacksonville)
NFL Betting Spread: Jacksonville Jaguars -9 (Over/Under at 39.5 points)

The Bills (9-7 SU, 9-6-1 ATS) will take on the Jaguars (10-6 SU, 9-7 ATS) in their AFC wild-card opener on Sunday and I fully expect Jacksonville to win and advance seeing as how they are the superior team on both sides of the ball.

While I’m not real fond of Jags quarterback Blake Bortles who has been, for an absolute disappointment after being picked third overall in the 2014 NFL Draft and I believe the Bills have the big edge with veteran Tyrod Taylor being a much better leader and one with a dual-threat skill-set, Jacksonville really is the better team on both side of the ball as they finished fifth in scoring and second in points allowed.

The Bills need more playmakers besides Taylor and Pro Bowl running back LeSean McCoy and I just can’t get past the fact that head coach in Sean McDermott actually believed fifth-round rookie quarterback Nathan Peterman was actually better than veteran starter Tyrod Taylor – until Peterman threw five picks in one half against the Chargers.

Jacksonville will pound Buffalo’s defense with their rushing attack led by Leonard Fournette while mostly shutting down Taylor and McCoy to get the win.

No. 5 Tennessee Titans vs. No. 4 Kansas City Chiefs

When: Saturday, January 6 at 4:35 PM EST
Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
TV: ESPN
Radio: 92.9 FM (Tennessee) / 1350 AM (Kansas City)
NFL Betting Odds: Kansas City Chiefs -8 (Over/Under at 44.5)

All you really need to know about this Saturday AFC wild-card clash is that Tennessee (9-7 SU, 8-7-1 ATS) lost three of their final four games before beating an uninterested Jacksonville team in their finale to get in while Kansas City (10-6 SU, 10-6 ATS) hits the playoffs on a nice roll, having won four straight.

Oh, and then there’s the fact that the Titans actually gave up more points per game (22.2 ppg, 17th) than they averaged during the regular season (20.9 ppg, 19th), combined with the fact that Kansas City has a handful of dangerous weapons on offense at veteran quarterback Alex Smith’s disposal and a handful of outstanding defensive players starting with Pro Bowl cornerback Marcus Peters.

After the Jags and Chiefs win, Jacksonville will head to Pittsburgh to take on the second-seeded Steelers (13-3 SU, 7-9 ATS) in what should be an entertaining affair seeing as how the Jags absolutely overpowered the Steelers in their stunning 30-9 Week 5 blowout of the Steelers in Pittsburgh no less.

For the rematch, however, I’ve got to believe that Pittsburgh is going to hold it down at home, likely by shutting down Jacksonville’s rushing attack and forcing Blake Bortles to beat them through the air, which, he just won’t be able to do. I’m thinking the Steelers win a hard-fought battle, be a score somewhere in the neighborhood of 27-17 or 27-20.

Rest of the Way

With Kansas City heading to New England to take on the top-seeded Patriots (13-3 SU, 11-5 ATS) in the other divisional round matchup, I’m holding out some hope – or maybe it’s just a lot of freaking wishful thinking – that the Chiefs can pull off the big road upset.

Kansas City opened the 2017 regular season with a 42-27 drubbing of the Patriots and have actually won two of the last three meetings against New England dating back to 2014, including a 41-14 smackdown of Tom Brady and company back on September 29 of 2014.

Okay, the hell with it. I picked Kansas City to beat New England in their opener and I’m going to pick them to end New England’s season in the divisional round, no matter what the NFL Betting Odds might say, especially since there are reports coming out of New England that there’s some kind of beef between Brady and Belichick this season.

Alright now, with the Chiefs now heading to Pittsburgh to play the Steelers in the AFC title tilt, I’m going for broke with another upset pick for the Chiefs to take out the Steelers.

Yes, I know Kansas City has lost to Pittsburgh three straight times and six of the last seven times overall, but hey, the last two times they’ve met, the Steelers won 19-13 in Week 6 and 18-16 in last year’s divisional round, so it’s not like the Steelers have dominated Kansas City.

In the end, the Chiefs started off the season looking like they could win Super Bowl 52 and they closed out the season on a positive note by winning four straight. They’ve clearly got some ‘good mojo’ going right now and I believe it could carry them all the way to Super Bowl 52.

 

 

Previous Betting News

This weekend sees the start of the NFL playoffs, and while we have 4 games on the calendar, we are going to focus on the AFC side of the coin to see if we can project how things will play out. The New England Patriots and Kansas City Chiefs have a bye this week, and will make their first appearance in the Divisional Round next week. Who they meet will depend on how things play out on Saturday and Sunday. Let’s get this thing rolling by taking a look at the Wild Card action.

In Depth Analysis On The Betting Projections For The AFC Championship

Wild Card Weekend Projections

Saturday will see the Oakland Raiders head to Houston to face the Texans in a game that is becoming increasingly more difficult to predict. The Raiders have more gam changing players than the Texans, but they are down to their third string QB for this one. The Texans are not without their QB problems, having benched big money starter in favor of Mike Savage, only to see the replacement knocked out through injury. Brock Osweiler is not the best option, but he is a better one than a third stringer. Texans win.

The lock of the weekend, in my humble opinion, is the Steelers at home to the Miami Dolphins. The visitors are another team with QB issues, as they are likely going to need to start Matt Moore in place of the injured Ryan Tannehill. Moore versus Roethlisberger and all the weapons he has at his disposal is a total mismatch. Steelers win.

Divisional Round Projections

There were some who were a little too quick to discount the New England Patriots after they lost Rob Gronkowski for the season, but Brady and company haven’t missed a beat. I really don’t see them having much of an issue with a home game against the Texans. I’ll take Brady over Osweiler any day of the week, even if he is tossing the ball to a bunch of guys who are not exactly household names.

The Steelers already have a win over the Kansas City Chiefs this season, but that one came in the cozy confines of Heinz Field. The Chiefs are an entirely different team in their own building, and you have to believe that they have a slight edge with home field advantage in the Divisional Round. That said, if it comes down to the Steelers offence versus the Chief defense, I think it will be the Steelers that prevail. Just too many weapons on board.

AFC Championship Projection

These two teams have been the cream of the crop in the AFC for several years now, so it would definitely be fun to see them hook up to decide who represents the conference in Super Bowl 51. The Patriots won when they met earlier in the season, but it’s worth noting that the Steelers were without the services of Big Ben that day. Rob Gronkowski came up big in that game, but he will not be available in the Conference Final. It’ll be a close one, but the Steelers get the win.