One of the greatest rivalries in history, not just on the pitch, but in everything, resumes on Saturday when the French take on the English for the right to head to the World Cup Semifinals. Kylian Mbappe and his French teammates are moneyline and handicap line favorites. But France isn’t a massive chalk. Both teams offer odds above even money. So we should expect a competitive match. Will France beat England? Or will Harry Kane and his mates get the better of the French? Keep reading for FIFA World Cup Odds, analysis, and a free pick for France versus England.

2022 FIFA World Cup Betting Analysis: England vs France Matchup

FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022: Quarterfinals – England versus France

• When: Saturday, Dec. 10 at 2:00 p.m. ET

• Where: Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor, Qatar 

• TV/Streaming: FOX 

• Handicap Odds: France -0.5 +138 / England +0.5 -177

• Moneyline Odds: England +195/ France +145 / Draw +230

• Total Odds: O 2.5 +105 / U 2.5 -134

Why France is a good play versus England

France lost to Tunisia, but the French had a knockout stage trip sewn up well before facing the Tunisians. So the loss makes some sense.

This is particularly true because France bounced back after the loss with a stunning 3-1 win over Poland. Kylian Mbappe scored a pair of goals but the real story for France so far this tournament has been Olivier Giroud.

France’s upperclassman has filled in nicely for the injured Karim Benzema. Giroud is playing great. Olivier had 2 versus Australia, which means the English defense will have to pay attention to both Giroud and Mbappe on Saturday. 

France Last 5

• W – 3-1 vs. Poland
• L – 1-0 vs. Tunisia
• W – 2-1 vs. Denmark
• W – 4-1 vs. Australia
• L – 2-0 vs. Denmark

France Predicted Starting Lineup

• Lloris
• Upamecano
• Varane
• Hernandez
• Kounde
• Griezmann
• Rabiot
• Tchouameni
• Giroud
• Mbappe
• Dembele

Why England is a good play versus France

Since a disappointing 0-0 draw against the United States, England has dominated on both ends of the pitch. The English beat Wales 3-0 and then blasted a decent Senegal side 3-0.

Marcus Rashford scored twice and Phil Foden scored once against Wales. Versus Senegal, Jordan Henderson, Harry Kane, and Bukayo Saka all scored goals. 

England Last 5

• W – 3-0 vs. Senegal 
• W – 0-3 vs. Wales
• D – 0-0 vs. United States
• W – 6-2 vs. Iran
• D – 3-3 vs. Germany

England Predicted Starting Lineup

• Pope
• Dier
• Maguire
• Stones
• Rice
• Bellingham
• Shaw
• James
• Kane
• Sterling
• Foden

Final Betting Analysis: France vs England 

England’s last 6 goals scored at the World Cup have come from 5 different players. The reason that’s important is because England may use their depth in this to wear down Mbappe and Giroud.

The English can go at France in waves. Rashford and Foden on one attack, Kane and Saka on another attack, until France’s defense starts to spin around like the top.

The problem France has in this match is that they’ve allowed goals to much lesser teams than the English. It didn’t matter during the group stage that the French have lost key players in midfield and on their back line.

It will matter versus a team like the English. Jude Bellingham is playing lights out. Unless Jude’s form goes south for some reason, he’ll not only help Harry McGuire and the backers but he will also set up Foden, Kane and the rest for goals.

Right now, England isn’t just the pick to beat France, they’re also the top pick to win the World Cup. 

World Cup Pick: England +195

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