One of the group stages most important matches happens on Wednesday when Argentina giant killer Saudi Arabia throws down against CONCACAF squad Mexico. El Tri fell to the Albiceleste by 2 goals, which means the Mexicans must not only win but require help to move to the next stage. Saudi Arabia can stamp their ticket with a victory. Which team prevails in what projects as a highly competitive match? Keep reading for FIFA World Cup Odds, analysis, and a free pick for Saudi Arabia versus Mexico.

2022 FIFA World Cup Betting Analysis: Saudi Arabia vs Mexico Group C Matchup

FIFA World Cup Qatar: Group C  – Saudi Arabia versus Mexico

• When: Wednesday, Nov. 30 at 2:00 pm ET

• Where: Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail, Qatar

• TV/Streaming: FS1 

• Handicap Odds: Mexico -0.5 -151 / Saudi Arabia +0.5 +118 

• Moneyline Odds: Saudi Arabia +370 / Mexico -145 / Draw +310

• Total Odds: O 2.5 -139 / U 2.5 +109

Why Saudi Arabia is a good play versus Mexico

The Saudis produced one of the World Cup’s biggest historical upsets. Saudi Arabia blasted Argentina 2-1. The upset was so massive that the Crown Prince said the next day was a holiday.

But Saudi Arabia didn’t follow up the victory over the Albiceleste with another fantastic performance. Instead, the Saudis failed in a 2-0 loss to Poland.

On Wednesday, Saudi Arabia must win to advance. The Saudis know they can hang with a much better team than Mexico. Not only that, the dogs in this were bound to bounce after the stunning victory over Argentina. Expect a more focused Saudi side on Wednesday.

Saudi Arabia Last 5

• L – 2-0 vs. Poland
• W – 2-1 vs. Argentina
• L – 0-1 vs. Croatia
• D – 1-1 vs. Panama
• W – 1-0 vs. Iceland

Saudi Arabia Predicted Starting Lineup

• Al-Owais
• Altambakti
• Al-Amri
• Al-Shahrani
• Abdulhamid
• Ali-Hassan
• Al-Dawsari
• Al-Brikan
• Bahbri
• Asiri
• Al-Abid

Why Mexico is a good play versus Saudi Arabia

After the 0-0 draw versus Poland, and Argentina’s 2-1 loss versus Saudi Arabia, many believed the Mexicans would handle the Albiceleste and march into the knockout stage. 

But Messi and Argentina had other plans, which is why heading into their final group stage match, El Tri’s backs are against the wall.

Mexico can’t afford a loss. The Mexicans must step it up big time if they hope to make it to the Round of 16. When Mexico must respond, they often do. So although Saudi Arabia will have most of the fans behind them, El Tri figures to get it done. 

Mexico Last 5

• L – 2-0 vs. Argentina
• D – 0-0 vs. Poland
• L – 1-2 vs. Sweden
• W – 4-0 vs. Iraq
• L – 2-3 vs. Colombia

Mexico Predicted Starting Lineup

• Ochoa
• Moreno
• Montes
• Gallardo
• Sanchez
• Herrera
• Chavez
• Rodriguez
• Martin
• Vega
• Antuna

Final Betting Analysis: Saudi Arabia vs Mexico

Mexico manager Tata said El Tri has no fear heading into their final group stage match against Saudi Arabia. Maybe, that’s not a good thing.

The problem with Tata Martino’s team is that it wasn’t playing great soccer leading up to the World Cup. Mexico has won a single match, against Iraq, in their last 5.

Sweden beat the Mexicans in a friendly, Poland forced the draw, and El Tri lost to Argentina. So Mexico could use some fear.

Sometimes, lack of fear translates to low energy. That could happen on Wednesday. Saudi Arabia will be fired up while the Mexicans could be too lackadaisical. The Saudi’s offer excellent odds to pull off the upset win. 

World Cup Pick: Saudi Arabia +370 

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