Spain doesn’t head into their knockout stage match versus scorching Morocco playing their best soccer. El Rojo blew a 1-goal lead over Japan and ended up losing 2 goals to 1. Although controversy remains around the final goal the Japanese scored, the result is the same. Spain finished second in their group, which is why they take on Morocco, who finished first in their group. Will the Spanish step it up and keep their World Cup dreams alive? Check out more info, analysis, and a free FIFA World Cup Betting pick for Morocco versus Spain. 

2022 FIFA World Cup Betting Analysis: Morocco vs Spain Matchup

FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022: Round of 16  – Morocco versus Spain

• When: Tuesday, Dec. 6 at 10:00 am ET

• Where: Education City Stadium, Doha, Qatar

• TV/Streaming: FOX

• Handicap Odds: Morocco +0.5 +129 / Spain -0.5 -165

• Moneyline Odds: Spain -158 / Morocco +520 / Draw +265

• Total Odds: O 2.5 +123 / U 2.5 -157

Why Morocco is a good play versus Spain

The Moroccans are on fire. Morocco has won three with two draws in their last five matches. Morocco drew against Croatia in their first World Cup match.

Then, they unleashed an effective attack that dropped 2 goals onto Kevin De Bruyne and Belgium and a pair of goals onto Canada. The attack shows that Morocco can score as well as play lockdown defense. 

Morocco Last 5

• W – 2-1 vs. Canada
• W – 0-2 vs. Belgium

• D – 0-0 vs. Croatia

• W – 3-0 vs. Georgia
• D – 0-0 vs. Paraguay

Morocco Predicted Starting Lineup

• Bounou
• Aguerd
• Mazraoui
• Attiyat-Allah
• Ziyech
• Ounahi
• Saiss
• Jabrane
• En-Nesyri
• Amallah
• Boufal

Why Spain is a good play versus Morocco

The Spanish dropped a 7-goal bomb onto Costa Rica in their first WC match. But since then, Spain has struggled. Germany had a real shot to upset El Rojo.

Then, Japan pulled off the upset win. But although Spain didn’t play their best in their final two matches, the 7 goals versus Costa Rica shows how talented they are. If El Rojo gets it together on Tuesday, they can easily beat a team like Morocco. Expect Spain to play more like they did in their first World Cup match than they did in their second. 

Spain Last 5

• L – 2-1 vs. Japan
• D – 1-1 vs. Germany

• W – 7-0 vs. Costa Rica

• W – 1-3 vs. Jordan
• W – 0-1 vs. Portugal

Spain Predicted Starting Lineup

• Simon
• Torres
• Busquets
• Gaya
• Carvajal
• Rodri
• Koke
• Pedri
• Morata
• Pino
• Williams

Final Betting Analysis: Spain vs. Morocco

This is a crazy difficult match to handicap because on paper Spain should dominate. Few teams boast as strong of a roster as the Spanish.

But El Rojo failed against Japan. Yes, the goal the Japanese scored was borderline. However, the Spanish should have never been in that position.

Spain has a tendency to have mental errors at the worst time. If the talent shows up, the Spanish can win this by 3 or more goals. But if it doesn’t, Spain could easily lose this match.

We shouldn’t try and predict how Spain will respond to the disappointing loss. Instead, we should assume the best Spanish has to offer will step onto the pitch.

Not only that, but Morocco’s victory over Belgium came against a squad lacking their top striker and with players stepping into unfamiliar positions. As of today, we don’t know exactly how good Morocco is. Spain wins.

World Cup Pick: Spain -158 

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