Nominations and betting odds are set for the 2024 Academy Awards. The 96th version of the golden statue eunuch awards takes place on March 10, 2024. The absolute best in Hollywood have shined their shoes in hopes of leaving the Dolby Theatre in L.A. with their non-genitalia trophies. Who will score the wins in the major categories? Check out Academy Awards odds, analysis, and picks for the top categories.

Entertainment Betting News | The 96th Academy Awards Betting Odds & Predictions

When: March 10, 2024
Where: Dolby Theatre, Hollywood, Los Angeles, California, U.S.
Host: Jimmy Kimmel
TV/Streaming: ABC

Best Adapted Screenplay

• American Fiction -175
• Oppenheimer +275
• Barbie +350
• Poor Things +750
• The Zone of Interest +2500

Analysis: Satire doesn’t happen as often in movies as it should, which is why although Oppenheimer, Barbie, Poor Things, and The Zone of Interest are all excellent adapted screenplays, nothing should beat American Fiction.

The story, about a fed up Black professor who decides to write a satirical novel that nobody believes is satirical, is as brilliant as it is funny. Jefferey Wright brings the main character to life and, again, satire rules.

Bet On Oscars: American Fiction

Best Original Screenplay

• Anatomy of a Fall -200
• The Holdovers +150
• Past Lives +900
• Maestro +2500
• May December +3300

Analysis: Anatomy of a Fall is a fantastic original screenplay. It’s victory wouldn’t surprise, but the winner in this category is The Holdovers. The Holdovers is a classic story. Cranky old teacher dude must hang out with troubled but super smart student and an angry person.

Sounds simple because it is. The most simple stories are often the most effective because we can relate. We all know the angry cook, the cranky old man, and the troubled kid. The Holdovers is the pick.

Bet On Oscars: The Holdovers

Best Director

• Christopher Nolan – Oppenheimer -4000
• Yorgos Lanthimos – Poor Things +2000
• Martin Scorsese – Killers of the Flower Moon +2500
• Jonathan Glazer – The Zone of Interest +2500
• Justin Triet – Anatomy of a Fall +3300

Analysis: Nolan is at -4000. Ah, but in recent years the Academy hasn’t handed out Best Director and Best Picture Oscars to the same movie. In fact, many times in the past decade, the vote splits. Nolan should win, but why not take a shot?

The Zone of Interest is awesome. Jonathan Glazer does an unreal job. So that’s the pick. However, we wouldn’t be surprised if Martin Scorsese somehow scored the Golden Dude. So he’s in the running.

Bet On Oscars: Jonathan Glazer

Best Supporting Actress

• Da’Vine Joy Randolph – The Holdovers -3300
• Emily Blunt – Oppenheimer +1200
• Danielle Brookes – The Color Purple +1400
• America Ferrera – Barbie +2000
• Jodie Foster – Nyad +2500

Analysis: This is one where the favorite should have it in the bag. Da’Vine Joy Randolph does an excellent job in The Holdovers. She’s well-known throughout the entertainment industry as a terrific Broadway and movie actress.

There’s no beating Randolph. If you want to take a stab, America Ferrera offers decent odds and Barbie was a critically acclaimed film. So take a shot on Ferrera if you want to go for an underdog.

Bet On Oscars: Da’Vine Joy Randolph

Best Supporting Actor

• Robert Downey Jr. – Oppenheimer -4000
• Ryan Gosling – Barbie +1000
• Robert De Niro – Killers of the Flower Moon +1600
• Mark Ruffalo – Poor Things +1600
• Sterling K. Brown – American Fiction +2500

Analysis: Everyone believes Robert Downey Jr. wins. He probably will, but he’s difficult to back at -4000.

Ryan Gosling has become one of the best actors on the planet. The man can do anything. He dances, he sings, he acts. He’s a true modern day vaudeville superstar. Our money is behind Gosling.

Bet On Oscars: Ryan Gosling

Best Lead Actress

• Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon – 162
• Emma Stone – Poor Things +120
• Sandra Huller – Anatomy of a Fall +1800
• Carey Mulligan – Maestro +3300
• Annette Bening – Nyad +4000

Analysis: Taking a shot on an underdog makes sense. The top two choices are at -162 and +120. So if the vote for Lily Gladstone and Emma Stone split, Sandra Huller, who is exceptional in Anatomy of a Fall as a woman defending herself against accusations she murdered her husband, gets the nod.

Pull the trigger on Huller to walk off the stage with the eunuch.

Bet On Oscars: Sandra Huller

Best Actor

• Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer -1400
• Paul Giamatti – The Holdovers +900
• Bradley Cooper – Maestro +1600
• Jefferey Wright – American Fiction +6600
• Colman Domingo – Rustin +6600

Analysis: Murphy is the likely winner. However, Paul Giamatti has been doing this for years and he’s never won a statue. He should have won an Oscar for Sideways in 2004. The Academy didn’t even nominate him. Giamatti is due. So we’re calling the upset.

Bet On Oscars: Paul Giamatti

Best Picture

• Oppenheimer -3300
• Poor Things +1600
• Barbie +2000
• The Zone of Interest +2500
• Killers of the Flower Moon +3300
• Anatomy of a Fall +3300
• The Holdovers +4000
• American Fiction +6600
• Past Lives +10000
• Maestro +10000

Analysis: We’re not feeling the odds on Oppenheimer. Sure, it’s got the Oscar pedigree, historical story, great sets, awesome direction, great acting, etc.

Still, other movies that have received nominations can upset Oppenheimer. American Fiction offers ridiculous, insane, overlay odds. It’s the best movie of the year from this writer’s point of view and should sweep. A small bet on American Fiction is the way to go.

Bet On Oscars: American Fiction

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