The Miami Dolphins might have been legitimate Super Bowl contenders last season if quarterback Tua Tagovailoa could have stayed healthy, but Tua suffered two more concussions. The former Alabama star is healthy in training camp but can he stay that way? Let’s break down the Dolphins’ first four games this season for your NFL betting odds. The team has an over-under win total of 9.5, and we lean over that total if Tua stays healthy.
Miami Dolphins: Top Games to Bet in Regular Season Week 1-4 | NFL Lines by MyBookie
NFL Regular Season: September 7, 2023 – January 7, 2024
Miami’s 2023 schedule is highlighted by three primetime games as well as two additional standalone nationally televised matchups. The Dolphins will play nine regular season games at home, including Christmas Eve against the Dallas Cowboys, and will host Monday Night Football at Hard Rock Stadium for the first time in six years on Dec. 11 vs. the Titans.
Here’s a look at Miami’s first four games and the NFL odds for the Dolphins and not the opponent. The Fins will be without Pro Bowl cornerback Jalen Ramsey, acquired this winter from the Rams, likely for all four at least due to left meniscus surgery.
Chargers (+2.5)
Week 1 at SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
When: Sunday, september 10, 4:25pm ET
TV/Streaming: CBS
Of course, the Dolphins took Tua with the No. 5 overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft when they probably should have taken Justin Herbert, who went No. 6 to the LA Chargers, is off to a historic statistical start and already got a massive new extension. The teams played in LA in Week 14 last year and the Chargers won 23-17. Jason Sanders nailed a clutch 55-yard field goal with 1:10 remaining to make it a one possession game, but Los Angeles recovered the onside kick on the next play to seal the win. The Dolphins had four sacks and allowed just six points in the second half. But the Fins had just 219 total yards of offense. Miami’s offense struggled to solve the Chargers defense, which generated constant pressure. Tagovailoa completed 10 of his 28 passes for 145 yards and one touchdown, a 60-yard deep ball to receiver Tyreek Hill. The Dolphins are 7-3 in their past 10 season openers despite six of those 10 games coming on the road.
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Patriots (pick’em)
Week 2 at Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
When: Sunday, september 17, 8:20pm ET
TV/Streaming: NBC
The Fins lost 23-21 at New England in Week 17 last season when Tua was out injured. Kyle Dugger intercepted Teddy Bridgewater and returned it 39 yards for a go-ahead TD late in the third quarter as New England snapped a four-game losing streak in the series. Bridgewater started in Tua’s place and was solid, completing 12 of 19 passes for 161 yards and a touchdown before leaving late in the third quarter with an injured right ring finger after being picked off by Dugger. He was replaced by third-stringer Skyler Thompson, who had an interception and a late TD pass to Mike Gesicki to trim the deficit to 23-21. He finished 12 of 21 for 104 yards. Miami was also without left tackle Terron Armstead (toe/pectoral muscle/knee/hip), cornerback Xavien Howard (knee), and linebacker Bradley Chubb (ankle/hand).
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Broncos (-3.5)
Week 3 at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
When: Sunday, september 24, 1:00pm ET
TV/Streaming: CBS
These teams didn’t play last season. Denver was one of the biggest disappointments in the NFL in 2022 but should be much improved under new coach Sean Payton – a guy the Dolphins once chased. Russell Wilson is expected to return to Hall of Fame form under Payton, although Wilson just lost a receiver for the season in Tim Patrick. Patrick, one of the team’s emotional leaders, led the team in touchdown receptions (five) in 2021, the last full season he played. He missed the 2022 season with a torn right ACL and then suffered a torn left Achilles during practice Monday so he’ll miss another. The Dolphins are 9-1 all-time against Denver at home. The Broncos’ only win at Miami was on Oct. 23, 2011 (15-18).
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Bills (+4)
Week 4 at Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
When: Sunday, october 1, 1:00pm ET
TV/Streaming: CBS
Miami lost twice in Buffalo last season: 32-29 in Week 15 and then 34-31 in the wild card round. In the first matchup, the Bills overcame an eight-point deficit capped by Tyler Bass hitting a 25-yard field goal as time expired for the victory. Tagovailoa finished 17 of 30 for 234 yards and two touchdowns, including a 67-yarder to Jaylen Waddle. Tua missed the playoff game yet the Fins almost pulled off the big upset. The game wasn’t decided until Buffalo’s defense, which forced six punts and two turnovers, stopped Miami as it turned the ball over on downs on its final possession. Skylar Thompson’s pass on fourth-and-6 went just off the fingertips of tight end Mike Gesicki with 2:22 remaining. Miami’s last win in Buffalo came on Dec. 24, 2016.
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Super Bowl Odds to Win this 2025 NFL Season
The following NFL betting lines are based on MyBookie Sportsbook.
Teams | Odds |
---|---|
San Francisco 49ers | +550 |
Kansas City Chiefs | +700 |
Baltimore Ravens | +800 |
Buffalo Bills | +1000 |
Detroit Lions | +1200 |
Cincinnati Bengals | +1300 |
Dallas Cowboys | +1600 |
Philadelphia Eagles | +1800 |
Miami Dolphins | +2000 |
Green Bay Packers | +2200 |
Houston Texans | +2200 |
LA Chargers | +2500 |
New York Jets | +2500 |
Jacksonville Jaguars | +3500 |
Los Angeles Rams | +3500 |
Cleveland Browns | +4000 |
Minnesota Vikings | +4000 |
Atlanta Falcons | +5000 |
Chicago Bears | +5000 |
Indianapolis Colts | +5000 |
Denver Broncos | +7500 |
Las Vegas Raiders | +7500 |
New Orleans Saints | +7500 |
Pittsburgh Steelers | +7500 |
Seattle Seahawks | +7500 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +7500 |
Arizona Cardinals | +10000 |
New England Patriots | +15000 |
New York Giants | +15000 |
Tennessee Titans | +15000 |
Washington Commanders | +15000 |
Carolina Panthers | +25000 |
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