NFL Week 1 SU Picks

NFL Week 1 SU Picks

Written by on September 4, 2017

Are you ready for some football? Just over seven months ago, the 2016 NFL season closed in style as the New England Patriots staged the most incredible comeback not just in Super Bowl history but maybe sports history. The Pats get things started for the 2017 season on Thursday night to kick off NFL Week 1. We’ll have a preview of that later this week, but here are two games I recommend to check out the NFL lines for Week 1 to bet straight up.

NFL Week 1 SU Picks

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals

When: Sunday, Sept. 10, 1 PM ETWhere: Paul Brown Stadium, CincinnatiTV: CBSRadio: 98Rock WIYY 97.9 FM  (Baltimore) / WCKY 1530 AM (Cincinatti)Opening NFL Week 1 Lines: Bengals -3 (42.5)

Flacco Update

How important is it for a quarterback to play a down in the preseason? We are about to find out as Baltimore QB Joe Flacco didn’t at all after injuring his back. He’ll start Sunday, though, after finally practicing on Saturday.Flacco resumed last week. Coach John Harbaugh told reporters after this weekend’s practice that Flacco looked good and that the team will continue to see how progresses in the days ahead. The Ravens never wavered in their optimism over Flacco’s return, but fans understandably grew concerned watching backup Ryan Mallett nosedive hard during the preseason. This will be Flacco’s 10th regular-season-opening start for the Ravens. Over nine NFL seasons, Flacco has missed just six games and all those came in 2015 when he tore the ACL and MCL in his left knee in a game against the St. Louis Rams. Not only did Flacco return to the field Saturday, but so did running back Danny Woodhead and wide receiver Breshad Perriman, who both have been dealing with hamstring injuries.

NFL Betting Odds Sure Winners For Week 1 – September 2nd

Bengals Kicker Job

There weren’t many jobs up for grabs in preseason for the Bengals but there was at kicker. Randy Bullock beat out fifth-round rookie Jake Elliott. Bullock, who joined Cincinnati last December after the team cut Mike Nugent, converted 5-of- 6 field goals while drilling all six of his PATs during the preseason. He’s been with five teams since entering the league as a fifth-round pick in 2012.“There’s a lot of data, a lot more data than you’re aware of,” head coach Marvin Lewis said after roster cuts were made. “So we have to go by that or else there’s no reason to keep track of everything we do. Obviously if it was anything close, Jake would have won the job. Every kick has been charted. We felt like Randy has won the competition.”The team did sign Elliott to the practice squad after he cleared waivers. So it’s not like Bullock has total job security. It’s not likely that Cincinnati has first-round rookie WR John Ross for Week 1. He’s dealing with a sprained knee. Although the starting three-wide lineup would have been A.J. Green, Brandon LaFell and Tyler Boyd in the slot, Ross’ 4.22 40-yard dash speed would have presented a good change of pace for the Bengals’ offense.

Latest NFL Week 1 Betting Trends

  • Baltimore is 1-6 ATS in the last 7 games on the road
  • Baltimore is 0-5 SU in the last 5 games on the road
  • The total went OVER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 5 games
  • Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games
  • Cincinnati is 6-10-2 ATS in the last 18 games
  • The total went UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati’s last 8 games

Indianapolis Colts at Los Angeles Rams

When: Sunday, Sept. 10, 4:05 PM ETWhere: LA Memorial ColiseumTV: CBSRadio: 1070 AM The Fan (Indianapolis) / ESPNLA 710AM (LA)Stream Option: NFL LiveOpening NFL Week 1 Lines: Colts -3 (47)

No Luck For Colts

I’m a tad surprised that the Colts are favored here considering they won’t have starting quarterback Andrew Luck. Luck has not played in a game since Week 17 of last season, and he missed all of the team’s offseason workouts following back surgery in January.Owner Jim Irsay said that he doesn’t know how long it will take for Luck to regain his form. Luck completed a career-high 63.5 percent of his pass attempts despite being limited in practice at least one day of the week every week last season. First-year general manager Chris Ballard has repeatedly stressed that the Colts will not rush Luck back under any circumstances.Are the Colts a safe bet in NFL Week 1?Scott Tolzien is expected to start vs. the Rams. The Colts also traded for quarterback Jacoby Brissett on Saturday, sending wide receiver Phillip Dorsett to the New England Patriots. Under contract through 2019, Brissett could become the Colts’ longterm solution when it comes to a backup quarterback. Brissett lit up the Giants in the final preseason game, completing 28-of- 39 passes for 341 yards and five total touchdowns.

Will Donald Play?

The Rams’ Aaron Donald is one of the best defensive tackles in the NFL but it’s not clear if he will play Sunday as Donald has held out the entirety of training camp and the preseason. Rams coach Sean McVay said he’s “optimistic” on Donald’s status. The Rams recently met with Donald’s agents, but there’;s been nothing to suggest his return is close.Donald is owed less than $9 million in base salary from 2017 to 2018, representing a significant gap between him and the game's highest-paid defensive players.Donald’s holdout will hit 38 days by the end of this week, which amounts to $1.52 million in fines — nearly as much as his $1.80 million base salary for 2017. Donald is a three-time Pro Bowler and a two- time first-team All-Pro who has compiled 28 sacks in his three-year career, four more than any other defensive tackle from 2014 to 2016. Last season, he led the NFL in quarterback hits (31) and tied for the lead in tackles for loss (17).

Latest NFL Week 1 Betting Trends

  • Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games on the road
  • Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in the last 6 games
  • The total went UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis’s last 7 games
  • LA Rams is 0-5 ATS in the last 5 games
  • LA Rams is 0-5 SU in the last 5 games
  • The total went OVER in 4 of LA Rams’s last 6 games

Expert NFL Week 1 Predictions

It’s not often I will recommend an underdog in a straight-up pick – obviously take the points – but I do think the Rams beat the Colts, who just aren’t good without Luck. Love Cincinnati at home over Baltimore.
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