Heading into the 2022 NFL Season, the Green Bay Packers are one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl. So it makes sense why the Packers’ win-loss total is a crazy-high 11 games. There are reasons to believe Green Bay wins more than 11 and there are reasons to believe the Packers win no more than 10. Check out an analysis as well as a Green Bay Packers game total prediction so you can bet against their NFL Team Totals odds.
Packers Win/Loss Total Prediction for the 2022 Season | NFL Betting
2022-23 NFL Regular Season
- When: Sep. 8, 2022 – Jan. 8, 2023
- Green Bay Packers Total Win / Losses Odds: 11
Why the Green Bay Packers will win more than 11 games
Green Bay’s schedule is soft. The Packers are at Minnesota, vs. Chicago, at Tampa Bay, vs. New England, vs. the Giants, and vs. NYJ in their first 6 games.
The Packers should lose no more than 1 of those games. Even if they lose 2, they will be at 4-2. After the first 6 games, GB is at Washington, at Buffalo, at Detroit, vs. Dallas, vs. Tennessee, at Philadelphia, and at Chicago before their bye.
So how many of those games should Green Bay lose? If Green Bay loses 2, they will be at 9-4 before their bye and with 4 games left. So all the Packers must do in their final 4 games is win 3-of-4 vs. the Rams, at Miami, vs. Minnesota, and vs. Detroit.
Why the Green Bay Packers won’t win more than 11 games
If the 2021 version of the Green Bay Packers threw down in 2022, then yes, they’d almost be a lock to win 11 games. But Green Bay went through some changes during the offseason.
The biggest change was trading Davante Adams. Davante is the best wide receiver in the NFL. Last season as a Packer, Adams had 123 catches for 1,553 yards. He caught 11 TD passes.
Aaron Rodgers is great, but you don’t replace Davante Adams with Sammy Watkins and expect the same type of production. 11 games is a lot.
Adams counts for how many losses this season? If you don’t think losing a player like Davante will affect Green Bay’s win total, think again.
Final Betting Analysis: Will the Packers win 11 or more?
Any road game in the NFC North will be tough to win. The Titans and Cowboys at home and Philadelphia on the road are potential losses.
Not only is the schedule more difficult than some realize, but losing Davante Adams is huge. Adams and Aaron Rodgers built their rapport.
Davante didn’t catch more than 75 passes in a season until his fifth in the league. One of Green Bay’s listed starter is rookie Christian Watson from North Dakota State. The other is Sammy Watkins.
Watkins is heading into his ninth season. He’s never caught more than 65 passes in any season and the 65 happened his rookie year.
The other starting wide receiver is Allen Lazard. Lazard caught 40 passes last season. So unless you think Lazard turns into Davante Adams in a single season, forget it. The Packers’ offense won’t be nearly as dominant.
Green Bay’s over under game total is too high. 11 games is way too many for a team that traded away the best wide-out in the league. Under is the play.
Green Bay Packers Win-Loss Total Pick: Under
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